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Topic: Bitcoin halving table (Read 2645 times)

legendary
Activity: 1582
Merit: 1064
December 15, 2014, 01:04:22 PM
#31
..snip..

hmm so if they price  stays the same would it be profitable to mine at all?

I don't know , but maybe if you have a free electric energy (*plus an hardware machine at the correct price) it is always profitable. I think before the next block reward halving the price will rise a little up.

A lot of people are hoping that will happen.
One year isn't too long to hold your bitcoins. Smiley
legendary
Activity: 1302
Merit: 1008
Core dev leaves me neg feedback #abuse #political
December 13, 2014, 10:57:44 PM
#30
it shows that after some time block reward will be halved does that mean that difficulty will be increased by 2x?

No. It means that the reward will be reduced to 12.5 BTC per block.

But in a way you are right. Mining will instantly become 2x less profitable. And difficulty will most likely (at least temporarily) drop, because older hardware that will not be profitable will be shut off...

But there is also a chance that by then the transaction fees will have a much more significant volume, so the block halving will not have such a big impact.

Currently fees are less than 1% of what miners get. Usualy 0.5 - 0.1%
Would the price increase 2x then?

Not necessarily, no.

Price is based on supply and demand.  We don't know what the
demand will be, all we know is the supply rate of NEW coins being
created gets cut by half.

We know it will have a general upward effect on price (compared to
keeping the subsidy reward at 25 BTC) because the rate at
which the supply is increasing is slowing down by half, but
no one can predict the price.



hmm so if they price  stays the same would it be profitable to mine at all?

Its always profitable for someone, but too competitive these days for most folks unless
you're running a serious operation.

legendary
Activity: 1778
Merit: 1043
#Free market
December 13, 2014, 03:13:37 PM
#29
..snip..

hmm so if they price  stays the same would it be profitable to mine at all?

I don't know , but maybe if you have a free electric energy (*plus an hardware machine at the correct price) it is always profitable. I think before the next block reward halving the price will rise a little up.
member
Activity: 84
Merit: 10
December 13, 2014, 03:05:40 PM
#28
it shows that after some time block reward will be halved does that mean that difficulty will be increased by 2x?

No. It means that the reward will be reduced to 12.5 BTC per block.

But in a way you are right. Mining will instantly become 2x less profitable. And difficulty will most likely (at least temporarily) drop, because older hardware that will not be profitable will be shut off...

But there is also a chance that by then the transaction fees will have a much more significant volume, so the block halving will not have such a big impact.

Currently fees are less than 1% of what miners get. Usualy 0.5 - 0.1%
Would the price increase 2x then?

Not necessarily, no.

Price is based on supply and demand.  We don't know what the
demand will be, all we know is the supply rate of NEW coins being
created gets cut by half.

We know it will have a general upward effect on price (compared to
keeping the subsidy reward at 25 BTC) because the rate at
which the supply is increasing is slowing down by half, but
no one can predict the price.



hmm so if they price  stays the same would it be profitable to mine at all?
legendary
Activity: 3248
Merit: 1070
December 13, 2014, 08:45:47 AM
#27
the important thing to know is the next halving, in 2016
hero member
Activity: 490
Merit: 500
December 13, 2014, 08:19:30 AM
#26
We are broadly on target for April/May 2016 the last time I saw someone work it out
With diffculty finally falling, curious if the math has changed
legendary
Activity: 1834
Merit: 1094
Learning the troll avoidance button :)
December 13, 2014, 06:32:28 AM
#25
Is there something somewhere that says when bitcoins will halve?  Also, are there estimated dates for that happening?  If so, where can I find it?  Same with other crypto coins.

Just refer to the sticky in the economics section of the forum
https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/chart-bitcoin-inflation-vs-time-130619

Shows you in detail, for other crypto coins you would need to determine production rate etc so it depends.
Another source is the bitcoin wiki if you want more details under controlled supply.
hero member
Activity: 686
Merit: 500
December 13, 2014, 12:57:22 AM
#24
I think too many bitcoins are currently being generated. The market is being saturated with new coins and not enough people buying the ones generated each day, hence the price staying where it is. I'm looking forward to the halving.
My guess is that by that time there will be much demand to buy, since many businesses will be accepting BTC, so it will be the opposite phenomena, we will need more Bitcoin to satiate the demand, whereas mining will half. So the price will go up.

