200EMA is always a good place to buy. Except that one time in 2011...
That remark, as innocent as it sounds, is probably *the* most central problem we have when doing TA: we simply don't have much data yet.
Don't get me wrong, I don't disagree with you (about the daily EMA200, or if you're conservative, EMA300 which we hit 2 days ago), but a nagging voice in my head always tells me when I base some TA on this argument I make in my head (implicitly):
"Situation now resembles this and that aspect of the bubble/pop cycle 2012 and the bubble/pop cycle 2013
(but not the bubble/pop cycle of 2011, but I ignore that one because times were different then)".
I hope you can see my point. If you go by some semi-objective volatility measure (like BBW), we had 3 big cycles (2011, 2013, 2013/14), and a smaller one in 2012. Of those, at most 4 cycles, 1 was different, but me (and many others doing TA) tend to think of the 2011 cycle as an outlier, that can mostly be ignored.
I do the same, let me say that once more.
But, as I said above, a nagging voice in my head tells me to be careful doing so, "ignore 2011 at your own risk".