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Topic: Bitcoin Guru Thread (Read 2498 times)

legendary
Activity: 3598
Merit: 2386
Viva Ut Vivas
March 12, 2014, 11:09:42 PM
#22
4/1/2014: $980
$800 on: 3/26/2014
hero member
Activity: 714
Merit: 503
March 12, 2014, 11:02:37 PM
#21
1. $676
2. 4/29/14

15DYJpWJe9H1YofsNQbP9JEWWNn7XPZgbS

$800 will take a while but I don't think we will go down below $500
BTC is stuck resting and things will/should stay quiet for a while.

At this point, that will be the best thing that could happen to Bitcoin.  Far too much turmoil over the last little while. It's like BTC just finished a tough 12 round fight and it was a split decision with Bitcoin winning. It needs some time off to recover and heal.

As for the topic on hand:

1. $690
2. 4/20/14


12MUnP2WZgn51fJsDjXRKcSJSL8EwmiLb5
legendary
Activity: 2114
Merit: 1040
A Great Time to Start Something!
March 12, 2014, 10:44:21 PM
#20
1. $676
2. 4/29/14

15DYJpWJe9H1YofsNQbP9JEWWNn7XPZgbS

$800 will take a while but I don't think we will go down below $500
BTC is stuck resting and things will/should stay quiet for a while.
newbie
Activity: 1
Merit: 0
March 10, 2014, 02:17:56 PM
#19
1. $689. Despite a hail of recent bad news, the price has floated in the 600s. Barring a major event i think its likely to stay fairly stable for the next couple months.

2. 5/07/14.

 1GT8psmkLNCLDSvfgEEYbHXK3NT3AbVKCF
legendary
Activity: 1904
Merit: 1037
Trusted Bitcoiner
March 09, 2014, 04:41:43 PM
#18
1. 789
2. 3/24/14
legendary
Activity: 2576
Merit: 1087
March 09, 2014, 04:24:22 PM
#17
1. $555 the pennant on the daily charts due to resolve at around $540 mid april will have two weeks left to go and price will be min $530, max $580, so this is the midpoint.

2. Price breaks up after that. $800+ about a month later, say 15th May.
hero member
Activity: 546
Merit: 500
hm
March 09, 2014, 11:15:34 AM
#16
1. 710$. I say the price will go to $700-ish zone in the next 1-2 weeks and stay there for another week. I have no idea so I my guess is based on the theory that the $400 low is comparable to the $60 low in July.
2. I guess the first monday in May, so 2014.05.05

1QL4Hd74KeSqAu6YAQnpSakuNJED7GiERQ
hero member
Activity: 700
Merit: 500
March 09, 2014, 07:41:37 AM
#15
1. $830.  I base that off absolutely nothing, other than the fact that is relatively the value when the bad news started pouring in late/mid January (China fear, before gox theft), and i'd be very happy if the value got there again.
2. 3/15/14, spread my bets out lot. 
newbie
Activity: 3
Merit: 0
March 08, 2014, 02:42:24 PM
#14
Guess 1 (Bitstamp 24 VWAP on 4/1/14) - $380
Guess 2 (How many days to $800 USD on Bitstamp) - 259

1HqZmyHR65sWDJMoazJsFH3HRffnUL2HuW
full member
Activity: 188
Merit: 100
March 08, 2014, 08:43:52 AM
#13
1. And the bad news just keeps on coming. It seems almost orchestrated. So even though I believe in the long term success of the protocol, the trend is down imho for longer than any of us suspects. $493 April 1st.

2. Bitcoin never seems to do what anyone expects. I've seen some pattern matching that seem to imply upward inevitability around 2-3 months, iirc. So, BTC will NOT do that this time. A gut feeling only. $800 January 15/'15. That should shake some people out. The doldrums of the rise.

I certainly wouldn't mind being wrong on both counts. I want to lose this contest!

Hope you don't need this:     1Bbjf961VV9S2bq4HmRWri6BXcNdSL8Foc
member
Activity: 62
Merit: 10
March 08, 2014, 02:04:53 AM
#12
1. 625. I see us going up to around 730, then back down in an overall sideways pattern on the 1d chart.

2. $800 on May 7, 2014. It will touch $800 in a brief spike (on 1d chart) before stabilizing in the 700s.

1Aw1oUEyENkq6A97sNdbkQiyuDa71yHk3r
legendary
Activity: 1596
Merit: 1030
Sine secretum non libertas
March 08, 2014, 01:51:21 AM
#11
Good point to clarify. I'll look at the 24 VWAP at EGT 24:00 (GMT - 1:00), which should be 12:00 AM on this thread. I'm assuming the timestamps are the same for everyone. Right when the bitcointalk forum clock strikes midnight on Wed 4/2

What if the IAU declares a leap second?

EDIT:  Then, there will be cake.
legendary
Activity: 1596
Merit: 1030
Sine secretum non libertas
March 08, 2014, 01:50:07 AM
#10
(1) 686 on 4/1

(2) 808 on 4/15

because the world is round
because the wind is high
because the sky is blue

The exponential trendline, at the current offset, interpolated forward with the following caveats: 

(1) That line intersects a peak-to-peak resistance line before 4/1; therefore upward progress may be retarded by resistance at that time.  686 chosen to be $5 from each of 691 and 681, which are significant levels for different reasons (691 reflecting an upper volatility range from a fibonnaci level at 681).

(2) Continuing the interpolation, 800 level is crossed on 4/18, but breaking the upside resistance from early April implies some additional upward momentum, and a corresponding volatility adjustment places the centroid at 800 on 4/15.  It is likely to overshoot the round number and then pull back.


member
Activity: 82
Merit: 10
March 08, 2014, 01:22:54 AM
#9
Why not...

1. $821 on 4/1

2. BTC crosses $800 on Bitstamp 20 days from now, Thursday, 3/27
sr. member
Activity: 350
Merit: 252
REAL-EYES || REAL-IZE || REAL-LIES||
March 07, 2014, 11:11:39 PM
#8
1. 730$

2. 4/3/14

Although i'm not a guru but I'm trying to understand market on daily basis now , nd this is my guess , I'm quite skeptical it passing 800$ before something good comes out..!
13AxqUHW2AD6G33Szm5Vsvmfn5CpiED7ip
sr. member
Activity: 293
Merit: 250
March 07, 2014, 09:19:51 PM
#7
1. $765

2. 4/4/14

12Vta86ZNNtRxUgwuqAFyUnyAuLyh4oT5S
hero member
Activity: 622
Merit: 500
March 07, 2014, 08:44:02 PM
#6
1. 695 - my thoughts are very similar to yours  Grin
2. 04/12/14

17sS4CsZpT5m2YrS1pWGQKyAjjdRUNMSbX
legendary
Activity: 924
Merit: 1001
March 07, 2014, 07:48:06 PM
#5
Time is measured from GMT?? just to be sure Wink
legendary
Activity: 1193
Merit: 1003
9.9.2012: I predict that single digits... <- FAIL
March 07, 2014, 07:15:20 PM
#4
You must set a deadline.
legendary
Activity: 896
Merit: 1000
March 07, 2014, 06:46:14 PM
#3
Ooh, this is a hard one to even make a guess. But if I'm right, I'd rather be right on a bullish prediction  Cool

1. $870
2. 3/25/14

I'll edit an address in later, because I'm sure you'll be needing it xD

Im no guru so I wont dare explain how I came up with these super accurate predictions. (SATAN)
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