Topic: Approximately 384 Days until the next Bitcoin halving (Read 550 times)

I think bitcoin's short-term structure has now broken down and it has, in a certain way, moved into at least the medium to long term.  Confidence and bitcoin's halving in 2024 are driving that.  the market has almost tested the $21k support and ascending is confirmation.  I look forward to buying and accumulating bitcoin well this year. I am ready for that.

I've been waiting for this day since I first entered the crypto world. I've never experienced how the halving and bull run occur in tandem, but I've heard from many people about how everything in the market tends to be. I'm also hoping to accumulate bitcoin before the halving so that I can benefit from it as well. Because bitcoin is the only coin that can regain its strength after a price change caused by the volatility it has experienced over the years.

If a holder has a long-term plans for btc, much better to accumulate satoshis whenever it goes down.
Because being a holder, you have a strong belief that someday, btc will rise up and so you will reap your rewards.
These days of waiting will be over very soon, so we should act before this event happens.
More than a year of waiting is sometimes not bearable for some who have their short-term plans.
The good thing in this market is anyone can speculate, but it depends on how you react on this to take advantage of the possible opportunity.

Thanks for the reminder! Its crazy that the next halving is just over a year away! We are certainly due for a nice bull run around then, one would hope! Keep stacking! Accumulation of SATs is a must in this day and age.

Some people worry that the next halving won't push bitcoin price higher than before, and I believe that is a healthy mindset. Of course optimism is needed, but the market never works the way we think it will. There are times when the future trend will not be the same as the past trend, but one can look forward to its repetition by investing without ignoring any risk.

People keep pushing that the halving could affect the price even could support new ATH process afterwards. I never know how certain it is, but it's just a possibility that it can be right or it can be wrong in the end. But history says halving is a good start to look forward to a new ATH on bitcoin.

Not sure if an exact date is important at all, except of course for the miners themselves.
It's always interesting to see the conecpt of "already priced in" with information that are openly available, such as the approx. halving date - but then still seeing a strong effect after it has taken place.
For previous halvings that means the effect was not fully priced in already - will this change this time and we see a more gradual price adjust until shortly before or after the actual halving and then no crazy pump this time? I wonder...

maybe the same as the prediction from Coingecko who also did the determination ;

https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/bitcoin/bitcoin-halving#:~:text=When%20Is%20The%20Next%20Bitcoin,will%20be%20reduced%20to%203.125.

Same prediction as mine, and so this is really a big and important event for bitcoin and probably for those who haven't seen one, this is going to be exciting. Specially to see how the price is going to move after that, and they can finally see and feel what a bull run really means in bitcoin market, as the price could go up and it's going to be massive.

$100k will be the obvious target, at least 6 digit and then we will see how big it's going to be. So everyone should tune in to the halving next year. Supply will dwindle but the demand is going to be big.

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Well...! Just today there are fewer days, I don't think that marking the Halving as a goal or point from which the "run of animals" is going to happen, has to marking himself as a prisoner who can't do anything else.

The Halving is (or was) the "star" of some exciting turning points, but perhaps as that old rock & roll star can't be wearing his classic outfit, they would say his best years are over.(!?)

I'd call it the next 'big one' for this industry if incase. There's still more than a year before the anticipated fork but people are already focused with what is expected by many of us, based from the past of this industry. Well, not to close doors for the tendencies this year but the increase we are seeing right now is somehow not strong enough to be continuous 'til next year which makes it worrisome to many investors. But it would always be advisable to enter the market as long as you can endure market downfalls given that consistency is lacking in this industry. You are lso free to wait for clear signs to occur whether this year or on the next hard fork. Just be sure to gauge the odds and your capability as an investor.

My view on this is neutral. Ok, 4th halving. So what? It isn't an experimental dev game anymore.

Funny thing is that both these two, and the one at the OP are different estimations.

Let's break it down a bit. The next halving will emerge in 840,000 - 774,889 = 65,111 blocks. That's approximately 651,110 minutes, which is 10,852 hours, or 452 days. So bitcoinblockhalf.com calculations are right.

