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Topic: Are be breaking long-term trendline? (Read 2590 times)

full member
Activity: 142
Merit: 100
July 11, 2014, 12:45:06 PM
#22
Trend is still intact for moon phase.
legendary
Activity: 2324
Merit: 1125
July 11, 2014, 12:43:01 PM
#21
Once the World Cup is settled, people will pay more attention on their investments, hence I see a bull period coming soon.

The tour de France just started ...
legendary
Activity: 854
Merit: 1000
July 11, 2014, 12:13:52 PM
#20
Well!!! It got off the trend line a little bit!!!  Cool
legendary
Activity: 2114
Merit: 1040
A Great Time to Start Something!
July 11, 2014, 12:04:50 PM
#19
I think it is a good time to buy.  Smiley

Husband and I have told a few people that very think the past couple of weeks and they actually listened and have thrown several thousand in.  It should get interesting from here I believe.

What is the reason for getting in at this point?

One friend I told about BTC last year and she just decided to buy now.

My husband was visiting his aunt in Vegas and mentioned Bitcoin and she wanted to know more and then decided quickly to invest several thousand.  

I think we are on the brink of another run so it is a good time to buy.  It is always more enjoyable to buy before the price rises. Wink

Yes a Huge Rally is brewing and one reason will be a flood of mainstream interest.
Bitcoin is booming!  Smiley
full member
Activity: 180
Merit: 117
July 11, 2014, 10:29:59 AM
#18
Once the World Cup is settled, people will pay more attention on their investments, hence I see a bull period coming soon.
legendary
Activity: 1148
Merit: 1001
July 11, 2014, 10:18:49 AM
#17
I think it is a good time to buy.  Smiley

Husband and I have told a few people that very think the past couple of weeks and they actually listened and have thrown several thousand in.  It should get interesting from here I believe.

What is the reason for getting in at this point?

One friend I told about BTC last year and she just decided to buy now.

My husband was visiting his aunt in Vegas and mentioned Bitcoin and she wanted to know more and then decided quickly to invest several thousand. 

I think we are on the brink of another run so it is a good time to buy.  It is always more enjoyable to buy before the price rises. Wink
full member
Activity: 153
Merit: 100
July 11, 2014, 10:05:06 AM
#16
I think it is a good time to buy.  Smiley

Husband and I have told a few people that very think the past couple of weeks and they actually listened and have thrown several thousand in.  It should get interesting from here I believe.

What is the reason for getting in at this point?
legendary
Activity: 1148
Merit: 1001
July 10, 2014, 05:52:46 PM
#15
I think it is a good time to buy.  Smiley

Husband and I have told a few people that very think the past couple of weeks and they actually listened and have thrown several thousand in.  It should get interesting from here I believe.
sr. member
Activity: 462
Merit: 250
July 10, 2014, 05:43:51 PM
#14
Not the long term trend line (Red). Just the acceleration channel trend line (Blue).



Sorry for the count! That was for something else.

So it seems that we are at the border of a new rally going on, hope that trend continues  Cheesy
sr. member
Activity: 453
Merit: 254
July 10, 2014, 05:42:38 PM
#13
In my opinion, the 2011 trendline is improbable to be reached any time soon.
The 2013 trendline touching the SR minimum and tested recently was caused by the halving (reducing inflation from ~25%/years to ~12%/year).
The effect of the halving, couple with continuous new adoption by users and merchants, caused the exchange rate to soar as we know.
Silk Road, Cyprus, China were just catalyzers accelerating the increase of the exchange rate.

But, in these 18 months, inflation differential between BTC and USD is decreased substantially, from 5-6% difference to near zero yearly.
If the inflation of M1 continue to stay around 12%/year bitcoin inflation will trend down slowly from there for sure (because of the reduced increase of hashing power).
The current trend imply BTC inflation will be lower than M1 inflation by year end (maybe earlier).

Current inflation (this week) is the default value of design.
This imply it is 2% lower, if the price do not rise and mining start increasing again, than M1 inflation.

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/17Jjhd_nnfRJ9EyYuOM1ACPMwRod3hhPqRk4YQp7FIZE/pubhtml#
sr. member
Activity: 448
Merit: 250
July 10, 2014, 11:58:47 AM
#12
i think the kower trend line will hold at an absolute minimum.
legendary
Activity: 2156
Merit: 1132
July 10, 2014, 11:54:20 AM
#11
Nonsense. I recommend a look at the schedule for 3 years and everything will be clear. The trend is up.
legendary
Activity: 1153
Merit: 1012
July 10, 2014, 11:31:47 AM
#10
People tend to think that even with high market capitalization growth trend will continue like before. That is not reasonable, because with growing valuations more and more capital is needed to move the price.

You will see multiple trendlines broken in the course of bitcoins continued rise, because valuation growth will slow down gradually. However there's nothing to fear, because it will still be a stellar rise compared to any traditional investment.
full member
Activity: 211
Merit: 100
July 10, 2014, 08:05:32 AM
#9
Still going sideways, not bullish or bearish.
hero member
Activity: 1106
Merit: 500
Life is short, practice empathy in your life
July 10, 2014, 07:57:09 AM
#8
OMG,the trendline since 2011 ist about 130 $ right now.Hope ,we do not get that low.
The rallyacceleration (not SR-Trendline but China Trendline) ist strengthened by multiple tests not weakened.

It can hover above it sideways for a long time and meet it at a higher point.
hero member
Activity: 602
Merit: 500
July 10, 2014, 07:54:12 AM
#7
What if it breaks sideways and nothing happens? Does that count as breaking downwards even if price just stays flat? Because pretty sure that's happened a couple times already.

It can go sideways until it meets the next major log trend line below it (the one from 2011), which imo is more sustainable. The silk road trend line is surely going to break, it has been tested far too often on low volume already.
OMG,the trendline since 2011 ist about 130 $ right now.Hope ,we do not get that low.
The rallyacceleration (not SR-Trendline but China Trendline) ist strengthened by multiple tests not weakened.
hero member
Activity: 602
Merit: 500
July 10, 2014, 07:49:02 AM
#6
Not the long term trend line (Red). Just the acceleration channel trend line (Blue).


+1
it is only the Rallyacceleration since 2013

before OP can call it a break:

an intraday or even up to 2 days-Violation is insignificant.

even a longer break could be a  "false breakout"

as for now I do not think it is a really market-driven break. It is just going sideways and the trendline goes up a bit day by day No momentum there
hero member
Activity: 1106
Merit: 500
Life is short, practice empathy in your life
July 10, 2014, 07:47:05 AM
#5
What if it breaks sideways and nothing happens? Does that count as breaking downwards even if price just stays flat? Because pretty sure that's happened a couple times already.

It can go sideways until it meets the next major log trend line below it (the one from 2011), which imo is more sustainable. The silk road trend line is surely going to break, it has been tested far too often on low volume already.
legendary
Activity: 2408
Merit: 1009
Legen -wait for it- dary
July 10, 2014, 06:45:51 AM
#4
Not the long term trend line (Red). Just the acceleration channel trend line (Blue).



Sorry for the count! That was for something else.
legendary
Activity: 2268
Merit: 1278
July 10, 2014, 06:19:31 AM
#3
Sanctity? Blah. I can only wish for sub-600 coins again. In fact it would be better for me if we stay down here for several more months.
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