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Topic: Bears Bunker - Official thread - page 5. (Read 12110 times)

sr. member
Activity: 532
Merit: 261
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November 27, 2013, 07:42:33 PM
well actually i thought that the exponential growing was in fact related with the difficult of the network  Cheesy

anyways, if miners are cashing out now they are making really nice profits (and I believe they were waiting for that..)
legendary
Activity: 2324
Merit: 1125
November 27, 2013, 07:27:37 PM
#99
Maybe we are being too hasty...



Nothing to justify top of this channel. Not even a second point.

It's because this entire way of thinking of "the one trend" is flawed from the beginning.

Depending on your bias you use the entire data when you draw the line or, mathematically slightly more sophisticated I guess, use linear regression, or you drop some of the peaks as "outliers", in which case you get a slightly flatter line, but in the end all of that reasoning is based on the idea that one growth function governs all the time from 2011 to now.

That's almost certainly a flawed conclusion.

If you're willing to accept a huge imprecision (maybe you care only about the order of magnitude), then it's an okay approach I guess. But if you happen to be interest in the actual price, I don't see much value drawing any line between data from 2011 and 2013.

If the growth on the log chart crudely matches a linear function, one can claim exponential growth.
legendary
Activity: 1470
Merit: 1007
November 27, 2013, 12:55:10 PM
#98
Maybe we are being too hasty...



Nothing to justify top of this channel. Not even a second point.

It's because this entire way of thinking of "the one trend" is flawed from the beginning.

Depending on your bias you use the entire data when you draw the line or, mathematically slightly more sophisticated I guess, use linear regression, or you drop some of the peaks as "outliers", in which case you get a slightly flatter line, but in the end all of that reasoning is based on the idea that one growth function governs all the time from 2011 to now.

That's almost certainly a flawed conclusion.

If you're willing to accept a huge imprecision (maybe you care only about the order of magnitude), then it's an okay approach I guess. But if you happen to be interest in the actual price, I don't see much value drawing any line between data from 2011 and 2013.
legendary
Activity: 1008
Merit: 1003
WePower.red
November 26, 2013, 07:31:17 PM
#97
It seems the market has peaked, let's see how deep the correction will be.

Couple of hours after rally has restarted?  Wink Come on, Tzupy, you are way smarter, than that. It was to be expected there is some last ditch resistance before psychological barrier of 1000 breaks. By the way, volume of this "correction" is incredibly low.

If this is the first sub-sub-wave in a type 5 wave, there is always a (relatively small) correction at it's end.
But if this is the peak of wave B, then it's going to be a large one.

Tzupy, just being curious. Does your "way of guessing" work also on the profit side or only on the smart side?
legendary
Activity: 2170
Merit: 1094
November 26, 2013, 07:25:59 PM
#96
It seems the market has peaked, let's see how deep the correction will be.

Couple of hours after rally has restarted?  Wink Come on, Tzupy, you are way smarter, than that. It was to be expected there is some last ditch resistance before psychological barrier of 1000 breaks. By the way, volume of this "correction" is incredibly low.

If this is the first sub-sub-wave in a type 5 wave, there is always a (relatively small) correction at it's end.
But if this is the peak of wave B, then it's going to be a large one.
hero member
Activity: 826
Merit: 508
November 26, 2013, 07:25:10 PM
#95
It seems the market has peaked, let's see how deep the correction will be.
Not gonna happen. Not right now.
hero member
Activity: 574
Merit: 506
November 26, 2013, 07:22:18 PM
#94
It seems the market has peaked, let's see how deep the correction will be.

Couple of hours after rally has restarted?  Wink Come on, Tzupy, you are way smarter, than that. It was to be expected there is some last ditch resistance before psychological barrier of 1000 breaks. By the way, volume of this "correction" is incredibly low.
legendary
Activity: 1064
Merit: 1001
November 26, 2013, 07:16:06 PM
#93
It seems the market has peaked, let's see how deep the correction will be.
700s I'd say.
legendary
Activity: 2170
Merit: 1094
November 26, 2013, 07:13:39 PM
#92
It seems the market has peaked, let's see how deep the correction will be.
sr. member
Activity: 351
Merit: 250
I'm always grumpy in the morning.
November 26, 2013, 06:47:07 PM
#91
I tried being a bear, looked like it was going to tank at ~$775. That didn't go so well.

Now I'm all in again, but lost back the (small) profit I made on the previous dip to $450 on this trade. I think it's time to retire my 6 mo long career as a daytrader and just go B&H from now on.
hero member
Activity: 546
Merit: 500
hm
November 26, 2013, 06:44:40 PM
#90
I sold my bitcoin already yesterday for 400 USD apiece.

Not sure if happy or sad right now. I do think that the price is going to crash very soon, but I should have waited a little longer, in hindsight.

I think he is sure now^^
hero member
Activity: 809
Merit: 501
Always verify deals with me through my public key!
November 26, 2013, 06:36:06 PM
#89
It's just a matter of time....

sr. member
Activity: 532
Merit: 261
­バカ
November 26, 2013, 06:26:39 PM
#88
Tick Tock Motherfucker

legendary
Activity: 1414
Merit: 1000
November 26, 2013, 06:06:28 PM
#87
I feel, it is going $1k+ forever. :-) ( time scale 1-2 weeks )
member
Activity: 72
Merit: 10
November 26, 2013, 05:47:37 PM
#86
A correction will happen for sure but I'm back fully in BTC, the up pressure is too high.
By looking my past trading performance expect a crash any minutes from now.  Embarrassed
sr. member
Activity: 532
Merit: 261
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November 26, 2013, 05:28:52 PM
#85
you are right, I was just comparing it to the last crash, but there is no reason for doing that...

imo a correction should be between 200 and 400, or even 500 if we go a bit further
hero member
Activity: 826
Merit: 508
November 26, 2013, 05:24:37 PM
#84
Maybe we are being too hasty...


Nothing to justify top of this channel. Not even a second point.
sr. member
Activity: 532
Merit: 261
­バカ
November 26, 2013, 05:11:46 PM
#83
Need to activate the bunker. I think this growth rate is not at all sustainable.
A week after correction and we just made a new ATH 3 hours ago? Bad time to be a bear, man.

what correction?  Huh
~ 900 to 450
 Huh



you can't call that a "correction": it's just one stick in an year chart Tongue
sr. member
Activity: 532
Merit: 261
­バカ
November 26, 2013, 05:07:57 PM
#82
Maybe we are being too hasty...

member
Activity: 112
Merit: 10
November 26, 2013, 05:07:23 PM
#81
This place is scary Sad
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