I’m always eagerly awaiting each bitcoin halving. It’s better than Christmas for me (well what happens post halving any way) because we always absolutely moon 12-18 months after the halving. The reduction in supply is like a boa constrictor, squeezing, we start to pump & euphoria surrounds everything bitcoin related.

I think we’ll cross $100,000 easily after the next halving, wouldn’t surprise me if we get closer to $200,000 by the end of 2025. Buckle up, it’s going to be a wild ride.

I am very happy checking with halving time countdown and so excited waiting for Bitcoin break out when halving time coming close, many people loss their Bitcoin investment during last one year after Bitcoin drop drastically from all time high price. Lest talk possibility with 383 days left for Bitcoin halving will back make new all time high price? Still not hype right now with one year left for halving time and I don't know when investor coming back and invest their money with Bitcoin to get positive moment with halving time.

Last two days Bitcoin have reached almost $24,000 and seems to be $30,000 not difficult actually little having bad news and not any bad impact for making Bitcoin drop again.

Well said! Halving is much anticipated and more people are now aware of it and are ready to make money to avoid missing out, unlike the last ones. But have you ever thought of it backfiring? I am much expecting the moment as well, but as an investor, I will always be very careful to overstate what could be the outcome. Like I always tell people offline, I will follow what I see on my long-term chart rather than allow myself to be blinded by a tradition.

I've stayed long enough in the financial market to say that things do not always happen the way we plan at times, and if it does, we take advantage. But under a careful consciousness.

I'm happy that the supply of bitcoin is shrinking but at the same time concerned about miners. So many of them are still at losses from the previous market collapse and now in less than 1 year and some months, their reward from block reward will be half insinuating a reduction in the amount of take home revenue, I hope the bitcoin price beat the previous ATH we have seen previously otherwise some miners will be forced to shut down their equipment which may undermine the security of bitcoin, and talking about the hardware, the cost of purchasing antminer is no longer friendly and the cost of production is no longer viable for a common miner, there are big positive things I anticipate with the next halving.

I don't think this halving affect Bitcoin price as much as previous ones. It's natural for people to follow this because they think from past experiences that similar events will happen in the future. I think it's very possible that we will see a new bull market, but halving won't be the only reason. We've been in a downtrend for a long time and Bitcoin is just giving signs of recovery. Since the market won't fall continuously, it will rise again at some point.


It's hard to pick the right altcoin and every new cycle created new altcoins. If you buy the wrong altcoin, you can even lose money, let alone make money. Bitcoin is always the safest choice in crypto-currency market. I always have Bitcoin in my wallet, whether there is a new bull market or not.

I kind of agree on that contrarian perspective.
Still, it's important to notice that first of all, the 4 years cycle of halvings kind of aligns well with other economic cycles, also each additional Bitcoin DOES INDEED become more precious and takes double the expenses to produce with mining.
Just because of these two factors, it is still very likely to see a big effect coming from the halving - however the effect we see on the market could be much earlier than expected or delayed a little more. Personally I expect to see a slower curve with less amplitude regarding the effects on pricing - exactly because so much more people are aware of this cycle and its implications.

Are we entirely sure about the date? The one I am looking at right now is saying there is about 450+ days left in there, and some say even more, we are not entirely sure how many days are left but I am pretty sure it's way more than nearly a year, it's a bit later than that.

If I remember correctly, it was may 10th last time it happened, doesn't mean it will be exactly same day, but could be in April too, or even in march, all of which would mean it's more than 13-14 months away, and that's more than 380 days. That's just me though, maybe I do not know where to look at and I am looking at the wrong places, that's why you should do your own research when it will be. In any case, whenever it is, I am just buying and holding, so it will be good for me whenever it happens.

