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Topic: Bitcoin Mining Cartel (Read 3956 times)

full member
Activity: 150
Merit: 100
January 09, 2013, 12:45:51 PM
#36
Not quite dead, everyone was so busy attacking his newbie mistake that you may have missed another way that a cartel could operate.

You don't have to control mining supply, you only have to control the amount being released. So everybody in the cartel open partnership can agree to only sell a small fraction of their Mined BTC. This would constrain the market supply while allowing members to cover costs, but not cash out completely. To help drive market price even more there could be a second percentage of coins that Members will offer for sale at a premium price on exchanges and private party purchases. This would likely have a bandwagon effect among non-members as well.

Not sure if it is practical or if enough folks are interested to matter, but it might behoove us to design something very open and loose that will fill the gap where the "cartel" mentalityight live later. Even just a web page where folks could make their individual pledges and current thresholds for buy/sell could cover over the gap in an interesting way.

Another aspect I've been thinking about is either private or public sharing of expansion plans among members, with a specific goal to maximize their portion.

Lol why do you even need a cartel to do that, MtGox doesnt even have 1% of the existing bitcoins for sale. Probably >90% of the coins are being hoarded now.
They will eventually be released into the market, when the price is right. One thing to worry about though, is that in the event of any major negative news on Bitcoin(eg US outlaws Bitcoin, protocol flaw, superior competing currency etc..), the price crash would be very severe as >90% of these coins which are in hiding, suddenly appear on exchanges.
sr. member
Activity: 350
Merit: 250
January 09, 2013, 11:55:21 AM
#35
If I was going to setup a cartel play on bitcoin I would get a good hunk of the network hashpower together and then start squeezing tx fees.

Hmmm, there's a thought too, although I think the network will have to be a bit more transaction saturated before that will really work unless you have a massive percentage of the hashing power.

You're assuming that freshly mined BTC are the only BTC capable of being sold. There are already close to 11 million BTC in circulation, over 50% of the final number of BTC to be mined. Sitting on coins you mine would have a very small affect on the overall market.

Besides, this whole thread goes against the entire idea behind Bitcoin. It's a currency. It's meant to be traded and bought and sold and used to buy stuff. If everyone just sits on their coins waiting for the price to go up, then nothing even happens, and we all go home broke.

No, I'm only assuming that SOME of the BTC sold are mined, and reduction in mining output would reduce total supply by some fraction, but I'm not naive enough to think that it will be 1:1. The bandwagon effect would most likely be bigger than the miners restricted supply if it took off.

For example, if the open mining partnership decided that they would hold all but 20% of their coins (assuming that 20% covers electricity and operating costs for members, the numbers would have to be workable, these are just thrown out there), offer 20% of the held coins listed at a published price 10% above market (specific number, not fluctuating all the time, changing daily, weekly or monthly as the group desires), 10% of the coins listed at a published price 20% over market, and the final 50% in cold storage for the future. If this mining group controls 20% of coin production then the impact to the coin supply from mining then over the next period of time only 84% of the potential coins (3600*.84=3024 coins a day) and that would be without anyone else choosing to save their coins.


I am not saying this is the most awesome idea in the world, or that we should do it for sure, but I've seen this topic come up a few times and I'm wondering if we can come up with something that scratches the "cartel itch" that some folks have, but without the secret dealings and mob-like mentality. So, can we find something to scratch the itch without giving the cartel guys a knife to stab us with later?
legendary
Activity: 952
Merit: 1000
January 09, 2013, 11:02:12 AM
#34
You don't have to control mining supply, you only have to control the amount being released. So everybody in the cartel open partnership can agree to only sell a small fraction of their Mined BTC. This would constrain the market supply while allowing members to cover costs, but not cash out completely. To help drive market price even more there could be a second percentage of coins that Members will offer for sale at a premium price on exchanges and private party purchases. This would likely have a bandwagon effect among non-members as well.
You're assuming that freshly mined BTC are the only BTC capable of being sold. There are already close to 11 million BTC in circulation, over 50% of the final number of BTC to be mined. Sitting on coins you mine would have a very small affect on the overall market.

