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Topic: [BEARS ONLY] Predict the next big crash <600 - page 2. (Read 5718 times)

legendary
Activity: 2170
Merit: 1094
December 06, 2013, 02:09:16 PM
#56
And this small correction was just the prelude to the crash, all market indicators show really bad.
Like which ones?

Indicators like stochastic RSI, money flow index and MACD looked bad, and the ~300$ price drop that followed confirmed my post.
But it wasn't the April 10th style of crash that I was expecting, this market is different, most sellers hold tight for now.
If several hours from now, or even tomorrow 3rd December (if volume stays low) there will start another 300$ - 400$ price drop,
then the scenario that I find most probable now, that the market has started capitulation, will be confirmed.
The total drop from 1242$ to 840$ was about 30%, while the drop at the end of a supporting sub-wave has usually been about 10%,
so that drop fits much better with the first large drop of capitulation than with another type.


Today we got the confirmation that the market is in corrective wave C (I shouldn't have written 'capitulation' for the whole wave C, I know).
It took several days longer than I expected, and right now I can't tell where exactly in wave C the market is, probably in the middle.
legendary
Activity: 1666
Merit: 1057
Marketing manager - GO MP
December 03, 2013, 07:50:43 PM
#55
again, get out
legendary
Activity: 2268
Merit: 1278
December 03, 2013, 07:48:59 PM
#54
Is it really too much to ask for to have the doom and gloom backed up with something of a little substance?

I voted no to the euro all 3 times. I did so based on the fact that nobody who talked about how great it would be for us could explain why. I'm seeing the same thing here. Nobody can explain why we are about to crash, but many people are certain that we are. And I call bullshit. Explain your position bears.
legendary
Activity: 4200
Merit: 4887
You're never too old to think young.
sr. member
Activity: 476
Merit: 250
December 03, 2013, 07:24:57 PM
#52
I'd like to predict things, but that stupid Google Trends thing seems to always start lagging by 4-5 days just when things are getting interesting with Bitcoin. It did the same in April.

Anyway, I too am still expecting a downward trend, though by the looks of things this time it's not going to be a sudden crash but some kind of jittery and fidgety long-term fizzle, which is probably better in terms of maintaining the confidence of most newcomers - we don't want flashcrash type evolutions that scare the newbies away because we want their money after all. Tongue

A downward trend will trigger flash crashes and flash rises. The market depth is not enough for things to be stable.
full member
Activity: 195
Merit: 100
Selling Coupons Babie
December 03, 2013, 06:28:07 PM
#51
I'm surprised there aren't more bears on here.  I suspect a price drop but not very much and price is moving up last I checked.  Bears are always entertaining so lets here some predictions!


It means only one thing, a crash is about to come! Get ready to buy cheap I guess
full member
Activity: 183
Merit: 100
December 03, 2013, 06:11:12 PM
#50
I'd like to predict things, but that stupid Google Trends thing seems to always start lagging by 4-5 days just when things are getting interesting with Bitcoin. It did the same in April.

Anyway, I too am still expecting a downward trend, though by the looks of things this time it's not going to be a sudden crash but some kind of jittery and fidgety long-term fizzle, which is probably better in terms of maintaining the confidence of most newcomers - we don't want flashcrash type evolutions that scare the newbies away because we want their money after all. Tongue
sr. member
Activity: 476
Merit: 250
December 03, 2013, 06:05:18 PM
#49
I don't know if bitcoin will evetually crash but the truth is that it has lost its upward dynamic. My bet is that it's going down but not a crash of course.
legendary
Activity: 2268
Merit: 1278
December 03, 2013, 05:54:07 PM
#48
And this small correction was just the prelude to the crash, all market indicators show really bad.
Like which ones?

Indicators like stochastic RSI, money flow index and MACD looked bad, and the ~300$ price drop that followed confirmed my post.
But it wasn't the April 10th style of crash that I was expecting, this market is different, most sellers hold tight for now.
If several hours from now, or even tomorrow 3rd December (if volume stays low) there will start another 300$ - 400$ price drop,
then the scenario that I find most probable now, that the market has started capitulation, will be confirmed.
The total drop from 1242$ to 840$ was about 30%, while the drop at the end of a supporting sub-wave has usually been about 10%,
so that drop fits much better with the first large drop of capitulation than with another type.

Okay, stock speak. Nice. What are the real world indicators? Is China pulling out? Did congress revert their recent opinions? Fatal flaws in the code discovered? What?
legendary
Activity: 2170
Merit: 1094
December 03, 2013, 04:50:17 PM
#47
And this small correction was just the prelude to the crash, all market indicators show really bad.
Like which ones?

Indicators like stochastic RSI, money flow index and MACD looked bad, and the ~300$ price drop that followed confirmed my post.
But it wasn't the April 10th style of crash that I was expecting, this market is different, most sellers hold tight for now.
If several hours from now, or even tomorrow 3rd December (if volume stays low) there will start another 300$ - 400$ price drop,
then the scenario that I find most probable now, that the market has started capitulation, will be confirmed.
The total drop from 1242$ to 840$ was about 30%, while the drop at the end of a supporting sub-wave has usually been about 10%,
so that drop fits much better with the first large drop of capitulation than with another type.
legendary
Activity: 1868
Merit: 1023
December 03, 2013, 02:34:23 PM
#46
I'm thinking if the Bitcoinica liquidation goes through and they sell 10,000+ BTC (to return everyone's assets in USD) that could trigger something.  Rumor is they are making progress.  Though this might take a very long time before it happens.
sr. member
Activity: 351
Merit: 250
I'm always grumpy in the morning.
December 03, 2013, 01:36:00 PM
#45
My biggest lesson this time around was "put in buy orders" when you're anticipating a correction. I sold out at the right time but didn't really profit much from it since the action happened too fast.

I do believe we will get another "crash", but it might as well be from $2000-$3000 down to here.
legendary
Activity: 2268
Merit: 1278
December 03, 2013, 12:24:36 PM
#44
And this small correction was just the prelude to the crash, all market indicators show really bad.
Like which ones?
member
Activity: 70
Merit: 10
December 03, 2013, 11:51:26 AM
#43
I'm surprised there aren't more bears on here.  I suspect a price drop but not very much and price is moving up last I checked.  Bears are always entertaining so lets here some predictions!
legendary
Activity: 2156
Merit: 1070
December 01, 2013, 07:26:01 PM
#42
So that just happened. Anyone hear the pop? Grin

It was more like a slow leak that turned into stream. 
sr. member
Activity: 351
Merit: 250
I'm always grumpy in the morning.
December 01, 2013, 03:28:06 PM
#41
So that just happened. Anyone hear the pop? Grin
newbie
Activity: 28
Merit: 0
December 01, 2013, 03:16:47 PM
#40
In a few hours Smiley
Looks like u were right
sr. member
Activity: 321
Merit: 250
Bitbuy.nl!
legendary
Activity: 2170
Merit: 1094
December 01, 2013, 01:35:47 PM
#38
Uber-bulls, this is a BEARS ONLY thread, you don't belong here, so get out!
And this small correction was just the prelude to the crash, all market indicators show really bad.
sr. member
Activity: 378
Merit: 255
December 01, 2013, 07:54:14 AM
#37
And no mention in this thread of $1233-$1063?  There's your 13% crash, bears.  Enjoy.  I really do hope you took advantage this weekend.  Maybe we'll dip a little more this Sunday before shooting up tomorrow or especially on Tuesday (since that's usually the weekend pattern).
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