I won't say that apart from accumulating Bitcoin you need to also accumulate altcoins that might benefit you instantly when the bull run comes. I am too curious to know which altcoin do you think can be beneficial as most of them are a fluke and would die in some time. Please do not list the top 100 altcoins as per the CMC within a year as I have seen many getting removed from that list.

I believe that we should not just keep accumulating BTC but alts too, some alts have done 100 and some even did 1000x after previous halving. However, we don't know where the money will land just before/after halving takes place. Only time will tell, however, halving has always proven to be the best time before which pumps take place and the real value already gets priced in. So, doing it in chunks will definitely help us out to earn a lot during halving.

I don't know.
I'm not eagerly waiting for the halving to happen. It will happen soon so I'll just wait, and I don't want to put myself to a point where I will just look at websites where the number of days before the next Bitcoin halving is being posted there.

Next bull run should be coming in 2024? You are saying this just because of the historical movement of Bitcoin right.
Just so you know, past performance doesn't mean future performance. What happened in the past might not happen in the future. Though I believe in 4-year cycles, I don't want to expect too much from it, and I always think that anything can still happen with Bitcoin and crypto in general.

Say this to all investors who are scared to buy last year. Say this to all investors who just panic sell last year and didn't bought any Bitcoin at all. Say this to all investors who didn't accumulate not even a single satoshi last year. If you didn't buy Bitcoin last year and even at this moment because you're scared, it's ok because it's your decision. Just be ready if the bull run happens again.

Yes, I agree with you that there will definitely be build up buying before the halving. This could happen towards the Ember months of this year.
For the hope of halving bull to remain alive, the market needs not be in red throughout this year.
Of course the year started well in the crypto industry and I believe positive movements would be seen again and then my greatest fear is that 2024 halving shouldn't fail.

And one question I cant help but ask each time I see a comment like this is, Has it been established that there will always be a bull run at every halving?, from my personal perspective of things, I've not been able to find anywhere its been stated as a guarantee that there will always be a bull run at every bitcoin halving ..
I know that announcing bull run at bitcoin halving are all speculations which is born from what we've experienced during the previous halving's, but I think its wrong to begin to state it or make it look as if it has become a guarantee that there will always be a bull run at every halving.

There should be no pressure for accumulating more if you see think prices can rise because under these situations we tend to invest more then what we afford to loose which is risky.The prediction is it can rise but it can be opposite also but yes you are right on the part that we should focus more on investing at this time but it should be in our limits.

The cycle can be shorter or longer than average of past cycles but I really believe that history will repeat itself minimally. Hence we will have other bull runs related to Bitcoin halvings in fufure.

Bigger or smaller than past cycles, it is not big problem if with every halving, we see Bitcoin makes its new all time high.

I think in future, when Bitcoin block rewards become smaller and smaller than at some future halvings, when the inflation curve becomes too flat, effect from halving will be smaller. New all time highs from halvings will not too big but it's good to have new all time highs anyway.

Yes and besides it's also possible that a 4 year bitcoin cycle is history and we're going to witness something completely different and yet unseen (I hope in a positive way haha). Previous cycle was ~a month shorter as we reached ATH in November 21. I hope this trend will be kept intact and this cycle will be even shorter but at the same time I don't think ATH is possible as early as 2024. 

People now onwards have the mind of bullish market, and they never find it hard to see the downturn of the market. As halving is cyclic it lowers the supply which boosts the price. Maybe the first and fourth year is bullish, but this falls in the consecutive order. For that reason it looks like we're experiencing the bullish move close to the days of halving.

The halving is a big event but what has happened previously is the markets moving
either side of the actual halving.

In the past people have been asking if "the halving has been priced in" and with the last
one it pretty much was.

So expect the markets to move before and after the halving. I like to see it as the 2
big years in the 4 year cycle being the first and last.

Over 350 days to go, and this is going to be a big year for bitcoin and best time to buy all cheap coins off the weak hands! 

If only this information can be broadcast more on these popular crypto sites and all other social media channels, all these negative stories like an exchange has been hacked etc will matter less as all crypto enthusiasts would be focused on this.. btw am now bullish after knowing of this, Q4 of 2023 will be busy !

