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Topic: Anyone else agree that mtgox payout is keeping bitcoin down? - page 3. (Read 591 times)

sr. member
Activity: 2506
Merit: 368
I'm not certain with that but why bother though when you can get advantage of the market? So far, I believe it's the FUD that's making the price go back to dip again but on the other hand, it's what we needed if we want Bitcoin to grow even more. That's why they always say, Bitcoin is best to hodl for a long time. If you can do that then rejoice if Bitcoin make a rise after a long time of staying in the bottom.

But anyway, why is mtgox always showing up every time if there's a FUD?
legendary
Activity: 3080
Merit: 1178
Leading Crypto Sports Betting & Casino Platform
I know most people downplay the Mt Gox payout and most will say it will have no bearing on the price. This is why I am curious if anyone actually thinks this is keeping the bitcoin price down.

When Mt Gox payout goes into effect, they will sell a lot of bitcoin to get the cash needed for the claimants who wanted fiat instead of bitcoin. This will be a huge amount of coins hitting the market. Then you have all the bitcoin being sent to everyone, will they cash in those bitcoins for cash?

This adds huge risk into the price, nobody really knows what this is going to do and you can only speculate. Will Mt Gox sell all of these bitcoins in a day and crash the market? Who knows what could happen.

 This causes a a lot of uncertainty, why invest in bitcoin when  there could be a huge amount of coins hitting the market. Better to just wait for the payouts to happen after March 10th and see how it goes.

I totally get why people wouldn't buy now.

It's like invert version of sell the news event, where people are afraid to buy the news (in inverse). And as the fear is priced in it won't drop either.

Meaning that we most likely we start to move up rather then down right after people get their btc back. Some people will sell their bitcoins as they have waited for so long, but i trust there will be ton of money ready to buy as people are just waiting the price to drop. When it doesn't drop enough, people will slowly start to buy it back up.
legendary
Activity: 1708
Merit: 1048
To this day I am unsure how many times anyone has actually gotten anything in comparison to the media just using the very well-known Mt Gox situation to scare people into believing that a huge sell-off is imminent. Is there any actual on-chain evidence to prove that a repayment fund is being accumulated or can be sent from those who are representing Mt Gox and conducting the refund?

I bet we all can't wait for the day that the payments are finally sent out and we don't even have to worry about this news holding BTC back again...I know I can't.
hero member
Activity: 2926
Merit: 722
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Honestly if I am one of those victims that have been waiting for my funds to get refunded and then I've received it, without any doubt that I'll spend it like there's no tomorrow so I'll totally sell all of it and if not all, then a large part of it.

Whatever is the reason with the sudden falling of bitcoin's price. Let's appreciate also the reasons why it has been up coming from the lowest that it had after the bull run of 2021 which made bitcoin $16k.

Every time we don't like the movement of the market, we're thinking a lot of things and that's no good for our own cause because it will just create a panic attack if you keep thinking about it.

I think it depends on the victim’s situation. There really isn’t a difference between having funds held by the gox bankruptcy and cold storage. Except the declining amount as a result of lawyers being paid. I imagine a lot of those victims stayed in Bitcoin and probably have other BTC they could sell if they wanted. I’m sure there are a couple whales who will dump but not everybody.
If we do look about into those amounts then it is really that lucky that they are really returning victims or users funds in half in btc and half in fiat which i could consider that it did really lessen out the risk on

making the market do crash out specially with Bitcoin.Although it wont really be that much in a concern because no matter how hard we do crash there's always a recovery.

This is not really that shocking anymore if we do speak about negative news or fundamentals because the market could neither affect it out or not.
If ever it crashes then there are lots of people on the community and investors would really be catching out on that bottom.
donator
Activity: 4760
Merit: 4323
Leading Crypto Sports Betting & Casino Platform
Honestly if I am one of those victims that have been waiting for my funds to get refunded and then I've received it, without any doubt that I'll spend it like there's no tomorrow so I'll totally sell all of it and if not all, then a large part of it.

Whatever is the reason with the sudden falling of bitcoin's price. Let's appreciate also the reasons why it has been up coming from the lowest that it had after the bull run of 2021 which made bitcoin $16k.

Every time we don't like the movement of the market, we're thinking a lot of things and that's no good for our own cause because it will just create a panic attack if you keep thinking about it.

I think it depends on the victim’s situation. There really isn’t a difference between having funds held by the gox bankruptcy and cold storage. Except the declining amount as a result of lawyers being paid. I imagine a lot of those victims stayed in Bitcoin and probably have other BTC they could sell if they wanted. I’m sure there are a couple whales who will dump but not everybody.
legendary
Activity: 3710
Merit: 1170
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Disagree. Mt.Gox payment is nothing compared to the market, it is people that keep the bitcoin price down and it will always be people who keep it down. There is no scenario where something as small as this payout could ever keep bitcoin down, there will be a lot of people who think like that, and they will suspect this to be bigger than what it is today, but the reality is that bitcoin is much larger and it can't be kept down by something so insignificant.

I believe that people are just not that much into it at this moment and they can't see it growing just yet and that is why they are not buying right now and that is the main reason why it is not growing at this moment.
hero member
Activity: 2996
Merit: 580
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Honestly if I am one of those victims that have been waiting for my funds to get refunded and then I've received it, without any doubt that I'll spend it like there's no tomorrow so I'll totally sell all of it and if not all, then a large part of it.

Whatever is the reason with the sudden falling of bitcoin's price. Let's appreciate also the reasons why it has been up coming from the lowest that it had after the bull run of 2021 which made bitcoin $16k.

