A bit optimistic, eh? ..considering BTC100 per share would mean ASICMiner is worth BTC40,000,000..or almost double the value of the entire Bitcoin economy.
If anything, double digits is certainly possible.
Max would be similar to the network percentage they maintain + Sales of Units so it would be at 10 perhaps based on current value
NOTE: That is assuming a nearly fully valued share
5 I would say is very possible at this time if the bitcoin economy keeps growing and it maintains a share value proportional to the value of the whole economy that number will rise
It is interesting though
More Wallets
http://blockchain.info/charts/my-wallet-n-users?showDataPoints=false&show_header=true&daysAverageString=1×pan=&scale=1&address=
http://blockchain.info/charts/market-price Decreasing Price per Bitcoin
http://blockchain.info/charts/my-wallet-n-tx Transactions Static
http://blockchain.info/charts/market-cap Market cap is still a good billion though
So ASIC at 100 million value now 150 mill would mean another 40%-50% to go assuming a decently growing market cap + network and sales
25% of Network theoretical full value based on current size of bitcoin
30% of Network theoretical full value based on current size of bitcoin
+ Sales of Units
I don't have the data on adoption curves on a logarithmic scale but it is very similar to that if someone has it would like to see it
A lot of calculations to determine a predicted Full Market Value as bitcoin is still growing
Moving that scale I could easily say doing these calculations a year ago would be at 150 million the value of ASICminer now so the base value of the capital is important
I would say that depending on your attitude to the viability over the very long term in Bitcoin
An opportunity presents itself here
If your a pessimist from 2013 its just a drop back to 0
If your a pessimist from 2011 yawn I saw this already
If the Bitcoin economy keeps growing so should the share price
Either way it is interesting
Here's a video on what I mean by logarithmic scales and S-shaped adoption curves
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=K7LQu-eIOO0