Slow and steady wins the race, I like where you going with this but there is nothing with a bit of excitement and some panic buying at least you get to live the bitcoin way

Ive been able to witness 2 Bitcoin halvings and i agree that there are really that positivity that circles around it specially when we are nearly approaching to the point but lets not really make ourselves that optimistic that much because significant movement or bull run doesnt really happen on the time that it would happen and might take up some years or several months which it would really be just right that you should really be that versatile when it comes to possibilities that could happen within the market. Dont make yourself that too optimistic because it would really be just making you that positive on things which arent even assured.
This is why it would be understandable  that you should know on how to accept for whatever you would be able to encounter on future years to come.

I agree that many things could happen from now until then, but the fact is that there will be a lot of people who would be hyped for this. There is absolutely nothing that would be shocking about that, it's going to be serious task.

I believe that we could do something much better with this if we could just end up with a good result beforehand, meaning if people end up buying bitcoin in bulks with expectations that bitcoin will grow bigger. That's going to happen for sure, I just don't know by how much. In that situation we are going to see it grow bigger during late stages of 2023, and early in 2024 as well, and it will be a great period for all of us to see it go up.

Yes let's not pay all attention to the next halving without minding the current market recovery that can give smart traders some profits that may be much more than what the halving anticipated price could give, at present bitcoin is already in recovery mode and with that we can see that there have been a lot of speculations on what the market will look like in the next few weeks months and year before the halving.
-paying more attention to current market situation saves you a lot in both ways, it can save you from losses and also earn you profits if you open your position in-between.

I have been going through the replies and I feel most of them who replied have encountered FUD. BTW, you are not obligated to buy Bitcoin or accumulate it as it is readily available at the moment. The thing is that you might be selling it at a cheap price for your personal requirements. It would be great if you calculate and sell the amount of satoshi to USD for your personal need. I am an investor  and I know the power of accumulation before the next halving. 

There is still alot times before halving which is more than a year. One year is big, some things may happen in between years. 6 months is enough years for anything to happen in cryptocurrency market. But in all, the time is still far and the effect can't be felt from now

Close to the days will be more enthusiastic. For now, we can have a reminder that we're getting just a year ahead and it is time to accumulate as much possible. The halving cycle have brought good increase in the price of bitcoin over the past events. This time too expecting the same. This being a special event, more expectations will be found among all level of investors.

Yeah, it's what everybody is thinking about that ATH might really occur at 2025 while it starts on 2024 just after the halving. And we're not that far with those years because we're already in 2023 and the past halving of 2020 just did passed too quickly and that seemed to so fast because of the pandemic. We've been in locked downs and people tend to have a quicker phase of life because of it and the technology that has been introduced world wide made things looked so easy and fast. I've watched some good analysis that I follow that has basically good feed back from that person and says that this year might really be the test but then, we just have to endure it and then we'll see the glory days again.

384 days is over a year from now, can you really keep up the enthusiasm you have now and keep counting down to the next halving? If you can that will great, but otherwise, there is no need to sweat it, but just concentrate on whatever strategy you have for accumulating bitcoins. The halving is something that will surely happen, the knowledge of it should also contribute to your courage to HODL.

Lets not be so gloomy, I know my previous comment was and some other posts too.
But this could all be a good thing that previous bull run was cut short abruptly and we entered a bear market with multiple crashes. There could be an accumulated demand specially with the way economy has failed we could see more people thinking about hedging against their failing unlimited supply fiats and cause a much bigger rise than the cycle before last. 

I am not interested in this count down because I don't want to move fast, we still have a full year and few days, that's enough for some accumulation but looking at the count down timer time to time will put me under pressure, since the law of crypto investment is to invest only what you can afford to lose then I really need to take things slow, there is no point in rushing, also after the halving it doesn't mean that price will instantly start to surge, it will take few months and uptrend will start climbing.

