Honestly 5000$ price is not a big surprise. I agree to those who estimate end point of bitcoin at 10k ..For now
For me, it was a surprise really. I was expecting bitcoin to be $4500 at maximum and then that Chinese drama had made the believed for me when prices again went down for $2900. But this $5600 is really mind-blowing. And for now, I am really waiting for bitcoin to just jump to $10k within next two or three months. I hope this may happen.
Now price is over 5.600$ and I expected some new price records, just not so fast. On 10.000$ before new year was hard to believe couple months ago, now that is becoming very possible. I think after this year rise from 1.000$ to 3.000$ in just couple weeks I think bitcoin price will never surprise me like that again. Now I'm more prepared for sudden changes, and in price rise I don't doubt like before, I think I'm more optimistic then before. 10.000$ for now sounds good, and it would be great for that to happen this year, for next year we will have bigger plans.
I agree with every point that you make in terms of what seems probable in terms of higher end price movements has become more probable after we have achieved certain price levels. In that regard, we need to consider these matters in terms of percentages of price movements rather than absolute numbers, and in that respect, absolute numbers become more achievable because with the price rises they become much more easily achievable to get to the next level.
So, yeah, an underlying theme to any price appreciation discussion and whether $10k is possible or any other higher number, we question the extent to which we might be in a bubble this time as compared with other exponential price growth periods, and surely the price rise this time has been a lot more dragged out (in the past two years) compared with prior exponential price rises of 2013 and previously. But even if the slope has been more gradual and longer, at any time, we could convert into a temporary bear market that could last a couple of years.. that is if we run out of buy support--- which currently seem to be ongoingly strong.
These fairly significant corrections along the way of 20%, 30% or even 40% (which was the last one from $4980 to $2970) help to allow for buying support to catch up and for the exponential price growth to continue... cross your fingers regarding how long it can go and how far up it can go... Certainly, i don't mind corrections along the way that allow for somewhat of a more gradual slope to the extent that gradual slope might be sustainable.