- 93% of all Bitcoin has now been mined.
- World's largest asset manager Blackrock files for Bitcoin spot ETF
- Mysterious wallet accumulated $3 Billion worth $BTC In just 3 months
- Europe gets its first Spot Bitcoin ETF
- Only 6.3% Of Total Bitcoin Supply Left On Exchanges
- Bitcoin Halving in just 8 months
- Bitcoin supply shock inevitable
"- 93% of all Bitcoin has now been mined." - So coins like BNB which are already 100% minted and even deflationary should have infinite evaluation?
"- World's largest asset manager Blackrock files for Bitcoin spot ETF" he already have exposure to bitcoin price change by owning 8% of all MSTR shares. So this etf migh be a take profit time for him.
"- Mysterious wallet accumulated $3 Billion worth $BTC In just 3 months" - it could be the idea of snoop dog and his stoned mind. The fact that someone could afford to buy btc for $ 3 billion does not mean that the market is doomed to increase. Well Snoop Dog net worth is around $200M but you get my point right?
"- Europe gets its first Spot Bitcoin ETF " IMO bitcoin does not need ETF. Its not a regular commodity that is hard to store/transfer and ETF solve many issues. Being excited about bitcoin ETF is like being excited that at the moment when cars began to replace horse-drawn carriages, someone was excited that the latest generation of cars would have a container for horse food.
"- Only 6.3% Of Total Bitcoin Supply Left On Exchanges" fractional reserve allert
"- Bitcoin Halving in just 8 months" - halvings have much lower fundamential impact on price than before.
1st halving was important. It reduced monetary inflation from 25% to 12%. Thats a big deal. Second halving decreased monetary inflation from 9% to 4,5%. Now we are getting closer and closer to the 4th halving that will reduce bitcoin monetary inflation from like 1.5% to 0.7%. Both numbers are negligible compared to 8% official CPI in US, 10% in EU or 80% in countries like Turkey. So my bet is that halvings fundamental impact on bitcoin price is getting lower and lower with every next halving in oppose to macro data, FED decisions, interest rates, recessions etc. Bitcoin will be more like an asset that act sometimes like gold on steroids sometimes like sp500 on steroids rather than it will fallow "bubble x days before each halving scheme"
"- Bitcoin supply shock inevitable" - assuming demand constantly increases.
It's not that I reject the possibility of BTC pump. My investment capital is on the up side too, but I wrote my post to warn all incorrigible optimists that the future may be less colorful than it looks. And it is worth approaching the investment calmly, don't yolo rush all in, so that you do not have to sell everything at the very bottom if the next bull run will be in 7 years not 2 and you are out of money to leave from.