It is rising as fast as it is only because transacting in it is terribly disincentivized (which is the complete opposite of what it claims).
You can't spend it easily, and you can't change it back into fiat easily. Once people who bought in figure this out, what else is there to do but hold it?
And this kicks off the recursive bubble process:
People don't want to spend it because they'll lose out on market gains. When I say 'spend' i am also referring to buying fiat with it, not just goods.
No spending = supply bottleneck #1, causing it to become harder to buy, making it in higher demand, reducing incentive to spend it even further, bottlenecking supply further still, raising value, etc. Inflate the balloon.
Not only do people not want to spend it, it is exceedingly difficult do when you do. I am not talking a handful of token "look at me hop on the bitcoin fadwagon, gibe me free press coverage nao thx" pizzas and subway sandwiches and VPN accounts here, i am talking real consumer economy-driving spending.
And wait till mom and pop average figure out how hard it is (if not impossible) to get any hard cash funds out of any exchange (i am looking at you, Mt.Gox, with your 7 day email response times), particularly US$, and most acutely when they *need* it back for holiday shopping. Cue flood of evening news hit piece stories on the long faced sad sacks and bag holders who are astonished to find that they can't buy their family Christmas presents because their bitcoin 'bonanza' is useless as a means of practical day to day commerce.
I suspect that up to half of the apparent "popularity" of Bitcoin the past 4 weeks or so, is entirely due to the friction of moving funds in - and especially out - of Bitcoin.
And when the upper middle class to wealthy Chinese who only care about Bitcoin as a means to move RMB out of china into USD under the radar, find out just how much of a pain in the ass it is to turn it into USD, their support is going to disappear in a puff of panic.
I believe in the underlying concept of bitcoin but I am getting the feeling it is going to die from over exposure before it is ready to handle the attention.
It's rising in price because it's scarcity, like gold. But it way more usefull than gold.
About conversion back to fiat.. 1st better spent your btc on something else than fiat. If youre using mtgox.. too bad.. wrost place.
I've bought hundreds of things with btc, for me it's by far the more easy and the fastest methot to pay.
Im using CaVirtex for exchange btc/fiat fiat/btc.. its only few click.. very fast.. usually the money goes within 24h.. never had any problem.
Sorry, i just disagree with each and every point you raised.. using btc for 4 years now...
Let's where we will stand in five years.