Anti-Public NBA picks Challenge - Bet against the public. 54W 47L. Day 16 - page 3.

matchi2011

sr. member

Activity: 1456

Merit: 267

Buy $BGL before it's too late!

I don't think i'd want to do that since you mostly would bet on underdogs and the percentage of upsets aren't that high every day. You may need to have a big capital if you're planning on betting against majority of bettors. Though if you win, you'll be smiling from ear to ear Cheesy

U.S.SportsInvest

member

Activity: 64

Merit: 10

Great start for your system. I am excited how it will perform after 1000 picks. Anything less than that is not enough to say having a running betting system.
You'll be betting 80% of the dogs which isnt a bad thing. Dog betting is better than fav betting in general!

Good luck!

CarlesPuyol

legendary

Activity: 1148

Merit: 1000

Quote from: CarlesPuyol on October 17, 2017, 11:16:34 AM

1st day.
As I said in the opening thread, I will bet against the public concensous
So here are my picks for today.

Cleveland VS Boston 52% VS 48%

Golden State VS Houston 56% VS 44%

So my Picks are:

https://nitrogensports.eu/betslip/2610fe3aitlSHgzdU42cHZPam5wUGZoVmJrQT09/r/2223343/

Good Luck

Cleveland won 102-99, so Boston hold the handicap of +3.5 and it a win.
Houston surprised GSW and won 122-121 and its another win for us.

2/2 in the first day.
Profit: +0.00195

paul00

sr. member

Activity: 854

Merit: 257

I know no one can predict who will win the match even the weakest team on the NBA can be won and it depends on the situation but I don't think Boston Celtics can win on Cleveland this time in my opinion since Isiah tomas which is their like superstar back in the previous year and we all know kyrie is also at the boston team but still not enough to defeat cleveland.

boyptc

hero member

Activity: 3024

Merit: 680

★Bitvest.io★ Play Plinko or Invest!

Good experiment this is the first time that I've seen someone that wants to bet against the crowd choice.

Quote from: CarlesPuyol on October 17, 2017, 11:16:34 AM

-snip-

Good luck with these bets Carles, I'm going to stay tune on your thread and will see if the will of yours that you'll get profit here is really possible.

NorrisK

legendary

Activity: 1946

Merit: 1007

Nice approach that you are taking.

One flaw in this though might be that if the sample size is big enough, the collective will usually make the correct pick.

U.S.SportsInvest

member

Activity: 64

Merit: 10

Quote from: CarlesPuyol on October 17, 2017, 12:18:49 PM

Quote from: U.S.SportsInvest on October 17, 2017, 12:14:35 PM

Nice experiment. made this a couple of years ago already. It CAN work if you put in some more filters like minimum percentage where the public is on one side is for example 70%. So you bet on the team with 30% or less. Another filter could be where the smart money is. So try and find a game where min. 70% of the public is on one side and the odds move in favour of the 30% team. That means smart money is on the smaller side where your bet should be on.
Just my 2 cents. Anyway good luck on that one!

Thanks for the advice. I will start for a few weeks without any filters. If it will not work I will add some like you said.

Sounds like a plan. Will follow your thread and I am very excited on how it works. Perhaps I should try my Anti public systems again, too

)

CarlesPuyol

legendary

Activity: 1148

Merit: 1000

Quote from: U.S.SportsInvest on October 17, 2017, 12:14:35 PM

Nice experiment. made this a couple of years ago already. It CAN work if you put in some more filters like minimum percentage where the public is on one side is for example 70%. So you bet on the team with 30% or less. Another filter could be where the smart money is. So try and find a game where min. 70% of the public is on one side and the odds move in favour of the 30% team. That means smart money is on the smaller side where your bet should be on.
Just my 2 cents. Anyway good luck on that one!

Thanks for the advice. I will start for a few weeks without any filters. If it will not work I will add some like you said.

U.S.SportsInvest

member

Activity: 64

Merit: 10

Nice experiment. made this a couple of years ago already. It CAN work if you put in some more filters like minimum percentage where the public is on one side is for example 70%. So you bet on the team with 30% or less. Another filter could be where the smart money is. So try and find a game where min. 70% of the public is on one side and the odds move in favour of the 30% team. That means smart money is on the smaller side where your bet should be on.
Just my 2 cents. Anyway good luck on that one!

CarlesPuyol

legendary

Activity: 1148

Merit: 1000

1st day.
As I said in the opening thread, I will bet against the public concensous
So here are my picks for today.

Cleveland VS Boston 52% VS 48%

Golden State VS Houston 56% VS 44%

So my Picks are:

https://nitrogensports.eu/betslip/2610fe3aitlSHgzdU42cHZPam5wUGZoVmJrQT09/r/2223343/

Good Luck

crwth

copper member

Activity: 2940

Merit: 1280

https://linktr.ee/crwthopia

I'm quite intrigued with the experiment that you are about to do and I think if you somehow win a bet that is against the odds, you would already recover from the losses that you've gotten from previous bets. I would like to see a progression from this thread. Good luck to you.

CarlesPuyol

legendary

Activity: 1148

Merit: 1000

I wanted to do this challange for a long time, And now with the beginning of the NBA season I will finally do it.
I will bet every day against the public opinions through the data at https://www.thespread.com/nba-basketball-public-betting-chart
The Idea behind this challange is that as we know, the bookies always wins becasue people bet on "easy" matches and in the end we see a LOT of surprises. I believe that play against the public in EVERY match will give me a profit.
I will summerize the result every couple days.
I place a bet of 0.001BTC on EVERY match
Every bet will be placed at NitrogenSports

The NBA season begins in 2 days.
Lets see what will happen.

Edit

Total after day 9
36 Wins VS 27Loses
Profit: 0.0065BTC

Topic: Anti-Public NBA picks Challenge - Bet against the public. 54W 47L. Day 16 - page 3. (Read 935 times)