Are we now on crypto bull run or this yet to be go down futher more down than 15500?
No we aren't yet.
I'm a believer of 4-year cycles because I've seen it happening already in 2014-2018 and in 2018-2022. Though there is no guarantee that it might happen again in the future, I always expect that the between the 2nd and 3rd year of the 4-year cycle will always be the year of the bulls.
I watched a video on Youtube regarding 4 market phases of crypto and here are the 4 market phases.
1. Accumulation - This is the time where early adopters and those who have guts to buy at the bottom are starting to buy and it usually happens after market bottoms.
2. Uptrend - Now the market is starting to move higher and forming an uptrend (this seems to be the phase where we at right now).
3. Distribution - Market will reach it's peak and then the sellers will start selling their holdings and taking profits.
4. Downtrend - After sellers selling their holdings, the market will go down and will form a downtrend movement.
This might not applicable to all of the market, but just by looking at the price movement of Bitcoin over the years, I guess that is what's happening on it.