When the outbreak of war will affect the entire world economy not just bitcoin, the drop in bitcoin price is not a surprise to me. The panic selling of investors is understandable. War is a very bad thing, I hope this war will end soon, we will see the nearest market recovery.
the price has remained in the $37-$42k range for the last month. even before the conflict.
infact its at $39k which is higher than in january and higher then days before the conflict last week
(21st feb $37k.. first day of invasion 24th)
it was at $38k on invasion day and now at $39k
so dont panic.
..
there are other factors at play changing the value dynamic of bitcoin. that are more affecting things than the stuff happening in the ukraine
new asics are operating, the network hashrate is at ~190exa for the week instead of 200+exa the week before
using last gen asics the mining cost and thus baseline value where cheapest region on earth to mine was $37.5k
using new gen asics the mining cost and thus baseline value where cheapest region on earth to mine is $28.3k
so because those getting small batches of just released next gen asics, some are making more profit and able to sell for less and still profit
also the higher cost countries like america. which had a last gen cost of mine of $43k so they prefered to buy coin rather then mine when price was below their cost
now can mine for $32.7k, so now they have switch positions from a buy to hoard, to a mine to sell position.
..
as for market influence
those actually in ukraine are not looking to sell their bitcoin to have Ukraine currency. they are actually trying to change their ukraine currency into other things like bitcoin, to store while they try to escape ukraine
there are only a few 'minnows' that are selling up to get small amounts of ukraine funding to cover any immediate costs of living/escape