Every time we don't like the movement of the market, we're thinking a lot of things and that's no good for our own cause because it will just create a panic attack if you keep thinking about it.
sr. member
Activity: 1498
Merit: 271
DGbet.fun - Crypto Sportsbook
For long term holders of bitcoin who are willing to hold it for a few years, they don't care if its value drops now in the market. The only ones affected by such scenarios are those who are not yet deeply involved in the Bitcoin industry.

      Now, for scalpers this is an opportunity for them to buy bitcoin again in a short period of time because they know the movement in the crypto market. So for me what you say is irrelevant op.
legendary
Activity: 1988
Merit: 1768
I also think the current price has nothing to do with MTGox. As I have written before, the amount that is paid out is not so high that it can drive the market price down. Also, I assume that even if people get their Bitcoins back, they won't all be sold at once. There will certainly be enough people who will continue to hold their Bitcoins and wait for a new ATH.  Smiley
hero member
Activity: 2954
Merit: 796
The current price slow down is due to the major resistance that keeps blocking the uptrend movement. I think MtGox news is not yet being use as FUD on current times because the price dip will be more insane than the current price setback.

Also MtGox token will be distribute in parts so their Bitcoin will not gonna give huge impact on the price unless it will be used to create a FUD among the crypto pips on the social nevertheless it’s not a big deal to cause huge dump or slow down the trend.
legendary
Activity: 3010
Merit: 3724
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Commented on a separate post about MtGox. It didn't ever have a significant or long-lasting effect before (regardless of whether coins were needed to be bought or sold). Negligible impact now, if any.

We've seen this before in the news tropes (China mining ban, institutional futures like CME, etc.). It might work when new. It might even work when regurgitated in a new cycle, having reached new audiences. But the effect wanes, and can't take hold.

Sorry but Bitcoin has been vaccinated against Gox.
legendary
Activity: 1596
Merit: 1288
If you think that these depositors will get their money soon, then most likely you are not following the details. All that happens is food to control prices or attempts to analyze from some locals to show why the price rose or fell.
Such statements have pressure at the beginning of trading, but with the passage of time and the more such news increases, its effect ceases to appear.
Therefore, it has no effect on the price.
legendary
Activity: 1848
Merit: 1982
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Yes, it is not a big problem for the most part. The compensation will not be in full at once for all those affected, but will be in installments in the long term, so there will be no dumping of the market.

Also, those affected who will receive compensation will most likely not sell their bitcoins that they got at this low price now, of course it is possible that some of them will sell directly, but most likely they will wait for the market to rise.

In any case, this is just speculation, and no one knows for sure what might happen until the actual distribution takes place.
legendary
Activity: 2408
Merit: 1102
Leading Crypto Sports Betting & Casino Platform
The Mt.gox drama has been going on for many years and what they do is just empty promises so people get bored and distrust is understandable. I also don't believe they will return bitcoins to that year's victims.

But if it happens then I'm really glad that the victims of that year can finally get their money back, and are even happier if they sell all their bitcoins. Many people fear bitcoin will plummet, but for me, it will be an opportunity to keep shopping for cheap bitcoin.
hero member
Activity: 1050
Merit: 681
Even I felt weird for a while with the current dump in BTC price (from 23k to just under 22k) because the US markets didnt fell with us this time. Could be due to mtgox related fear but this release will not happen this year I can almost guarentee that although nothing is certain. SPX already crossed well above 4000 again so btc will again catch up in a few days (judging by the negative funding rates = short squeeze incoming).
legendary
Activity: 3808
Merit: 1723
I don’t think it’s MtGox yet. They have been delaying it for years and until the coins start to move, I don’t see it being the reason. The silvergate bank is mostly why Bitcoin dropped and on the macro side it’s the huge inflation we still have. Most likely there will be more fed increases and it’s always bad for stocks and crypto.

Until the coins actually move we won’t know what affect it will have on the price. Might dump for 1-2 days and then recover.
sr. member
Activity: 2380
Merit: 366
Let the Mt. Gox funds bring the price down if it must. Those Mt. Gox users who have been waiting for their money for many years deserve it. Whatever decision they will make, I think there will be no problem whatsoever. If it means the price of Bitcoin will fall all the way to $20,000, $17,000, or even $15,000 and below, I don't personally have a problem. This is Bitcoin. This isn't some centralized and manipulated market. This is a free market. I'm 100% sure that Bitcoin will recover from this and demand will once again dominate the market. The big Mt. Gox supply that will hit the exchanges will be temporary.
STT
legendary
Activity: 4102
Merit: 1454
If the BTC is confirmed as actively available it doesnt matter too much where its stored in particular.   If all supply is immediately flushed into exchange order books then sure it'll be a blip in the graph while its digested but its all pretty short term.   Other dynamics are why we are stuck in the 20k region and its most about people who bought and sold here previously.   Some people who thought 22k was the bottom are ready to cash out, till the scales tips towards new buyers and optimism in the market we have to stay here to serve the sellers.  That whole iterative process that constantly goes on to provide a price balance is more important then just one event from Mt. Gox, the news on that failure is years old so its not new and not systemic so its not that relevant especially.  
hero member
Activity: 1344
Merit: 540
I thought that payout will be spread along? from March-September?

And not sure if this is the first time that we have heard about Mt. Gox supposedly payout, and again not saying that it wouldn't put a dent in the market, but it's so tiring to here about this in numerous occasions.

So let see how it goes, I do agree that nothing is certain, and as experience investors, we should know how to take advantage of the market situations.
mk4
legendary
Activity: 2870
Merit: 3873
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So what do you suggest? That the MtGox users don't get their bitcoin back? If you're that certain that it will push bitcoin's price down, then you can take advantage of it. But the fact is, nothing is certain concerning markets.
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