Topic: bitbollo betting advice - 4°/5°-2/6/7°-1°/3°-1°- place Tipster competition - page 9. (Read 23307 times)

My bet for tonight...

Sporting Lisbon v Tondela , Over/Under 4.5 Goals , Under 4.5 Goals

12000 DOGE @ 1.03 Confirmed  

Sporting Lisbon v Tondela , Over/Under 4.5 Goals , Under 4.5 Goals

0.017 BTC @ 1.04 Confirmed

Sporting Lisbon v Tondela , Over/Under 4.5 Goals , Under 4.5 Goals

0.017 BTC @ 1.04 Confirmed

Could be risky but I take in consideration the good @ and 3 goals of advantage...
It's worth?


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San Antonio @ Brooklyn , U/O 183.5pts , Over 183.5pts

11000 DOGE @ 1.92 Settled Won 

San Antonio @ Brooklyn , U/O 183.5pts , Over 183.5pts

0.012 BTC @ 1.76 Settled Won 

San Antonio @ Brooklyn , U/O 193.5pts , Under 193.5pts

0.022 BTC @ 1.1 Settled Won 

San Antonio @ Brooklyn , U/O 193.5pts , Under 193.5pts

0.02 BTC @ 1.1 Settled Won 

San Antonio @ Brooklyn , 1st Half - Moneyline , San Antonio

0.02 BTC @ 1.03 Settled Won 

Yesterday San Antonio give me some good odds.
(3-5-9 position my actual rank )

Nice bet today on Djokovic, win 2° set + 2-0 correct score was my choice ( live approx 3° game 2° set)

With this bet I have get 6° place in competition .
(Actually 4 - 6 - 12 position, but with last one I don't have play).
 

N Djokovic v L Mayer , Set 2 Winner , Novak Djokovic

0.037 BTC @ 1.04 Settled Won 

0.007 BTC @ 1.48 Settled Won 

0.017 BTC @ 1.48 Settled Won 

N Djokovic v L Mayer , Set 2 Winner , Novak Djokovic

0.017 BTC @ 1.49 Settled Won 

N Djokovic v L Mayer , Set Betting , N Djokovic 2 - 0

0.017 BTC @ 1.1 Settled Won 

N Djokovic v L Mayer , Set Betting , N Djokovic 2 - 0

0.03 BTC @ 1.21 Settled Won 

N Djokovic v L Mayer , Match Odds , Novak Djokovic

0.045 BTC @ 1.01 Settled Won 

Some bet for today competition...
(Mostly play live!)

Juventus v Verona , Over/Under 3.5 Goals , Under 3.5 Goals

15000 DOGE @ 1.08 Settled Won 

Juventus v Verona , Over/Under 3.5 Goals , Under 3.5 Goals

0.017 BTC @ 1.1 Settled Won

AC Milan v Bologna , Match Odds , Bologna

0.007 BTC @ 1.28 Settled Won 

AC Milan v Bologna , Match Odds , Bologna

0.013 BTC @ 1.27 Settled Won

Chievo v Roma , Over/Under 5.5 Goals , Under 5.5 Goals

0.02 BTC @ 1.01 Settled Lost

Last 3 weeks for competition!

Meanwhile...


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Nice win!
I play also:
Minnesota @ Philadelphia , 1st Quarter - Total Points , Over 51.5pts

0.012 BTC @ 1.92 Settled Won

Schiavone not win, and I don't close the day with a strong % (more than 50%)!

Schiavone v Paszek , Match Odds , Francesca Schiavone

0.015 BTC @ 1.84 Settled Lost (plus a Toto @4,97)

Competition is going to the best week where the winner was identified....
Follow me!



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Update 4/01/2015
Topic title changed: bitbollo betting advice - 4°/5° place in Tipster competition Nov/Dec2015

Toronto @ Cleveland , U/O 182.5pts , Over 182.5pts

0.015 BTC @ 1.21 Confirmed  

Toronto @ Cleveland , U/O 182.5pts , Over 182.5pts

0.03 BTC @ 1.21 Confirmed

My two cents bet for this match !
40 minutes to play go quickly...and bet careful!
Read first post and....

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And we are into the last 30 days of the direct bet competition!

Well I play dirty  infact I have one account at 3° place, another one in 9°, and a dogecoin account in 13° place.

You can see my last bets to understand HOW I am in third place

But by the way... competition will continue and we are so distant from the ending.

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Hi,
Thank you for the comment.
But what's wrong with average odds under @1.20 ?
I say this because the important is "win" WIN make money.
If you bet, I don't have care what are you post if above a quote or not, because the important is THE WIN!

