If the price of bitcoin rises to $35k, I don't think the bull run will officially start at that point. The bull run I'm anticipating will happen next year, not this year.
This year is for accumulating up bitcoin until the following year. Expect nothing extraordinary when the price of bitcoin reaches $35,000 this month(April). If only it should.
Let's wait until the price of bitcoin reaches $30k before discussing what will happen next and whether the market will turn bullish or remain bearish.
The real bull run will usually come some time after the halving happens, usually a year later. So I expect it to happen in early 2025 which will be more realistic. This year bitcoin has recovered, but even if it rises to $50k, I still don't believe we will enter a bull season. Although the unexpected can happen, but with the unstable economic situation, I think it is hard to expect a surprise.
Yes, we could move up a little higher however might set a bull trap for two main reasons.
1. Dollar is currently bearish near-term but sets a bullish perspective long term. This sets a Risk off condition in the market. When dollar is going higher, bitcoin and other assets are going lower. vice versa. This means that in short term, bitcoin could rally but still prone to another drop lower.
2. Seasonal Tendencies. Assets and Indices tend to go lower every April up to mid of July then consolidate every August before starting a rally higher until December. Currently in market condition, we're still in bearish conditions. Find where is liquidity. Get in lined with the institutions.
Do not buy to the misconception of market bullrun and short term run higher.
Trends are relative to the timeframe you're observing. It could be a +3% rally higher in daily basis but only serves as a retracement higher from a very big -45% fall in a weekly/monthly perspective.
Broaden your view. Reserve your tether. Prepare for the real run.