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Topic: Avalon batch #3 approaching "NO ROI" point (Read 4301 times)

hero member
Activity: 630
Merit: 500
Bitgoblin
June 24, 2013, 01:32:34 PM
#48
Agree on that, see my previous post.
True, my bad, for some reason I totally missed that post...
legendary
Activity: 1148
Merit: 1018
LOL, calm down... Get a refund, sell it on gox before it's too late and buy some happy miners with a sure negative ROI for sport later, just like i (and many others, i suppose) plan to do...

I think it's already too late, I don't see how this refund thing will be immediate, and double digits are knocking hard at Gox's door.

Still, you paid in BTC and you'll get a BTC refund, so no issue there...


Agree on that, see my previous post.
hero member
Activity: 630
Merit: 500
Bitgoblin
LOL, calm down... Get a refund, sell it on gox before it's too late and buy some happy miners with a sure negative ROI for sport later, just like i (and many others, i suppose) plan to do...

I think it's already too late, I don't see how this refund thing will be immediate, and double digits are knocking hard at Gox's door.

Still, you paid in BTC and you'll get a BTC refund, so no issue there...
legendary
Activity: 1176
Merit: 1001
LOL, calm down... Get a refund, sell it on gox before it's too late and buy some happy miners with a sure negative ROI for sport later, just like i (and many others, i suppose) plan to do...

I think it's already too late, I don't see how this refund thing will be immediate, and double digits are knocking hard at Gox's door.
I think that there is at least a 72h timeframe to sell at 100... maybe even a little more (and maybe it's gonna skyrocket, who knows?)
You are more active in the wall thread than i'm Wink
legendary
Activity: 1148
Merit: 1018
LOL, calm down... Get a refund, sell it on gox before it's too late and buy some happy miners with a sure negative ROI for sport later, just like i (and many others, i suppose) plan to do...

I think it's already too late, I don't see how this refund thing will be immediate, and double digits are knocking hard at Gox's door.
legendary
Activity: 1176
Merit: 1001
LOL, calm down... Get a refund, sell it on gox before it's too late and buy some happy miners with a sure negative ROI for sport later, just like i (and many others, i suppose) plan to do...
legendary
Activity: 1148
Merit: 1018
So asking for a refund would give you a positive USD return...

If I'm not mistaken when batch #3 opened (was it 26th or 27th of March?) Bitcoin was around the same exchange rate as per today, ie $100ish... Maybe a little bit less ($90?), really don't remember the exact figure, but I remember making the calculation that in USD it costed aprox. $7,000

Anyhow, I don't care - I spent BTC for a unit priced in BTC - what's this thing about "positive USD return"? Are you joking? Please be serious. Is like getting a USD refund for a pair shoes you paid in USD and thinking "well, I got a positive yen return".... LOL

I spent 75BTC and I get 75BTC back - full stop. That's break-even in my book. Or if you lend me 100BTC now you will be OK if I give back 100BTC to you in 6 months with no interest whatsoever, "because the USD/BTC exchange rate went up"? Very flawed logic.
legendary
Activity: 1176
Merit: 1001
So asking for a refund would give you a positive USD return...
legendary
Activity: 2058
Merit: 1431
Anyway is the refund USD or btc fixed?
fixed in BTC
legendary
Activity: 1148
Merit: 1018
Anyway is the refund USD or btc fixed?

Batch #3? BTC, there was never a price in USD for batch #3.
legendary
Activity: 1176
Merit: 1001
Anyway is the refund USD or btc fixed?
legendary
Activity: 1148
Merit: 1018
ITT: people who don't realize Avalon batch 3 has guaranteed ROI thanks to refund policy.

If Avalon Batch3 is approaching "NO ROI" you would think folks would opt for the refund that Yifu is offering.
So far as I know, NO ONE has taken him up on this offer (maybe B1-er anti76... but it doesn't look like it).
People are often delusional or simply don't do the maths.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Special_pleading

No. It has guaranteed break even. ROI or "return on investment" actually means that the investors get some profit or benefit from the investment.

I see that 99% of the folks in here use the term incorrectly, as it was a synonym for break-even, which is incorrect. FYI: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Return_on_investment
legendary
Activity: 2058
Merit: 1431
ITT: people who don't realize Avalon batch 3 has guaranteed ROI thanks to refund policy. You don't think they're going to make ROI? Go for a refund and get instant break-even.

If Avalon Batch3 is approaching "NO ROI" you would think folks would opt for the refund that Yifu is offering.
So far as I know, NO ONE has taken him up on this offer (maybe B1-er anti76... but it doesn't look like it).
People are often delusional or simply don't do the maths.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Special_pleading
hero member
Activity: 630
Merit: 500
Bitgoblin
If Avalon Batch3 is approaching "NO ROI" you would think folks would opt for the refund that Yifu is offering.
So far as I know, NO ONE has taken him up on this offer (maybe B1-er anti76... but it doesn't look like it).
People are often delusional or simply don't do the maths.
legendary
Activity: 1148
Merit: 1018
Some Batch3 bad news...
Looks like chips are going to ship alongside Batch3.

From Yifu:
https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/m.2562419

I guess the good news is that you can still get a refund if desired.

I bet that chips will be hashing in the wild before batch #3 is completed.

Sad, we paid the highest price for batch 3 and now the only option we have is to ask for a refund. I guess they will see many refund requests in the following weeks... And I guess they will just keep the units.
sr. member
Activity: 490
Merit: 255
Some Batch3 bad news...
Looks like chips are going to ship alongside Batch3.

From Yifu:
https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/m.2562419

I guess the good news is that you can still get a refund if desired.
sr. member
Activity: 490
Merit: 255
legendary
Activity: 1112
Merit: 1000
"Avalon" almost tripled hash rate this week at BTCGuild. Are those our unshipped batch#2 and batch#3 units?

Team Avalon on BTC Guild is just 3 Batch #1 units + 6 Batch #2 units + a another Batch #1 + some curious people that don't even own an avalon as they pull 30 GH/s or less

It has nothing to do with the testing Avalon is doing
legendary
Activity: 2058
Merit: 1431
If Avalon Batch3 is approaching "NO ROI" you would think folks would opt for the refund that Yifu is offering.
So far as I know, NO ONE has taken him up on this offer (maybe B1-er anti76... but it doesn't look like it).
Please tell me more about the refund offer.
legendary
Activity: 1148
Merit: 1018

If Avalon Batch3 is approaching "NO ROI" you would think folks would opt for the refund that Yifu is offering.
So far as I know, NO ONE has taken him up on this offer (maybe B1-er anti76... but it doesn't look like it).

My guess is that if we really were approaching no roi, people would be heading for the exits with Batch3 and that doesn't seem to be the case.
At this point, I believe most folks will get their BTC investment back over the course of the next year.... and precious little after that.



We are really approaching "NO ROI", that's math. Each week "NO ROI" is closer. But ATM ROI is still possible. People is just hoping there won't be any further delays.
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