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Topic: ARBITRAGE: Bitstamp -> CEX.IO - Proof of Concept - page 3. (Read 5184 times)

sr. member
Activity: 406
Merit: 263
Hi everyone!  Wink

I am newbie on bitcointalk.org and hope that I created thread in right place.

I have an idea how to make arbitrage between exchanges and make money without any risk.

But I am trying to undertand where I am wrong.



The idea is simple - buy bitcoin on Bitstamp @$2374.99 and sell on CEX.IO @$2540.00.
Profit is $165.01 per 1 BTC.


Could you dab me where I am wrong?  Roll Eyes

If you have big enough amount money then it is worth to wait even 20 days. Otherwise doesn't worth to wait. I know some people doing this all the time but most of them doing this as a company so they can play with big amount money.
newbie
Activity: 179
Merit: 0
For me, it is pretty much like short-term investing. You put your money in some asset, keep it and then sell after a short period of time. Does it work like this? Or is it better to sell bitcoins right away?  Huh
member
Activity: 113
Merit: 10

p.s. did you try it and see if you can make profit in reality or is it still at concept/theory stage?

I haven’t tried it yet. Actually, I started this topic to get some advice. I am studying the pros and cons now, so I greatly appreciate that you share your opinion here.  Smiley

P.S. I am still going through verification process on Bitstamp. It was much faster on Cex.io.
Besides, the difference in rates is around $50 now. Apparently, someone has already followed my advice  Grin
legendary
Activity: 1946
Merit: 1137
sorry i completely forgot about this topic Roll Eyes

now lets look at the orderbooks.
if you sell ~1BTC the price will drop $10
and if you sell ~2BTC the price will drop $25
strange assumption. Do you really think such amount will influence the market?

it was not an assumption. i opened up cex.io and checked out the orderbook of that time. and by that time if you sold those amounts price would have fallen that much.
in deeper prices the orderbook volume became more though.

apart from withdrawal fee you will be paying trading fees too.
$20,000 * 2.5% = $500 * 2 = $1000
i don't know how much the fiat deposit in bitstamp and withdrawal from cex.io will cost
according to fee schedule it's 0.25%, and not 2.5% https://www.bitstamp.net/fee_schedule/

yeah, sorry i fixed it!

p.s. did you try it and see if you can make profit in reality or is it still at concept/theory stage?
full member
Activity: 139
Merit: 100
EU countries have advantages because depositing fiat it's free and withdrawing using sepa cost only about $10.
legendary
Activity: 2982
Merit: 1028

Now prices are into $2500 ranges. It means cex prices started to converge toward other market prices. (maybe someone started arbitrage after seeing this topic  Wink)

Well, the price on Bitstamp is $2433.98 now and $2560 on CEX.IO. The difference is still within $120. And yes, probably someone began to level the prices  Roll Eyes
its interesting to see if there's really someone out there who's trying to play with this arbs game as we knew that within a split of the seconds price will move and the transaction period will be the concern, but if done correctly and timing went to your direction its really an easy money to deal.
member
Activity: 113
Merit: 10

Now prices are into $2500 ranges. It means cex prices started to converge toward other market prices. (maybe someone started arbitrage after seeing this topic  Wink)

Well, the price on Bitstamp is $2433.98 now and $2560 on CEX.IO. The difference is still within $120. And yes, probably someone began to level the prices  Roll Eyes
member
Activity: 113
Merit: 10

Yes, that must be one of the practical problem of arbitrage trading. Price gaps may fade away in quick time or will fall into narrow range which may not cover the trading and withdraw fees. Probably we may utilize such gap for one time and these gaps may not available for subsequent tries.

But we may still keep money on Bitstamp, whereas bitcoins - on CEX.IO, so that to buy and sell bitcoins simultaneously.
newbie
Activity: 49
Merit: 0
Instead of trying to arbitrage with FIAT, why not arbitrage with coin pairs?  There seem to be large enough differences between exchanges that it could be profitable. Also, less fees and faster transfers because it is all in crypto mean that one can probably cycle the arbitrage over and over again.
bter does not allow btc withdrawals.

and all the prices you see there are "last prices". This means nothings.
btcmarkets for example has a spread from 0.09 to 0.096. So you wont get 0.0933 as you see in screenshot.
There is no arbitrage profit in crypto to crypto markets, cause it is that easy to do and many many bots are doing this already.

I wouldnt say that there is no arbitrage in different crypto markets. There are small price differences time to time. You just have to keep your eyes open. Its not an easy way to make profit, but easy money doesn't exist anyways unless you get lucky.
legendary
Activity: 2940
Merit: 1131
Instead of trying to arbitrage with FIAT, why not arbitrage with coin pairs?  There seem to be large enough differences between exchanges that it could be profitable. Also, less fees and faster transfers because it is all in crypto mean that one can probably cycle the arbitrage over and over again.
bter does not allow btc withdrawals.

and all the prices you see there are "last prices". This means nothings.
btcmarkets for example has a spread from 0.09 to 0.096. So you wont get 0.0933 as you see in screenshot.
There is no arbitrage profit in crypto to crypto markets, cause it is that easy to do and many many bots are doing this already.
newbie
Activity: 1
Merit: 0
Instead of trying to arbitrage with FIAT, why not arbitrage with coin pairs?  There seem to be large enough differences between exchanges that it could be profitable. Also, less fees and faster transfers because it is all in crypto mean that one can probably cycle the arbitrage over and over again.

https://snag.gy/PjQM70.jpg
legendary
Activity: 3654
Merit: 1165
www.Crypto.Games: Multiple coins, multiple games
sounds like it could work, but I have no experience how easy the card withdrawal is.