It's really worth a wait though, we all looking forward because we wanted to see how big this coming bull run is due to the block halving.

Yes, I do agree that as time goes on, the amount of increased is getting smaller, but still though the it makes us excited as what will be the price as majority is predicting that at least 6 digits could be in our horizon. So who wouldn't be happy to see our portfolio grow because the catalyst is going to happen in the next 300+ days? If you are not happy then maybe you didn't do the right thing is this bear market, which is to accumulate.

All of us do really wait up for this prestigious event on Bitcoin which is the halving on which we do really have lots of expectations and positivity towards it because we know that bull run do comes
after that and this is why people do really have that impression and anticipations that it could happen once again after the bull run.Well, its not really that something assured but we've seen the history.
We are all excited for this upcoming halving event which would be in next year.Lets see if it would be giving out some significant positive effect on the market or not.
But im not really that expecting that much though.

Really much and much
I am likely missing so much this having.
Although it is still a year later, I am quite sure that we can survive again. Now, Bitcoin halving becomes our first target because this is commonly the period where the bullish era may be upcoming. Btw, aside from that, I am curious about the new ATH that will be reached. I am wondering will become 100k like the previous prediction.
However, whatever it is, we must earn from the previous period after having, to be more ready and utilize every chance to take profits before losing chance and getting bearish very soon again.

People is I think done with those scenarios as the market is climbing back slowly and regaining a good strength for past couple of days. And also once the halving days nearly comes for sure many investor are slowly packing up some bitcoins for them to hold since we always see this pumping once this event happen. For now eventhough green light is on in the market I still believe that its good to accumulate slowly by slowly so that we will have funds for good times to happen and will not left by the train. Its hard to get FOMO when bull run is already happening.

This is another way to look at things. If we keep this point of view, then i think 15,800$ is already the bottom which market hit for this bull market and now the market will recover. The only reason the market can go down below this level is there is another black swarm event resulting in a big dump in price.

By the way, i think it is not the bull phase but an accumulation phase which may last for many months. We have seen this in the last two bull markets, and it seems that history will repeat again.

For me, the bull run will start as soon as the bitcoin hit its all time low in this bear market. This will mean that bitcoin cannot go below this level and we may see slow recovery towards the upside. Initially the recovery will be slow but after the halving we may see the real surge and bitcoin breaking the all time high and making new highs.

But isn't it the recovery or the bull run will start after the block halving? So definitely everyone should be excited about the this activity for bitcoin enthusiast. So technically, we are still in the bear market, so even if we have seen the spike in the price this month, still very far from what we are expecting in a real bull run come 2024/25.

But the thing is with this current situation, not too late to accumulate as we have a full year to save and stack BTC and then continue to HODL.

@molsewid - you don't need to wait, you can still do DCA for this price and store up.

Yes, honestly I am not yet excited to the halving since I don't have any bitcoin yet I think I need to accumulate more and more bitcoin and other crypto. If market recovers and my assets before goes back to its value maybe I will convert it all to bitcoin. I am just hoping that before halving there will be market recovery first. But for now I will try to save more for me to buy bitcoin little by little.

I think it will depend on how bitcoin is going to behave by the end of 2023. If bitcoin cross some upper levels yet above 30,000$ and 40,000$, I guess the real bull run which should drive BTC to a new ATH won't take too long to start, so it could happen still in 2024. To have ATH in 2025 only, I believe bitcoin should have a poor performance in 2023, what so far isn't happening and I hope it won't!

I believe most of us are eagerly waiting for Bitcoin halving since it is a sign for a possible Bitcoin rally.  Almost every Bitcoin-halving event, the market are getting hyped because of the thinking of getting less supply from the mining activity.  Aside from that Bitcoin-halving is always followed by bitcoin price uptrend activities which end in breaking the old ATH and creating a new one.



Many are anticipating that the new ATH will possibly happen in 2025 so yeah, the expectation may create hype and possibly a market pump.