Actually I use this bet method, because for 1.7 average odds you have to study so much a competition, a team, etc etc. and I don't have this time.
I have place other bets, I give you a tips, , take in mind that I pace two type of bets (see my current bet status on DB competition):
- "sure" win, is not important the odds, is important the "event".
- "nice" win, if a bet is "more value" than what I could expect, I place it, because is a "discount".

I hope this can clarify, but for example:
Avellino v Juve Caserta , Total Match Points , Over 148.5pts

0.015 BTC @ 3.45 Settled Lost

Avellino v Juve Caserta , Total Match Points , Over 148.5pts

0.006 BTC @ 3.45 Settled Lost

In such case I don't pay attention if I loss/win, because I am "up" with my bet, and this are really "btc ready to trash" (as I have explained in my "RULE").

And as I have already told:

Daaamn not surprisingly you are the champions of DirectBet tipster you have average odds under @1.2 lol
People will admit you are a skilled legitimate tipster when you show an odds over @1.7 and have over 50% prediction accuracy.
However goodluck on your business and try to increase the odds little bit   

Apart from the competition, I continue to bet...

Western Sydney v Newcastle Jets , Over/Under 3.5 Goals , Under 3.5 Goals

0.015 BTC @ 1.11  Won

Western Sydney v Newcastle Jets , Over/Under 4.5 Goals , Under 4.5 Goals

0.1 BTC @ 1.07 Won

Western Sydney v Newcastle Jets , Over/Under 5.5 Goals , Under 5.5 Goals

0.17 BTC @ 1.01 Won

Western Sydney v Newcastle Jets , Over/Under 4.5 Goals , Under 4.5 Goals

0.03 BTC @ 1.01  Won

Western Sydney v Newcastle Jets , Over/Under 4.5 Goals , Under 4.5 Goals

0.05634 BTC @ 1.01  Won

more than 0.35 in one match... I know it's high risk but I see the match live and take this choice...
Ending of the months it's coming, there are the last day to take vip loyalty bonus on Direct Bet.

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I was really unlucky and loss 2-4 final score
By the way competition is runnning!
I have 2 address in top 7 and one with negative balance...
Small tips... there are already 2 days without match... bet careful in the other days

Frosinone v AC Milan , Over/Under 4.5 Goals , Under 4.5 Goals

0.015 BTC @ 1.11 Confirmed

One bet for the competition!
Just a bit risky but it could be a nice profit

Thank you!
After a very competitive tournament I get the 5° place , not bad with this prize.

I hope that I can get a new good placement also in this 4° edition.

By the way, get a prize from 3° competition is a great satisfaction

Hi bitbollo,

Congratulations on your win in the DirectBet Free Tipsters Championship III.

49.2 % ROI and X 7 Prizes.

You won 0.7 BTC in prizes !

This is your second win in DirectBet Tipsters Championships ! Good Job !

You were also a winner in the DirectBet Free Tipsters Championship II - 321.73 % ROI - and 0.25 BTC in prizes !

Thank you for participating and we hope to see you in the next championship

All the Best,

Michelle

www.DirectBet.eu

not much bet place in this week, but competition is going to the last week!
Some notations (personal ) :

- people are too dedicated to 1.01 problem while there are other "bugs" in tournament.
- there are effectively only few good tipster (also if not in top position, but this is not due the 1.01 bet)
- btc betting is too expensive (time and fees) and become an obstacle for who try to make more bet possible (also to get the loyalty bonus)
- I think the "best tipper" of the day could be a way to give same possibilities to some one to demonstrate betting skill.
You can even play 1.01 bet but every day there is a "new" tournament.

Maybe DB could be interested also in a way like this, more democratic possibly.

It was a nice bet also 5.5 or 4.5 (that I bet in the last part of the match @1.10!)
Final score 1-3
Thank you to all follower


I am actually in third place (3°!) in directbet competition! (+30% ROI)


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LIVE RIGHT NOW!

FK Hoverla U21 v Shakhtar U21 , Over/Under 6.5 Goals , Under 6.5 Goals (RISK!)

0.018 BTC @ 1.08 Confirmed

Short summary... My 2 cents about the match...
Hoverla has the worst defense of all tournaments! Shakthar is in 2° place with good (but not the best!) attack.
Results is 1-1 at half time. We can assume that S. Try to win the match (@ 1.09) but we can assume a less risk with under 6,5
(the two odds are so far the same! @1.08 vs @1.09 and remember both teams have not a good attack!)
Weather condition in this case didn't help (3° C. Celsius)

When I am writing... results is 1-1 at 52.
Under 6.5 touch @1.10 in the past minutes,
now that I post this message is @ 1.05 (with an exchange we have already win ).