Besides, this whole thread goes against the entire idea behind Bitcoin. It's a currency. It's meant to be traded and bought and sold and used to buy stuff. If everyone just sits on their coins waiting for the price to go up, then nothing even happens, and we all go home broke.
sr. member
Activity: 350
Merit: 250
January 08, 2013, 09:55:26 PM
#33
Not quite dead, everyone was so busy attacking his newbie mistake that you may have missed another way that a cartel could operate.

You don't have to control mining supply, you only have to control the amount being released. So everybody in the cartel open partnership can agree to only sell a small fraction of their Mined BTC. This would constrain the market supply while allowing members to cover costs, but not cash out completely. To help drive market price even more there could be a second percentage of coins that Members will offer for sale at a premium price on exchanges and private party purchases. This would likely have a bandwagon effect among non-members as well.

Not sure if it is practical or if enough folks are interested to matter, but it might behoove us to design something very open and loose that will fill the gap where the "cartel" mentalityight live later. Even just a web page where folks could make their individual pledges and current thresholds for buy/sell could cover over the gap in an interesting way.

Another aspect I've been thinking about is either private or public sharing of expansion plans among members, with a specific goal to maximize their portion.
legendary
Activity: 1904
Merit: 1037
Trusted Bitcoiner
January 08, 2013, 09:28:18 PM
#32

but what would a lower difficulty be good for? It just makes it easier to "51%-attack" the network, which isn't a good thing.

The Mining Cartel would be the biggest one, and the Cartel would agree to hash rate maximum of ~49.345% of the network

keeps the network honest?

of course anyone  is allowed to try and take over this "Mining Cartel"

so... this thread is all a moo point
legendary
Activity: 1904
Merit: 1037
Trusted Bitcoiner
January 08, 2013, 09:25:43 PM
#31

but what would a lower difficulty be good for? It just makes it easier to "51%-attack" the network, which isn't a good thing.

The Mining Cartel would be the biggest one, and the Cartel would agree to hash rate maximum of ~49.345% of the network

keeps the network honest?
legendary
Activity: 1372
Merit: 1000
--------------->¿?
January 08, 2013, 03:20:17 PM
#30
Thanks to bonker for this shameful thread.
legendary
Activity: 1386
Merit: 1000
English <-> Portuguese translations
January 08, 2013, 12:52:46 PM
#29
This idea is already made, but instead of FYC(Fuck Yourself(while I mint blocks)Coin) it called Reaper.
The crypto-currency that can't be mined, only bought.
aTg
legendary
Activity: 1358
Merit: 1000
January 08, 2013, 12:19:06 PM
#28
Well, ok then.
But what i still don't understand is how you would accomplish that restriction.

As you know, the network handles the generation by itself, by lowering or raising the difficulty to meet the ~10minute-target, there's no way to change that by any mining-cartel, pool-owner or anyone else. It would require a protocol change and most probably lead to a fork, or IOW another currency != bitcoin.

That's the important question, what is proposed here is that everybody understands what they did the oil producing countries in the 60's, the difference is that you can not control the generation of bitcoins as oil and that will continue to lead exactly 25 BTC every 10 minutes for the miners who are still in the network.
sr. member
Activity: 310
Merit: 250
January 08, 2013, 12:03:35 AM
#27
PLEASE restrict your hash rate... You and everyone in your "cartel"

As a matter of fact, turn off your computer, unplug everything, and throw it, and everything with it, in the trash.

Also, If you came up with this idea all by yourself, please discontinue breathing... you are essentially an oxygen thief.
legendary
Activity: 1064
Merit: 1001
January 03, 2013, 06:05:17 PM
#26
Ignore lists... what a stupid idea eh? Just bury your head in the sand.

Unfortunately I don't think I've seen anyone's Ignore button get so dark so quickly...so I guess that's new record there Bonker Sad


Anyway, yay for getting answers  Smiley
legendary
Activity: 1428
Merit: 1001
Okey Dokey Lokey
January 03, 2013, 05:30:56 PM
#25
You want all the pools to get togeather, Become centralised, And Cap the growth of bitcoin to artificially boost the price?