I would suggest you try it Smiley
Before trying, I like to suggest to make sure about viable fiat withdraw methods from cex. More importantly, need to verify what the requirements to be eligible for fiat withdrawals. Moving fiats might be a very big concern here. If anyone come with feasible solutions for fiats movements then he can enjoy sure shot profits from these type of arbitrage trading.
full member
Activity: 139
Merit: 100
You should register on cex.io and you will see that selling btc price is much lower. For example, right now btc price in usd on cex.io is $2585, but if you want to sell btc inside this exchanger, the rate is $2392 for 1 btc...

you made me go an log in to my CEX.io account after a year or so Smiley
here is a screenshot of the market at https://cex.io/trade
you can see that when you sell you sell to 2600ish price, so i guess you were looking in a wrong place that you saw $2392



my mistake, i clicked on sell/buy section not on actual trade section... Wink
legendary
Activity: 938
Merit: 1002
if it was possible someone with more experience would have been doing it already! so the difference wouldn't have existed in first place.
Yes, that must be one of the practical problem of arbitrage trading. Price gaps may fade away in quick time or will fall into narrow range which may not cover the trading and withdraw fees. Probably we may utilize such gap for one time and these gaps may not available for subsequent tries.

here is a screenshot of the market at https://cex.io/trade
you can see that when you sell you sell to 2600ish price
Now prices are into $2500 ranges. It means cex prices started to converge toward other market prices. (maybe someone started arbitrage after seeing this topic  Wink)
member
Activity: 113
Merit: 10


apart from withdrawal fee you will be paying trading fees too.
$20,000 * 2.5% = $500 * 2 = $1000
i don't know how much the fiat deposit in bitstamp and withdrawal from cex.io will cost



according to fee schedule it's 0.25%, and not 2.5% https://www.bitstamp.net/fee_schedule/
member
Activity: 113
Merit: 10


now lets look at the orderbooks.
if you sell ~1BTC the price will drop $10
and if you sell ~2BTC the price will drop $25


strange assumption. Do you really think such amount will influence the market?
hero member
Activity: 1456
Merit: 579
HODLing is an art, not just a word...
You should register on cex.io and you will see that selling btc price is much lower. For example, right now btc price in usd on cex.io is $2585, but if you want to sell btc inside this exchanger, the rate is $2392 for 1 btc...

you made me go an log in to my CEX.io account after a year or so Smiley
here is a screenshot of the market at https://cex.io/trade
you can see that when you sell you sell to 2600ish price, so i guess you were looking in a wrong place that you saw $2392

full member
Activity: 139
Merit: 100
You should register on cex.io and you will see that selling btc price is much lower. For example, right now btc price in usd on cex.io is $2585, but if you want to sell btc inside this exchanger, the rate is $2392 for 1 btc...

hero member
Activity: 3010
Merit: 794
if you are new to arbitrage know this:
 if it was possible someone with more experience would have been doing it already! so the difference wouldn't have existed in first place.

now lets look at the orderbooks.
if you sell ~1BTC the price will drop $10
and if you sell ~2BTC the price will drop $25

and with your 20K deposit assumption you get 8.4BTC
and selling that means price will drop $50

apart from withdrawal fee you will be paying trading fees too.
$20,000 * 2.5% = $500 * 2 = $1000
i don't know how much the fiat deposit in bitstamp and withdrawal from cex.io will cost

you need at least $21,000 + as much those two fees cost.
now figure out how much the price should be for you to sell!
(21,000+ double fees) / 8.4

I actually respect your opinion and analysis but i totally disagree with you sir.

Visiting these 2 websites you will discovered that the deposit and withdrawal fees shall not have any serious effect on your profits because the margin difference is really wide.

1, The potential threat to this arbitrage is the volume of the buy order.
2, Some countries cannot make a withdrawal and such countries were all listed.


Those 2 things are commonly be encountered or shall we called the risk when we do arbitrage trading. yes,risk would somehow near to zero as long you do know how to calculate all the fees and duration of transfers. This is only the thing that do really affect our profits and if we saw we are on gain then better to continue this thing for generating some income  Grin
sr. member
Activity: 585
Merit: 250
if you are new to arbitrage know this:
 if it was possible someone with more experience would have been doing it already! so the difference wouldn't have existed in first place.

now lets look at the orderbooks.
if you sell ~1BTC the price will drop $10
and if you sell ~2BTC the price will drop $25

and with your 20K deposit assumption you get 8.4BTC
and selling that means price will drop $50

apart from withdrawal fee you will be paying trading fees too.
$20,000 * 2.5% = $500 * 2 = $1000
i don't know how much the fiat deposit in bitstamp and withdrawal from cex.io will cost

you need at least $21,000 + as much those two fees cost.
now figure out how much the price should be for you to sell!
(21,000+ double fees) / 8.4

I actually respect your opinion and analysis but i totally disagree with you sir.

Visiting these 2 websites you will discovered that the deposit and withdrawal fees shall not have any serious effect on your profits because the margin difference is really wide.

1, The potential threat to this arbitrage is the volume of the buy order.
2, Some countries cannot make a withdrawal and such countries were all listed.

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