An italian Bitcointalk forum member spent a whole month going over Bitcoin statistics and analyzing the blockchain and eventually came up (yesterday) with an equation for future Bitcoin price prediction. Italian Bitcointalk folks told him to publish all his studies on the international forum because it has 1000x more Bitcoin enthusiasts (BTC still not really famous in Italy) but the author answered that he's "too lazy
" and prefers to publish his studies in italian only.
The article is very long but contains a lot of interesting information (also graphs and numbers), maybe it will be valuable to translate all of it. But before doing so (or before somebody wants to do it), maybe it's better to see what math skilled BTC fans think about this (I'm just a fan...no math genius therefore not able to judge).
So first, the Formula he came up with:
P=(I^2.26)/(e^32)
Variables:
I = Total number of addresses
P = Price in US$
e = Euler's number (2.71828)
Have a look at the calculations he made at the end of the post. Maybe Google translator is also enough to give you an idea on how he came up with that equation.
Original forum thread (Italian):
https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/tabelle-annuali-il-prezzo-dei-bitcoin-353156[
Italian Translation - Google Translator]