I don't have doubts that there is certainly going to have a bull run by 2024. But I think it's better to expect it not during the halving but after the halving period of time. And much better to compare it for most of the past bull runs wherein, the bull run took place after a year of the bull run.
2016 halving ~> 2017 bull run
2020 halving ~> 2020 bull run
2024 halving ~> 20?? bull run

I am assuming that 2025 will be the greater year than of 2024 but, it's very highly likely that we also see the pumps for most of the crypto market by that year.

This is more or less reminder to the amazing minds that worked behind the strategy of mining algorithm. Just wow to them how they planned it long ago with limited resources and only power of their minds nothing more nothing less. Just look at the figures and how they are creating lower supply each 4 years thus increasing the demand for it. The thought about their strategies behind amazes us. Happy upcoming halving. This year is gonna be interesting one.

But at the same time, it was larger in pure value.
If we go with percentage, yes, it's 14x, 4x, so maybe 1.3x but if we go with value, then we have $19000, $49 000 so maybe $80 000 which will indeed look closer to your expectations of $120k. I wish people would stop looking at the 200x increase in the last ten years and realize that those times will obviously not repeat themselves, at least not on such small intervals as a decade.


Certainty? History has a habit of not repeating itself just when people expect it to do the most.
The was a certainty that bitcoin will never go below the previous cycle and yet, history was made, so there is no certainty in something that is going to happen in one year! Highly possible, yes, but not guaranteed!

After this month January, many bitcoiners believe in a turnaround in the bear market. The current month is the strongest monthly gain since October 2021, almost +40% for bitcoin. The current phase could also be seen as a preparation for the halving and new ATH, which many believe in. I am of course watching the coming months and the higher the price more likely the ATH will be after the halving.

I've always seen halving as a reliable indicator of good things. I do think that the next couple of halvings aren't enough to make people (or miners) permanently panic, though. Even after the one after the next it's still over 1 BTC and if price goes along with long-term trends I expect that single BTC reward to still be plenty incentive.

But yes. I am looking forward =)

Some facts I'd like to remind you guys about:
- during previous cycles price before the halving was already high enough (although not really close to ATH). Last cycle it was around $10k (and I guess there was a short-lived pump to as high as $14k?). For this cycle it would mean we'll reach at least $35-40k.
- halving had already been priced in, before the actual halving happened
- previous cycle was somewhat shorter than the previous ones (you can forecast the trend?)

So I guess you have guessed already - I'm quite bullish atm and for the short-middle term. This is not a financial advise. DYOR. 

The last bull run was smaller than the one that came before it in terms of relative increase in peaks. $1,300 -> $20,000 -> $69,000 ->

I'd be happy if the bull run that will come after the next halvening will peak at $120,000. But that's still 6 times higher than now, and it's a tremendous result for 1-2 years of growth. So people should definitely be accumulating now, just don't miss out on the chance to sell high when the bull run will start.

There's certainty that there's going to be a bullrun in the year 2024 during the halving period but before that time comes, we are not sure of the exact month this may fall into but likely within the first four months of the year 2024, also there's going to be a high volatility in bitcoin price whereby we may experience dip and bull at the same time especially when getting close, the more our chances of making profits if we invest now on bitcoin and hodl for the next bullrun targeted on the coming halving, which means there's no fear for missing out no matter how when that time comes.

People see bitcoin's past halving performances as "evidence". But once everyone expects the same exact thing to happen though, that's when things end up moving differently. Maybe the price increase would come far sooner, far longer in the future, or maybe not at all.

the main reasons are that industrial mining farms do not pay bills by the week or month, using coin they mined that week or month. they have better business models that that silly whimsical game of cat and mouse bill paying game..

they pre-buy electric contracts for 6-24 months(ahead) at a fixed rate, meaning better bulk purchase prices than normally offered to monthly bill payers

this means the 2022 residential electric price rises have not affected the industrial miners YET
so their cost average is still at early 2022 electric levels of the industrial grid prices

how they account their BTC cost is not done as a weekly/monthly event either
they know they will continually mine for a couple years at X rate electric. and their hardware they run for a couple years before selling second hand to then buy new gen efficient equipment. so they work in periods of 1-2 years depending on contract deals

so they calculate their costs at the start of the 1-2 years. and they then see how much coin they accumulated after 1-2 years and THEN set their cost per coin of that allotment.

