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Topic: Are we watching the crash, or watching the crash of 30 minutes ago. (Read 3014 times)

sr. member
Activity: 448
Merit: 250
ITT: People complaining about MtGox being made of cardboard, but still using MtGox.

*MIND BLOWN*
donator
Activity: 668
Merit: 500
I wonder how many bots have been killed by

a) the elongated moves in a single direction  (can kill bid-offer bots as they only get done on one side)
b) the huge lags (can kill arbitrage bots)

I bet several bots have very -ve P&L today.  These things rarely make you money.
full member
Activity: 238
Merit: 100
full member
Activity: 238
Merit: 100
Goxlag is still at an insanely large amount. I think the crash is significantly influenced by the goxlag actually.

IMO, ~$43 down to $35 (and lower?) is due to Gox being Goxed.

Guess who made money thro all of these swings? .......... Oh right..... Mt GOX

Is this lag intentional?

Unless they dont communicate with us and give us whats the bottleneck, i think it is.


Frontrunning ftw
sr. member
Activity: 462
Merit: 250
Goxlag is still at an insanely large amount. I think the crash is significantly influenced by the goxlag actually.

IMO, ~$43 down to $35 (and lower?) is due to Gox being Goxed.

Guess who made money thro all of these swings? .......... Oh right..... Mt GOX

Is this lag intentional?

Unless they dont communicate with us and give us whats the bottleneck, i think it is.
legendary
Activity: 1260
Merit: 1000
Drunk Posts
I sold about 500,000 BTC, it has not gone through yet.

I can feel with you. Just sold 22 Million. Didn't go through, either.


It seems to me that when a buy or sell order is placed it matches you up with the appropriate amount of bitcoin from the other side, so how does it match up larger orders when there are not enough sellers selling at the same price / amount of Btc? it seems as if larger orders take longer to trade, i imagine the travelling salesman problem must come in to play and the trading engine has alot of computation to do.


Limit orders are simple to match..

SELECT * FROM asks WHERE price < limitprice ORDER BY price

if there aren't enough asks below the price, insert a bid order for the remainder
full member
Activity: 154
Merit: 100
I sold about 500,000 BTC, it has not gone through yet.

I can feel with you. Just sold 22 Million. Didn't go through, either.


It seems to me that when a buy or sell order is placed it matches you up with the appropriate amount of bitcoin from the other side, so how does it match up larger orders when there are not enough sellers selling at the same price / amount of Btc? it seems as if larger orders take longer to trade, i imagine the travelling salesman problem must come in to play and the trading engine has alot of computation to do.

 
legendary
Activity: 1400
Merit: 1013
If we're touting bitcoin as a serious money alternative such huge swings are intolerable for most people.
For merchants it makes BitPay look a lot more attractive.
legendary
Activity: 1692
Merit: 1018
I put a limit order in 30 mins ago that took 5 minutes to execute.  Not bad, but still about 4 mins 55 seconds too slow.

What would really concern me now is if we see the price bounce back quickly to $45+.  Not because of personal trading, but because it was possible for bitcoin's price to crash 30% within a matter of hours.  If we're touting bitcoin as a serious money alternative such huge swings are intolerable for most people.  Imagine going into a restaurant and seeing the bill increasing 30% when it comes to time to leave.  That's Weimar Republic-esque.
anu
legendary
Activity: 1218
Merit: 1001
RepuX - Enterprise Blockchain Protocol
I sold about 500,000 BTC, it has not gone through yet.

I can feel with you. Just sold 22 Million. Didn't go through, either.
vip
Activity: 1316
Merit: 1043
👻
Canadian exchange (cavirtex) is lag free (obviously having miniscule volume by comparison) and has already rebounded to 39 at the time of this post...

could be a dead-cat bounce.. who knows?
could be? nah, the crash already happened, bitcoin will stay around the $38-$40 mark but greater resistance (finally)
legendary
Activity: 1904
Merit: 1002
The hype was there but the infrastructure wasn't. Let's hope this doesn't lead to an even greater crash when people realize mtgox is made of cardboard.

There are many more options this time around.  When gox fractures it will be time to buy hard.  It will be like blowing up a starfish pheonix.  There will of course be an incubation period, but when those eggs hatch, watch out.
legendary
Activity: 1260
Merit: 1000
Drunk Posts
Lets hope that this coinlab merger brings a better trading engine with it...
legendary
Activity: 1512
Merit: 1000
@theshmadz
Canadian exchange (cavirtex) is lag free (obviously having miniscule volume by comparison) and has already rebounded to 39 at the time of this post...

could be a dead-cat bounce.. who knows?
full member
Activity: 120
Merit: 100
I don't get it, the volume is really not all that high to make everything slow to a crawl.  Has anyone entered a limit order in the last few minutes?  Are we still looking at a delayed price?  I'm showing 39.30 right now, but I don't have any confidence that it is real time.  
legendary
Activity: 3598
Merit: 2386
Viva Ut Vivas
I sold about 500,000 BTC, it has not gone through yet.
hero member
Activity: 533
Merit: 500
The hype was there but the infrastructure wasn't. Let's hope this doesn't lead to an even greater crash when people realize mtgox is made of cardboard.

Agreed.  It'd be unfortunate if Gox's troubles outright stalled this rally, which I'd argue it has.
legendary
Activity: 1025
Merit: 1000
The hype was there but the infrastructure wasn't. Let's hope this doesn't lead to an even greater crash when people realize mtgox is made of cardboard.
legendary
Activity: 1692
Merit: 1018
I think we're watching a fight between two groups of traders: those putting orders in to buy at any price, and those who are looking to dump before it all goes lower again.  MtGox is choking on the number of orders placed.  The dollar or more spreads between bids and asks suggest people are trading blind.
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