the most basic lesson is of course economic. and when learning it people become better investors of even good assets
so here it is
no matter the investment product, always look for the underlying cost of production of the asset and find the cheapest most efficient cost on the planet of creating/acquiring it.
for instance bitcoin has a mining cost thats averaging $60k/btc at the most efficient mining pool on planet
then compare that to ethereum which calculating the validators cpu total cost is only $50 per eth
-cut-
I understand what you are saying, but imho that argument would backfire.
Starting from the fact that you didn't include the supply difference, but compared the mining cost to one full coin against one full coin, which isn't a relevant comparison. That would instantly give a feeling that you are purposely misleading people, even though i am sure that was a small accident in accuracy.
the supply difference is included in the cost measure. as the cost measure is about electric used per hour so is calculating a coin supply per hour and then broken down to per unit cost
also when on the market the market price is not determined by the total supply nor full amount of units in circulation. because if you ever look at market orders, the market orders that adjust the price are minuscule compared to total projected supply or coins in circulation. so the market price is not subject to supply difference of a coins total supply or circulation total
....
also when it comes to market price, the market price is a separate number to that of the underlying cost(value) and yes the market price is speculative.
so lets dig into that economic theory.
if ethereum for instance has more coins in circulation and also has a higher future projected total supply... then economics would say that is should not be at such high premium compared to cost as bitcoin.. yet as said ethereum is at 70x its cost where as bitcoin is at 1.6x
this again shows that ethereum is bubbling at a extreme premium
Also what people would basically hear in that is: "So you are saying that bitcoin is wasting 1000x more energy resources? For the same job eth is doing by being so much more energy efficient? And that need for those energy resources would need to rise
indefinitely if we want
to keep the price up?"
Your argument is like saying, that you should invest in oil, because oil is finite and people pay for gas. And because oil is finite, gas prices will keep rising, ignoring the fact that people hate when gas prices are up and are constantly looking for more green and cheaper options.
To summarize my point: BTC holder sees this as price
projection chart:
![](https://ip.bitcointalk.org/?u=https%3A%2F%2Ftalkimg.com%2Fimages%2F2024%2F12%2F15%2FDXuqW.png&t=669&c=kDgI5X6y6eR9oA)
How do you think rest of the world sees it?
indefinitely? to keep the price up? projected chart?no.. how the rest of the world see's it is a S curve, where we are at the beginning
_
/ /
|
l
_/where orange is just the beginning
also lets say the tip of the S curve settles to the $1m-$10m spread window
the mining costs would only need to STAY(KEEP) at $1m not indefinitely exponentially grow to 'keep' bitcoin above $1m
its also worth knowing
we are no longer in the 2010-2011 age of a 1000x low to high ($0.03->$30)
we are no longer in the 2012-2013 age of a 200x low to high ($6->$1200)
we are no longer in the 2016-2017 age of a 50x low to high ($400->$20000)
we are no longer in the 2020-2021 age of a 15x low to high ($4.7k->$70k)
so if bitcoin stabilises at a 10x speculation window of low to high, it is still investable to play the lows and highs
so dont expect the energy requirement to be exponentially growing, but instead getting more stable
especially as hardware gets more efficient
the hashes per second can continue to grow due to efficiency of asics even if the cost keeps to the same amount
..
the main point is not that the base cost has to escalate exponentially.
its that the base cost is not $0
its that the base cost is not multitudes of spread between value-premium
in short
ethereum and other coins have a false/loose roof that can collapse down to the ground far more easily than bitcoin