they are not selling the coins they just mined. they sell the previous periods coins (deflation means they profit by selling older coins first)

so this is why, even though their coin production halved in:
2012 the markets didnt shift until 2013
2016 the markets didnt shift until 2017
2020 the markets didnt shift until 2021

Bitcoin halving is always much anticipated because of the potential high in bitcoin price that follows up. Those that buy low now and have been patient all along will reap the fruits of their patience soon. The wanting that comes to not missing out on the bull run should not pressure one to lend money to buy BTC. Research and findings will be very much needed when the need to invest in BTC  against the bull run comes.

What you said could happen after this halving we are expecting. But for now the wave is still pushing and this year halving has been preached more than other ones. That is why the pumping will not fail. The hype is high and everyone is expecting it.

I still don't see a strong connection between the bear market and halving events, and while it's generally good that fewer Bitcoin will be added to the supply on a regular basis, there's also the frustration some miners might experience due to mining becoming less profitable. I don't mind halving, I'm generally neutral about it. But I think there isn't enough evidence to expect a bull run around halving. We may have a bull run sooner, in 2023, we may have its continuation in 2024. To me, halving it just an end of a cycle, an end of a stage of Bitcoin's life.

Since the last cycle was cut short abruptly and compared to previous cycles that we had was a tiny rise, I no longer thing the 4-year cycle is a solid trend at this point even though we may start seeing another cycle shape up in the future.
For now there are a lot of other events in the world that are affecting the global economy hence affecting bitcoin price which in my opinion are more important to watch than the halving.

Here is it:
https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/--5403419
It's just because of the average they use to calculate and the project they make between difficulties.

But I still think those will be a bit more accurate than the previous ones, the difficulty jumps are not the same as before and they really can't go anymore over 20-30% like years ago, the shear amount of gear that needs to do so is just impossible to come by.
From June till now the clocks have moved around 4-10 days, so probably with what is left the current times are less than one week off.


The estimate is done according to the current block time and the average between them, then simply transformed into days and months.
It's a pretty simple thing but since everyone likes different averages over different timespans, they do it just like a guy doing TA when they want to draw lines over periods of one year or one month, arbitrarily choosing dates, and thus having the same accuracy as TA..which we all know how it ends.

Anyhow, I don't know what's so special about 384 days from now, OP could have waited a few weeks and created the topic when one of the dozen of clocks would have shown there is exactly one year left to the halving!

I can still be patient waiting for the next halving because I've already had one before, so it's not a big problem for me to wait for another one. Apart from waiting, I also prepared myself to be able to have more bitcoins by buying them some time ago when the bitcoin price was still below $20k.

If you just wait and count the days without doing anything, you could miss an opportunity to buy bitcoin at a low price. Many predictions say that the price of bitcoin will reach its latest peak at the next halving. But we are still guessing whether the new price will occur before or after the halving occurs. And if you want to sell your bitcoins at the next high, you should be able to collect more bitcoins from now on.

Do not worry- what you are feeling is the good kind of pressure.

Given the current trend of halvings and its past effects, expect the price of BTC to skyrocket in the market. While there is indeed that pressure of accumulating, it is the good kind of pressure where the end result WOULD most likely result in a profit. If you feel like you have to purchase and HODL, then do it for as long as you are using your spare funds for this.

Before, I used to ignore every halvings and I took it for granted. Now, I will definitely purchase and HODL my coins to take advantage of its price increase on the market.

I am eager into seeing the next halving. I've seen two of it and very optimistic on how it is going to be after the halving next year.

Yeah, those that still haven't taken any bitcoin on their stashes, you should be able to buy now while we're seeing it down from the ATH that it has got.

