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Topic: Beginner Tips on Investing in Bitcoin? (Read 4208 times)

legendary
Activity: 2114
Merit: 1040
A Great Time to Start Something!
May 20, 2014, 10:43:58 PM
#54
Why use abstract and vague rules of trading, they are so easy.

1) Identify the main trend, if it's a bearish or bullish one.

2) Trade accordingly, avoiding to trade against it. The trend is your friend.

3) Don't think the price is already very low and that it's time to buy. Prices can always go even lower.

4) Be careful guessing tops and bottoms. If you were wrong, jump out and assume the loss, instead of converting your move on a long-term one. If you insist in keeping them, avoid buying more to lower the median price, that is a recipe for disaster.

5) I know it goes against all the rules you learned on life (it's a violation of the rule of demand, that says that demand lowers when the price goes up), but don't think the price is too high to buy, unless it's clearly temporarily overbought or it was a fake breach of  a resistance. If it's on a bullish trend, the probability that it will keep going up is higher than the opposite. So, many times, buying higher has more sense than buying lower. Ex. I have little doubt that if bitcoin breaches clearly the 1156 top on bitstamp it will keep going up.

6) The rule is not to buy low and sell high. Buying an active on a bearish trend, going lower and lower, is a disaster. If the active is in a bulish trend, the rule can even be buy high and sell higher.

The hard thing isn't to identify the rules, but to follow them!

I don't mean to be blunt and rude, but thank you for teaching the newbies how to lose.  Wink
Some of your advice is solid, but part of it helps good traders make a living off of people who actually believe "that stuff".

A) Fact: Most traders lose money long term
B) If you carefully follow all 6 steps quoted above, then you are well on your way to donating money to the winners.

You claim that buying while prices are falling is a "recipe for disaster" and tell people "many times, buying higher has more sense than buying lower"...that is beautiful. Keep up the great work.
ps. I admit having trouble catching huge moves, but I've done really well buying during Bear markets and trading my way into good % gains. (often even before the trend 'officially' reverses)

Edit: If "the rules" work for you, then that's great, hopefully others might benefit also.
There are many different styles of trading and some work well only under ideal market conditions.
member
Activity: 95
Merit: 10
When investing use the 3 L rule
laugh laugh laugh

if you see a alt coin where the price makes you smile buy in

only invest as much even if the coin drops so you can still laugh

and sell the coin when you can laugh about your profit

and read the charts, read the charts Numbers dnt lie

everyone else is
legendary
Activity: 1260
Merit: 1000
World Class Cryptonaire
In addition to my previous advice. Buy bitcoin and do now before the next price increase. When July/August come around the corner and bitcoin is multiples of what it is now you will be kicking yourself for not getting in earlier. Also if you accidentally buy at a peak and then the price drops, just HOLD. Use this bitcoin price graph (or any similar graph), buy when your below the trendline, sell when your above.

sr. member
Activity: 481
Merit: 268
Everyone has to decide for himself, however, think about those that applied the policy of buy and hold by buying bitcoin at 1200 or litecoin at 50 usd.

In the long term, it's going "to da moon". Maybe, but we never can be shore.

Besides, holding them to the abysm, like crashing bellow 300, means that when bitcoin finally stop going down you won't have the guts to buy more.
sr. member
Activity: 462
Merit: 250
Buy and hold, forget about your coins for a time, you wont wanna regret of shorting them just before a rally
newbie
Activity: 23
Merit: 0
ITT: everybody talking their own book
legendary
Activity: 826
Merit: 1002
amarha
Honestly...Just buy and hold. No mining. No daytrading. Just read bitcointalk to see how many people have been burned.

But no one has been burned just buying and holding bitcoin over any reasonable amount of time.
sr. member
Activity: 481
Merit: 268
Please, avoid using that kind of strategy to invest or day trading.
There isn't a pattern of buying low in the morning and sell higher on the evening or, at most, that pattern only works out on a bullish trend. On a bearish trend (when prices are declining), you will buy high in the morning and sell lower in the night.
I know it's boring to have to read a lot about trading, but, believe me, learning buy your self will be the most costly lessons of your life.
In the middle time, check tradingview.com and see the charts users post and follow the chat on bitcoin.
newbie
Activity: 47
Merit: 0
I am new to this, but my idea was to just watch the prices on BTC-e or coinbase and buy low (I found usually in the morning and usually on
BTC-e) then sell later in the day (usually higher on coinbase).

Or you can just reap profits by going to experienced traders and just getting the profits:

https://www.mydailycoin.com/index.php?ref=pattimarkow

I'm trying my daily coin because I found it just requires too much patience and time to try to trade or invest
myself.  I was convinced that these guys are experienced traders and know what they are doing.  1% daily isn't
a lot, and you can probably earn more by learning yourself, but this certainly is easier.

Hope this helps a little.
sr. member
Activity: 481
Merit: 268
Those rules are not for day trading, the trend you have to identify is a median-term one, of at least some months. Some actives have trends of 1 or 2 years.
newbie
Activity: 23
Merit: 0
Why use abstract and vague rules of trading, they are so easy.

1) Identify the main trend, if it's a bearish or bullish one.

2) Trade accordingly, avoiding to trade against it. The trend is your friend.

3) Don't think the price is already very low and that it's time to buy. Prices can always go even lower.

4) Be careful guessing tops and bottoms. If you were wrong, jump out and assume the loss, instead of converting your move on a long-term one. If you insist in keeping them, avoid buying more to lower the median price, that is a recipe for disaster.