Do you not understand the concept for bitcoins? Do you not realise why they were created?
Your on my ignore list because what your stating is

"lets turn the bitcoin free market into communistic currency control"

Ignore lists... what a stupid idea eh? Just bury your head in the sand.

Bitcoin is esentially still a toy and you can choose to ignore the cartel idea as a matter of principle.

But if the world were run by men of principle, then the present fiat system would be just fine.

As it stands, Bitcoin can and will be subverted by the cartel system, as far as I can tell.
Keep living in dream land dude.
legendary
Activity: 952
Merit: 1000
January 02, 2013, 11:07:16 PM
#24
By forming a cartel to collectively lower hash rate you don't restrict supply.
You can not change the supply at all, it's written in stone how many bitcoins there will be created on what timeframe.
A higher or lower hash rate doesn't change anything, except security.

If you change the supply, you create another alt-coin that probably noone will ever use.
TY for explaining it in a way Bonker can finally understand.
hero member
Activity: 784
Merit: 502
January 02, 2013, 10:29:19 PM
#23
By forming a cartel to collectively lower hash rate you don't restrict supply.
You can not change the supply at all, it's written in stone how many bitcoins there will be created on what timeframe.
A higher or lower hash rate doesn't change anything, except security.

If you change the supply, you create another alt-coin that probably noone will ever use.

That's a great reply, thanks buddy! Clearly I'm showing a degree of basic ignorance here.

Unless I'm mistaken, the cartel can restrict mining rate, but difficulty will lower accordingly and maintain the geometric hash rate.

That wraps this thread up for me unless someone else has some insight?

legendary
Activity: 3657
Merit: 1448
January 02, 2013, 10:19:47 PM
#22
By forming a cartel to collectively lower hash rate you don't restrict supply.
You can not change the supply at all, it's written in stone how many bitcoins there will be created on what timeframe.
A higher or lower hash rate doesn't change anything, except security.

If you change the supply, you create another alt-coin that probably noone will ever use.
hero member
Activity: 784
Merit: 502
January 02, 2013, 10:07:37 PM
#21
Read it again, I wrote: "growth in demand stays the same"
Read it again: you can not restrict the supply.
A protocol change like that would just create another alternate cryptocurrency. It wouldn't be bitcoin anymore.
You are of course free to create a new cryptocurrency, but you'll have a hard time convincing people to use it.

The entire point of this thread concerns restricting supply by forming a cartel to collectively lower hash rate.


sr. member
Activity: 350
Merit: 250
Trust me, these default swaps will limit the risks
January 02, 2013, 08:19:43 PM
#20
Sorry I have to jump in but this just sounds stupid. Try getting a bunch of people who just spent millions on asic mining hardware to not run them 24/7 is an incredibly bad idea. Don't we want the network hash rate to be astronomically high? What about increased security? Let it go because it's just not gonna happen.
legendary
Activity: 3657
Merit: 1448
January 02, 2013, 07:23:17 PM
#19
Read it again, I wrote: "growth in demand stays the same"
Read it again: you can not restrict the supply.
A protocol change like that would just create another alternate cryptocurrency. It wouldn't be bitcoin anymore.
You are of course free to create a new cryptocurrency, but you'll have a hard time convincing people to use it.
donator
Activity: 1419
Merit: 1015
January 02, 2013, 07:11:48 PM
#18
Trying to limit your hashrate to artificially lower the difficulty only hurts you and you're earnings, while everyone else mining 24/7 profits.

If Bitcoin became commonplace, we'd have a government run by a mining lobby using exactly this fact as an excuse as to why new artificial limits must be imposed. Cartels are stupid. It's already bad enough that we have pools.
hero member
Activity: 784
Merit: 502
January 02, 2013, 06:46:43 PM
#17
2) Drive the price of Bitcoin up

Why would a reduction in global network hash rate increase the exchange rate?

The rule of supply and demand: if we restrict supply and growth in demand remains the same, then the price will go up.

Price would actually stay the same when you restrict the supply at current levels and demand stays the same.

Read it again, I wrote: "growth in demand stays the same"



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