You don't have to buy a whole bitcoin if you can't, what matters is you'll be consistently buying it only if you've got the same optimism as we've got since we've witnessed how good the effect of it for bitcoin.

Many are waiting as most believe that only when the halving takes place will bitcoin be able to rise again and reach a new ATH. But it can be seen that we are more than a year away from halving, so the bitcoin rally to 23k is something we should be very careful about, the bear season is not over yet, and most likely bitcoin will drop again.

it's true what you said we don't know when it will happen the date and month, we don't even know for sure because we know crypto is very difficult to predict,
by looking at many sources, I have more than enough for us to learn when we go in to buy back and all need the right instincts, in my opinion in this case,

I know and we only the exact block number at which Bitcoin block reward will be halved. We can not know when exactly in time and date.

It is understandable to see differences in estimations from different sources. I remembered it was discussed months ago and maybe longer in the past too.

Personally, I don't time the market so I don't time the block halving time. These websites are good enough to give us a raw estimation on when a next block halving might happen.

It is better to estimate according to the blocks, because an attempt to estimate the days may give a margin of error of about a month, but in any case, the effect of Bitcoin halving will not appear on the price until after about a year has passed, meaning that the effect will not be so rapid that the price will rise directly in a week or two.

Therefore, all attempts to link it with the current market trend will not be accurate or misplaced optimism.


The difference between them is noticeable:
 425 days 12 hours 32 minutes     https://buybitcoinworldwide.com/halving/
 459 days 4 hours 58 minutes       https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/bitcoin/bitcoin-halving
 459 days 2 hours 58 minutes       https://bitcoinblockhalf.com/ 

Some websites to get estimated halving date.

• https://bitcoinblockhalf.com/
• https://buybitcoinworldwide.com/halving/
• https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/bitcoin/bitcoin-halving
• With Controlled Supply and Equivalent Network Time have more information as well as explanations for you.

Take note also as other newbies are thinking that when there was a halving it doesn't mean that the price will then rises after a month and also it is huge. This will take time mostly I noticed that after halving the price will go up after 3 - 4 months which is a good sign and it will be making new ATH. But only this data was in the previous halving and it doesn't mean that it will be rising again next year as we can't predict the future. It has a possibility that first time in 5 years it will be hitting its all-time low instead of ATH. We should just invest what we can afford to lose and let's control our emotions in this situation.

I am well aware of the incoming halving and I indeed try to accumulate as much as possible but also keeping it reasonable.
Still, it is probable that the price won't increase suddenly after the halving, it may take some time after the full effects of the halving to translate on the price.

I have good feelings on the mid term for both Bitcoin price and adoption. 

I don't want to watch the countdown because I get pressured to accumulate more because I know, halving is a big event for Bitcoin which only happens every fours years if I'm not mistaken. Better to focus now on accumulating, because we are about to rise again and this is not just a hype but its a fact and its the cycle of Bitcoin. You can do DCA, and buy little by little, what's important here is that you have Bitcoin holdings and you can make profit out of it.

As much as I am waiting for the next halving, am just looking forward for market recovery. I think the btc and crypto community have seen enough bear market that everyone is eagerly looking forward to a more greener and fun market. Things are relatively quiet and slow because of the market situation.
And yes, I have been accumulating btc as much as I can because btc is the best crypto investment you can have.
It will be sad for anyone who could not buy btc at this low price for whatever reason.

How many of you are eagerly waiting for the next halving?



The number of blocks remaining until halving is 66140. After the upcoming halving, the block rewards would be reduced to 3.125 BTC. At the moment the block reward is 6.25 BTC, which means miners would be earning just half of what they are earning now. At the moment the number of Bitcoin generated per day is 1075 and after the upcoming halving, it will be 537.5. The next bull run should be coming in 2024, I think so as after the previous halving we saw a huge pump. We should start accumulating if you have not or if you are new here and have not invested yet then invest in Bitcoin asap. As always do your own research guys.