legendary
Activity: 1148
Merit: 1014
In Satoshi I Trust
December 12, 2014, 05:39:30 PM
#23
i would make a bet that we are not at 350 USD in mid 2016  Wink



i would bet...lets say... 1000 USD  Smiley
hero member
Activity: 900
Merit: 1014
advocate of a cryptographic attack on the globe
December 12, 2014, 05:28:57 PM
#22
It could be pulled forward yet again as more powerful ASICs come online sometime during the first half of next year.
legendary
Activity: 2506
Merit: 1030
Twitter @realmicroguy
December 12, 2014, 04:47:11 PM
#21
i would make a bet that we are not at 350 USD in mid 2016  Wink

legendary
Activity: 1302
Merit: 1008
Core dev leaves me neg feedback #abuse #political
December 12, 2014, 02:05:21 PM
#20
it shows that after some time block reward will be halved does that mean that difficulty will be increased by 2x?

No. It means that the reward will be reduced to 12.5 BTC per block.

But in a way you are right. Mining will instantly become 2x less profitable. And difficulty will most likely (at least temporarily) drop, because older hardware that will not be profitable will be shut off...

But there is also a chance that by then the transaction fees will have a much more significant volume, so the block halving will not have such a big impact.

Currently fees are less than 1% of what miners get. Usualy 0.5 - 0.1%
Would the price increase 2x then?

Not necessarily, no.

Price is based on supply and demand.  We don't know what the
demand will be, all we know is the supply rate of NEW coins being
created gets cut by half.

We know it will have a general upward effect on price (compared to
keeping the subsidy reward at 25 BTC) because the rate at
which the supply is increasing is slowing down by half, but
no one can predict the price.


member
Activity: 84
Merit: 10
December 12, 2014, 12:38:57 PM
#19
it shows that after some time block reward will be halved does that mean that difficulty will be increased by 2x?

No. It means that the reward will be reduced to 12.5 BTC per block.

But in a way you are right. Mining will instantly become 2x less profitable. And difficulty will most likely (at least temporarily) drop, because older hardware that will not be profitable will be shut off...

But there is also a chance that by then the transaction fees will have a much more significant volume, so the block halving will not have such a big impact.

Currently fees are less than 1% of what miners get. Usualy 0.5 - 0.1%
Would the price increase 2x then?
hero member
Activity: 784
Merit: 1000
December 12, 2014, 12:20:13 PM
#18
Does anyone know how much the date can change? I thought each difficulty change would put us back on track for the normal date of halving. So when we got closer wouldn't the difficulty adjust accordingly and put us closer to the exact date?
legendary
Activity: 2170
Merit: 1427
December 12, 2014, 11:39:27 AM
#17
At some point blocks were worth +$25,000 with Bitcoin being worth $1000 with a much lower difficulty than now.

And currently it's only $8700 per block, and the difficulty still went up.

Regardless of what the block rewards are, people will continue with mining if the price is high enough.
legendary
Activity: 1148
Merit: 1014
In Satoshi I Trust
December 12, 2014, 11:35:32 AM
#16
I suppose theoretically we should expect btc price to go up when the next halving took place. I mean the reward of solving a block is getting less, thus should indirectly reduces supply of new coins to the open market. I wonder....

1800 BTC a day less is very likely to cause a price increase. That coupled with the expectation of a price increase around the halving will likely make it a self fulfilling prophecy.


i would make a bet that we are not at 350 USD in mid 2016  Wink
hero member
Activity: 490
Merit: 500
December 12, 2014, 11:24:42 AM
#15
Last time I did the math, we were on track for the next halving in May/June 2016
legendary
Activity: 1400
Merit: 1013
December 12, 2014, 11:06:36 AM
#14
Lots of speculation about the Bitcoin halvation but no way to tell the specific date.

(northern) Summer '16.

ish... Smiley
Probably.
hero member
Activity: 1276
Merit: 622
December 12, 2014, 08:56:02 AM
#13
Lots of speculation about the Bitcoin halvation but no way to tell the specific date.

(northern) Summer '16.

ish... Smiley
legendary
Activity: 1974
Merit: 1030
December 12, 2014, 08:54:30 AM
#12
Lots of speculation about the Bitcoin halvation but no way to tell the specific date.

(northern) Summer '16.
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