I am quite certain that we are near the bottom of this cycle, from where we will only increase further. The price might slightly dip below $7000 for a brief moment, but that will directly be the last time we have seen $6xxx levels. Every bottom after that will be +$7000.
That being said, I don't expect a crazy market this year. People should lower their expectations significantly in order to prevent disappointment. Bottom development indicates $400-$500 jumps, which I don't believe will change any time soon, so from $7000 to $10,000 means there is plenty of ground to cover, and for that reason we will keep dealing with sub $10,000 levels at least till Q4 of this year. It doesn't mean we won't jump over $10,000 again, but we'll reset back below that.
Trade the market or just chillax and do something else with your time.
Yes a tripple bottom would be a strong buy signal of course. And even if we dip below $6k I don't think it would last that long.
I also agree that this year, I don't see any reason for another mega bull run to happen.
12k-15k and I would already be pretty happy with the price. Reaching 20k again within the next 6-7 months will be a hard nut to crack and is imo very unlikely. But I'm fine with that.
Furthermore it's just 2 years until the next halving and that's why I believe we will see some upwards pre price action around mid to end of next year at the latest.
So we are good. Buy now, whenever you have some money left, and just wait your future gains! It will happen! And then, just enjoy it.