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Topic: Bitcoin Futures - the beginning of the end...? - page 2. (Read 934 times)

newbie
Activity: 88
Merit: 0
There are already results of first trading day of Bitcoin futures on CBOE:
http://cfe.cboe.com/cfe-products/xbt-cboe-bitcoin-futures

Symbol   Expiration           Last           Change   High           Low           Settlement Volume
XBT/F8   01/17/2018   17500.00   +2040.00   18850.00   15420.00   15460.00   2794
XBT/G8   02/14/2018   18000.00   0.0           19140.00   18000.00   18000.00   14
XBT/H8   03/14/2018   18000.00   +1570.00   19330.00   14710.00   16430.00   50

So February(G8) and March(H8) contract prices are higher than January(F8).
And total volume is ~3000BTC which much lower than volume on BitMex.

legendary
Activity: 1372
Merit: 1032
All I know is that I know nothing.
it is tough to say really but things are just getting started. the futures are not the way people buy and end up hoarding bitcoin, the actual markets are. people are literary pouring into exchanges such as Coinbase and Gemeni to buy bitcoin. these exchange servers are having a tough time even handling this increase in demand all of a sudden.

the "big money" that you are talking about is big but it is not bigger than the total money coming from millions of people and coming from "all around the world". that "big money" of yours is so centralized and in one place.
legendary
Activity: 1442
Merit: 1016
Tulips didnt crash until one year after futures were launched, so we have about a year I guess.

Sombebody seems to be extremely salty here. Cheesy
Dude this is pretty lame FUD.
Try something else maybe?!
Everybody knows the tulip comparison is totally nonsense. Do some proper research and even you should be able to realize that.
However if it helps you to be that bitter cause of having missed that BTC train I'm fine with that  Cheesy
full member
Activity: 266
Merit: 222
Deb Rah Von Doom
Tulips didnt crash until one year after futures were launched, so we have about a year I guess.
sr. member
Activity: 574
Merit: 250
Will the 'big money' of investors be spent 'betting' on Bitcoin prices, and not actually invested in Bitcoin in the future?  Could this be the begining of the end for this 'speculative bubble' that we seem to be in at the moment?

Maybe we won't see the price of Bitcoin continually rising in 2018 as it did in 2017...?

 Sad
It will be applied to the companies that were feeling doubt with the legalism of the bitcoin. The bitcoin futures become the alternative contract for them all to play with the crypto. but remember the futures contract is not giving anything to the bitcoin. the more speculators will come from there.
sr. member
Activity: 302
Merit: 250
No, I am sure, that futures will not affect the Bitcoin price, because it is like betting with no real trading. But I fear, that governments will soon try to regulate Bitcoin trades and take more influence because of the additional popularity through the Bitcoin futures. Maybe there will be some little up- and downmovements, caused by publicity predictions.
legendary
Activity: 1806
Merit: 1521
Will the 'big money' of investors be spent 'betting' on Bitcoin prices, and not actually invested in Bitcoin in the future?  Could this be the begining of the end for this 'speculative bubble' that we seem to be in at the moment?

I don't understand this logic. If Bitcoin is to go mainstream, cash-settled futures markets are to be expected. For all we know, Wall Street institutions want to short the futures market to the ground. But they could easily fail; retail demand could simply run them over. Covered shorts on the futures market won't drive spot prices down.

And if they really want to drive the price down, they need to drive the price down on the underlying spot markets. Institutions won't expose themselves to that kind of counterparty risk. So they can't really manipulate the spot markets. As long as retail demand remains, the uptrend will continue.
sr. member
Activity: 1400
Merit: 347
To make the price fall, they need to actually buy bitcoins and short them. But the investors who buys futures contracts are not buying bitcoins, they are buying a contract. Now, the fund who is selling the contract might buy bitcoin in case the investor wants the real product in the end, instead of cash.

The issue is when the operation is inverted, because its possible to sell a bitcoin which you dont have as well. They have been doing that for years with stocks: http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2017-12-09/crypto-cornucopia-part-4-without-it-youre-talking-mad-max that why theres FUD over it.
hero member
Activity: 650
Merit: 500
And here it goes, the same question that has been answered thousands of times on the past, sure that you are the first one, congratulations.

Could this be the begining of the end for this 'speculative bubble' that we seem to be in at the moment?

nothing is going to happen to bitcoin today, there are only a few hours left to see it happening, has something happened to the price?

yes, it went down yesterday, but now it is at $15,5k each bitcoin, do you really think that this price is down?

dont worry, everything is going to be fine, it is just matter of time until we break another all time high again.
legendary
Activity: 2576
Merit: 1087
Cliched I know but I’d say it’s just the end of the beginning. Buckle up!
hero member
Activity: 1890
Merit: 831
Futures will for sure increase the price of bitcoins in the upcoming week, obviously without a doubt the price is gonna sky rocket since a lot of investment is gonna come flowing in and thus the demand and supply rule will come into play, also futures can increase the price of bitcoins for a short while only after that the bitcoins will be out there in the market within a big bubble that could bolw anytime because now it will be regulated by the Companies and thus may create a future that's so ^tulip^ for the bitcoins and thus it can negatively affect everything when we think for the larger time scale, they could end the bubble anytime they want by selling off a lots of shares and thus creating a mass deficit.
newbie
Activity: 32
Merit: 0
so Pereira4 - do you think Futures could lead to an increase in Bitcoin price over the coming weeks?
legendary
Activity: 1610
Merit: 1183
Will the 'big money' of investors be spent 'betting' on Bitcoin prices, and not actually invested in Bitcoin in the future?  Could this be the begining of the end for this 'speculative bubble' that we seem to be in at the moment?

Maybe we won't see the price of Bitcoin continually rising in 2018 as it did in 2017...?

 Sad

Not really. Futures must be cash settled, which means all these "too big too fail" corporations betting on it and losing would need to print a lot of extra money. This could lead to wall street destroying itself it they are too stupid about things. I don't see why people are scared about Futures. It's just more FUD. Also there's the issue with forks:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=o7TtwckPCUI

TLDR: Futures are actually bullish. They can't short Bitcoin and get away with it with no loses.
newbie
Activity: 32
Merit: 0
Will the 'big money' of investors be spent 'betting' on Bitcoin prices, and not actually invested in Bitcoin in the future?  Could this be the begining of the end for this 'speculative bubble' that we seem to be in at the moment?

Maybe we won't see the price of Bitcoin continually rising in 2018 as it did in 2017...?

 Sad
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