5) I know it goes against all the rules you learned on life (it's a violation of the rule of demand, that says that demand lowers when the price goes up), but don't think the price is too high to buy, unless it's clearly temporarily overbought or it was a fake breach of  a resistance. If it's on a bullish trend, the probability that it will keep going up is higher than the opposite. So, many times, buying higher has more sense than buying lower. Ex. I have little doubt that if bitcoin breaches clearly the 1156 top on bitstamp it will keep going up.

6) The rule is not to buy low and sell high. Buying an active on a bearish trend, going lower and lower, is a disaster. If the active is in a bulish trend, the rule can even be buy high and sell higher.

The hard thing isn't to identify the rules, but to follow them!



Though these are generally good trading rules, he asked about investing, not really day trading... with investments things like liquidity concerns make some of those rules somewhat irrelevant.
legendary
Activity: 1456
Merit: 1001
This is the land of wolves now & you're not a wolf
Depending on how much you plan on investing (as well as the country you live in), you now also have to keep tax ramifications in mind. I believe you can still only claim up to a $3,000 loss against your income, but the taxes on the gains are uncapped. Therefore, you want to plan on holding the BTC for at least a year, so that you can have long term capital gains, instead of short term capital gains. Short term gains are taxed at a higher rate.

If you are only buying a few BTC here and there, you will probably just slide under the radar. But if you have several deposits in your bank that exceed $5,000, you have got to be keeping track of everything so that you don't expose yourself to an audit.
sr. member
Activity: 481
Merit: 268
Why use abstract and vague rules of trading, they are so easy.

1) Identify the main trend, if it's a bearish or bullish one.

2) Trade accordingly, avoiding to trade against it. The trend is your friend.

3) Don't think the price is already very low and that it's time to buy. Prices can always go even lower.

4) Be careful guessing tops and bottoms. If you were wrong, jump out and assume the loss, instead of converting your move on a long-term one. If you insist in keeping them, avoid buying more to lower the median price, that is a recipe for disaster.

5) I know it goes against all the rules you learned on life (it's a violation of the rule of demand, that says that demand lowers when the price goes up), but don't think the price is too high to buy, unless it's clearly temporarily overbought or it was a fake breach of  a resistance. If it's on a bullish trend, the probability that it will keep going up is higher than the opposite. So, many times, buying higher has more sense than buying lower. Ex. I have little doubt that if bitcoin breaches clearly the 1156 top on bitstamp it will keep going up.

6) The rule is not to buy low and sell high. Buying an active on a bearish trend, going lower and lower, is a disaster. If the active is in a bulish trend, the rule can even be buy high and sell higher.

The hard thing isn't to identify the rules, but to follow them!

newbie
Activity: 23
Merit: 0
Learn so much that you can convince yourself not to invest at all. Then maybe you're close to being ready to invest.

it doesnt make sense

I think he means play devil's advocate with oneself.  Learn about all of the potential things that could go wrong.... Government intervention, wallet theft, inflation, competing currencies, and so on.

Exactly. You make money in markets by not losing it. You don't lose it by controlling risk. To control risk, you need to be aware of the knowable risks involved.
legendary
Activity: 1302
Merit: 1008
Core dev leaves me neg feedback #abuse #political
Learn so much that you can convince yourself not to invest at all. Then maybe you're close to being ready to invest.

it doesnt make sense

I think he means play devil's advocate with oneself.  Learn about all of the potential things that could go wrong.... Government intervention, wallet theft, inflation, competing currencies, and so on.
member
Activity: 65
Merit: 10
Learn so much that you can convince yourself not to invest at all. Then maybe you're close to being ready to invest.

it doesnt make sense
newbie
Activity: 23
Merit: 0
Learn so much that you can convince yourself not to invest at all. Then maybe you're close to being ready to invest.
hero member
Activity: 672
Merit: 500
Tips:
  Don't invest more than you can afford to lose.
  Don't take investing advice from most people on the internet.
  Don't store your coins for long in a place where you don't control the keys.

Also, be sure to analyze market data for any coin that you're interested in investing in.  http://www.cryptocoinstats.com/ is a good place to start since it has lots of price analysis and graphs to help identify trends.

All good tips.  I doubt the OP will listen though, most people are here to get rich quick and he thinks everyone is making $10k a month and the train is passing him by. 
donator
Activity: 1736
Merit: 1014
Let's talk governance, lipstick, and pigs.
Resist the temptation to spend more than 10% of your discretionary income at one time or 1-5% of any significant amount you are willing to risk in any given week. Buy in slowly. Sell off slowly. For every person that get's lucky taking big risks, there are many that lose doing the same. Stay in for the long haul and you won't be disappointed.
full member
Activity: 210
Merit: 100
Buy low, sell high. And don't mine.


Yes, I agree with this. But, be careful.

Ignore 90% of the things you here. Make your own informed decisions. If you are the type to see a $50 drop and read 3/4 bad articles this isn't for you.


Bitcoin will be very very bumpy. Strong hands will profit largely in the long run, but it can be hard to be strong. Buy bitcoin, and try and forget about 75% of them. Stick them in cold storage. You SHOULD trade with 25% of them.


Bitcoin adoption is directly linked through us using Bitcoin. So with a % of your coins buy and sell. Use them in retailers that accept BTC.

Mass adoption is needed to 'reach da moon'.



HODL but not every single BTC you have. If everyone HODLS, the price would stand still I believe.
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