It was interesting to read the replies here and have a constructive debate on this theory, my intrinsic value definition turned out to be wrong so let's see if we can come up with a better one and refine this theory in general. Also it looks like my title should've been "Bitcoin and some metals have
much more intrinsic value than paper", since I do believe paper itself has value, even if it's only a little, but it's not like it has no value at all. In the title I should've said paper in the context of money, since it makes more sense to say "paper money only has as much value as the paper unless sovereign governments buy it up" than "paper and paper money have absolutely no sense whatsoever" and I was trying to give off the first interpretation not the second but the words must have slipped out of my head.
I did write a whole section with a large text title saying "Paper money has no intrinsic value" but as I just learned, these things are subject to different interpretations so instead of writing this by itself it would've been better if I had some clarification at the end of it and
not make it a title.
I'm of the school of thought that says intrinsic value is only useful in the sense of equity investment. Intrinsic value represents the actual cash flow or ongoing operational value of a business or property. This is why you hear it used in the context of stocks and real estate.
This can't really be applied to speculative assets like BTC and gold since we don't have objective ways to measure their value. They don't generate a return on investment.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Intrinsic_value_(finance)#EquityI'm aware there's a definition of intrinsic value in relation to finance and stocks, I couldn't think of a better term to describe the value something would have by itself so I just used "intrinsic value". If you know of a better term for what I'm describing you're welcome to post it.
You have one big problem in your theory, first you say that the value of money is determine by how much people are trading with it, but then you reject the value of paper money, despite the fact that so many transactions are done with, especially if by "paper money" we mean all fiat money, including bank accounts, because they are the same money.
Yeah that's definitely not what I intended to rub off, I meant to say the value paper money had on its own, without any use by governments, is only as valuable as the medium it's based on. Here's an example: The currency of defunct countries has absolutely no equity and thus from a trading point of view you can only treat these currencies as stacks of special paper.
You are wrong to take scarcity as a part of the intrinsic value, because intrinsic value has always been about attempting to calculate the value of something while completely ignoring the market situation, aka supply and demand. Then, you combine your calculation with supply and demand to decide if it's better to go short or long.
Whether Bitcoin has intrinsic value or not is a matter of asking what is intrinsic value. From the point of view of stock trading, Bitcoin has no intrinsic value, because it doesn't generate value. As a commodity, it also doesn't have value, because it has no non-monetary use cases. Wikipedia tells that there's a think called
intrinsic value of commodity money, and while Bitcoin isn't a commodity, it falls under that definition nicely.
But the problem is that compared to equities, where people can make very good calculations, it's much harder to do so with things like Bitcoin. How much $ are divisibility, ease of transporting, anti-counterfeiting worth?
The more you think about intrinsic value, the deeper you
regress back to primitive economic theories like marxism, which believe that things have essential value independent from the market.
Now that I think of it, it wasn't smart of me to write that in a whole section. For physically quantifiable things, so not stocks or bonds (or even bitcoin) or any of that, scarcity is pretty much the same as rarity, which has no connection to intrinsic value, because if something is rare and has a high intrinsic value then it's just a coincidence.
It looks like we're getting somewhere now. Now we have a few pillars so define intrinsic value by:
- its divisibility
- how easily it's stored and transported
- securely it's stored and transported
- its scarcity
- its difficulty to counterfeit
So all these things together give it a certain intrinsic value, which as was pointed out has nothing to do with trading value, the word "value" by itself easily misinterpreted in a different context.
"Many people argue that bitcoin has no value because it exists digitally and has no physical form. If that argument was true then virtual collectables in video games wouldn't have any intrinsic value either but yet we see people selling and trading Counter Strike and Fortnite skins which also don't exist physically."
It is very different from what you give as an analogy to bitcoin, bitcoin is far from virtual collectibles. Let's give an example, the item in dota2, Axe of Phractos which costs more than $1000 but does it have intrinsic value? none even it is limited, they are just valued by how uncommon to get it from the chests unlike bitcoin that you can buy anytime, anywhere.
OK so they don't have
intristic value since Valve or any other game developer simply creates them at some point, but they at least have trading value, which on a side note increases when they are no longer for sale officially. And in the quote that you have it looks like I meant to say "Many people argue that bitcoin has no
trading value", look at Peter Schiff for example.
Intrinsic value is the value that something would have even if it were to exist in unlimited quantities.
For example, air and water have intrinsic value even though they are effectively unlimited. In other words, the intrinsic value of something is not effected by its supply or demand, and it thus is not related to its price.
I think this is the best definition for it in this thread and it's consistent with my analogies for gold and gems (and paper but see the next paragraph)
When I declared "paper money has no intrinsic value" I meant in the sense that a newly printed currency has an extremely low valuation unless its government did things like reduce its inflation and buy bonds for the new currency, so the value of the currency, the paper money, is entirely at the mercy of its government and decided by it. So paper money does indeed have value but that value is variable. I was referring to "intrinsic value" in the sense of what is the fixed value of an item if it was not manually altered in any way (gems can shatter, gold can get damaged etc.) and I don't just mean an element in its natural form I also refer to manufactured things as well.
In a shorter sentence:
"... fiat money, which has value only because it has been established as money by government regulation. " (wikipedia)So governments can just decree something to be money and that's how its value changes. None of this has anything to do with intrinsic value. The government controls all of the pillars I mentioned above and if they are manually controlled its value can't be called intrinsic, its a value with some other name, perhaps "extrinsic" is suitable.
Paper money has no intrinsic value
Paper money is ... made from 75% cotton and 25% linen. But even this can be manufactured en masse and thus has no intrinsic value. ...
That is absurd. The value of money has nothing to do with what it is printed on. You could say that bitcoins have no intrinsic value because they exist via electrons and there are an unimaginable number of electrons in the universe.
I didn't intend for people to think of its value with respect to what its printed on, I merely mentioned what its made from in case some people thought money was made from normal paper.
Something I haven't answered in this post up to now is how any of this applies to bitcoin, the main topic of this thread. I have the opinion that since bitcoin and cryptocurrencies are created out of thin air, though the process of mining, it's kind of like having a government writing a regulation establishing a certain currency as money, and then how valuable (the trading one) they are depends on how much they are bought.
But here's the thing: what if instead of bitcoin we were talking about some cryptocurrency that is merely mined into quantities, without being able to trade it on exchanges? Then even if the pillars I mentioned above were strong for it, it has absolutely no trading value, and it does not even have any intrinsic value because it is useless as a commodity. And bitcoin in its early stages wasn't traded, and is still today can't be used as a commodity, so the same conclusion can be derived for it too.
Which leads me to think that I may have refuted the central point of this thread: that bitcoin may
not have intrinsic value after all.
Again, it was great discussing these points.