Good luck!

EDIT
at 60 minutes S. make second goal!
H vs S = 1-2
S odds for the win is now @1.01, odds for under 6.5 is not available "stable"! @ 1.05.
odds for under 5.5 is "stable" around @1,50

Almeria v Numancia , Over/Under 3.5 Goals , Under 3.5 Goals

1700 DOGE @ 1.06

LIVE RIGHT NOW AT 1.01

Due a troyes goal (4-1) I lost 0.022 @1.12 !

Paris St-G v ESTAC Troyes , Over/Under 4.5 Goals , Under 4.5 Goals

0.022 BTC @ 1.12 Settled Lost

I was really unlucky but show must go on, because I am...





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Yes, this can seems a basic question, with simple answer, but don't!
Because the right time when you place a bet can change a LOT the amount of a winning!
And yep, it's also foundmental bet in the perfect moment you can take the best quote and the best security for the result.

For e.g. You choose a match, A vs B ... You decide to bet for the over 2,5...

Ok, take clear the "motivation" for this bet, start to analyze when we have to place it...

Assume that we can bet LIVE, (NO exchange), If you KNOW good this two team you have 3 scenario (so far...make it simple)...

1 A make a lot of goal (or B)
2 A not score a lot (or B)
3 A or B are a good/bad scorer and vice-versa.

Scenario 1:
In this case,( a team make a lot of goal) also pre live bet it could be a good idea to not burn our good "bet" idea!!
but we can every time take the risk to wait: one goal, or first time over, BECAUSE the odds go really high, and in 45 minutes 3 goals are not too much.
Start quote (pre live) 1.90 ... After 15 minutes (no goal LIVE) 2.10 .... After 45 minutes (no goal LIVE) .... 2.70 / 3.00 .
If you take some risk you can add a good profit inside the same bet without betting!
(Not betting in prelive at 1.90 but waiting second time at 3.00!)
(second idea: bet at 2.10 after 15 minutes!)

Scenario 2:
If one of two teams as know as not good scorer, we can take a good strategies, to wait the middle of first time (30 minutes so far) because we can assume that in the first part of the match a strong defense (a not a good attack) can lead to a 0-0 easily in the first part of the match.
 Start quote (pre live) 2.00 (because one team not score so much!) ... After 30 minutes (no goal LIVE) 2.50
If you take some risk you can add a good profit inside the same bet without betting!
(Not betting in prelive at 2.00 but waiting 30 minutes to catch 2.50!)

Scenario 3
If there are two teams "opposite" one is bad, one is good, Normally take only 10-15 minutes on the first time, can be good (and cautious) to get the best quote.
Start quote (pre live) 1.80 ... After 15 minutes (no goal LIVE) 2.00 ...
If you take some risk you can add a good profit inside the same bet without betting!
(Not betting in prelive at 1.8 but waiting 15 minutes you can catch a 2.00 (more 20%))

There are a lot of situations ( ) and every match is a single story!
But try to apply some studies in the quotes (for get a conclusion) can boost the amount that you can win, taking same risk  or (a bit less more because you can refuse to take a bet and potentially avoid a lost!).
These idea can be applied best in live match, because there is a defined time about an event, and the odds are moving fast during the same.

Thank you for all readers!

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Sitra v East Riffa , Over/Under 3.5 Goals , Under 3.5 Goals

0.028 BTC @ 1.04 Settled Won  

Veria v Iraklis , Over/Under 3.5 Goals , Under 3.5 Goals

0.038 BTC @ 1.01 Settled Won  

Jong Sparta v Almere City U23 , Over/Under 5.5 Goals , Under 5.5 Goals

0.038 BTC @ 1.02 Settled Won  

Columbus v New York Red Bulls , Over/Under 5.5 Goals , Under 5.5 Goals

0.018 BTC @ 1.07 Settled Won  

LIVE RIGHT NOW!

Cagliari v Ascoli , Over/Under 4.5 Goals , Under 4.5 Goals (RISK! Cagliari make 1 goal!)

0.048 BTC @ 1.05 Confirmed  

Cagliari v Ascoli , Over/Under 5.5 Goals , Under 5.5 Goals

0.042 BTC @ 1.01 Confirmed

I am at 4° place again!!!!!