Bullish till June, then bearish till the next winter.
why
2023 is almost exactly like 2019 if you look at the charts. BTC back in 2019 pumped till June (@13k) and then it went down to 4-5k in March 2020.
It's because of Covid-19 that time, the first time it was reported to the world or at least the lockdown for most countries started around that time frame and so the effect on us is huge.
There's a chance the 2023-2024 winter will be really harsh in Europe (unlike the current mild winter), which could potentially spur a new crisis (akin to COVID/March 2020 meltdown) if LNG reserves are depleted...
I think that's two different scenario, Covid is global while it might be hard weather in Europe because of snow, I don't think it will have a drastic effect on the other part of the globe.
Either way, I believe 2023-2024 will be an excellent period for accumulation/DCA (if you're into that). 5-digit BTC is considered cheap. 4-digit BTC is a thing of the past, we'll never see that again.
By 2025 Bitcoin's price will have risen to 6 digits, so I would stop BTC purchases by late 2024 (just before the US elections and FED's new climate-driven QE).
Still a lot of time for us to accumulate and buy through DCA and any other strategy that fits our goal.
6 digits might just be a conservative estimates, there are predictions to $200k or more, but just like the rest of predictions, it's just wild and educated guess (with the help of TA).