I believe more with this site
https://www.bitcoinblockhalf.com, this is not like a countdown, but this is arguably the time when a bomb will explode and the price of bitcoin predicted by many people will rise sharply, but I didn't know it was just nonsense or not, it looks like we still halving in the same month which is precisely in May 2020, even though there are several different times
Correct, no exact day but at least it will fall in the month of May year 2020.
Yeah, that's the proximity I was thinking about. Is it truly possible to make a countdown to such an event? I think that the range of mistakes is not within seconds but within days or even weeks. Come to think of it, though, the countdown can be adjusted in real-time in accordance with the difficulty rate, right? I think that it still won't give such good proximity, but it will limit the range to a number of days left, I suppose.
May be you need little adjustment?
The halving will happen at a certain block (630000), we know that. The actual date/time.. is harder to calculate.
The date/time is estimated based on current block and the average block time.
Let's see..
Current block is 609,325
Blocks to go 20675
Average time 10 min
This gives ~143.5 days to go.
Now... if the block time is estimated in different way, the result can differ.
Since the difficulty adjustments were mostly upwards, shorter average block times are a good move.
I think that maybe OP took into account shorter period for these adjustments and according to
the graphs in the last month the adjustments were staying under the value from Nov 25. Is this a new trend? I doubt it. And maybe here's where OP could adjust his algorithm. Or maybe he's right and he knows something I don't expect.
Yes, the 10 minutes is an average time, so it's not precise... I hope the op will clarify what the algorithm takes into account and what it might neglect.
