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Topic: Bitcoin Rallies During Presidential Election - page 2. (Read 1036 times)

hero member
Activity: 742
Merit: 526
That's pure speculation. Another source attributed the recent Bitcoin rally to actions of the Chinese government that is apparently cracking down on certain investment opportunities.

The truth is that we can't really identify the reason for the recent rise in fiat valuation of Bitcoin beyond saying that there is increased buying activity. Causal attributions to real world events are impossible, because all date we have are purely correlative.

In my opinion the upcoming release of Bitcoin 13.1 featuring Segregated Witness qualifies equally well to be a reason for price appreciation. In the long term, Bitcoin will simply increase in value compared to fiat because fiat money unlike Bitcoin is subject to inflationary devaluation. So Bitcoin is an attractive hedge against inflation.

ya.ya.yo!

In my view, the recent price rise from around $610-620 that had been there for over two months up to today's $690 should rather be attributed to the effects of this summer reward halving that finally hit the market and tell on the Bitcoin price in full. If this is really so, and I hope it is, we may see a further rise in price as the Bitcoin supply is diminishing, and consequently being overwhelmed by the demand.
legendary
Activity: 1638
Merit: 1163
Where is my ring of blades...
I am interested to see if there is any concrete evidence about this claim, like for example what was the price like the last time an election happened? was it the same way with the same reasons?

besides I doubt that US presidential election has any significant effect on the price since bitcoin is not US money but instead a global currency which is not restricted to only one country and there are currently other countries like China that are using bitcoin a lot more than US people.
legendary
Activity: 3094
Merit: 1127
most of what you say are only guesswork and speculation. and all the changes to bitcoin price and relationship with US presidential election is mostly coincidence.
i agree that there might be some hype involved in this but that is not going to make this much volume especially in Chinese markets which are the starter of this rise and still have the most volume!

Its  just  pure speculations  and  there are really exact  things that are  happening as  of  now    thats  why  bitcoin price  still increasing as  of  now. Bitcoin rallies  during   presidential election  is   just  nonsense  though because  it doesnt  connect regarding  on the demand  of  bitcoin.  The true story here  is that  chinese   do accumulate   millions  of  bitcoin as   ive read  from the news   which   is  really the main thing   that affect bitcoins  price as  of now  not to those  tings  that  OP mentioned. IMHO
legendary
Activity: 3472
Merit: 10611
most of what you say are only guesswork and speculation. and all the changes to bitcoin price and relationship with US presidential election is mostly coincidence.
i agree that there might be some hype involved in this but that is not going to make this much volume especially in Chinese markets which are the starter of this rise and still have the most volume!
legendary
Activity: 2898
Merit: 1823
Maybe it is also because the Bitcoin mining rewards are also cut in half every 4 years. We had one this year and the first one happened on 2012. Both halvings created more demand for BTC and the direct effect is an increase in the price. That is the practical explanation that is the most plausible for me. 
full member
Activity: 224
Merit: 100
Think it has more to do with the police force in the Philippines paying $100 per head of drug users. Wink

The election is a blip,not saying its a not big deal but the correlation is weak.
Bitcoin tends to do odd moves when you think it is connected to gold it goes the opposite. What we face is a little market manipulation and people start buying back in thinking they
can make a bit of dough off the next upward cycle. Its not a bad idea but bitcoin has the tendency to get a slight push and it starts to sail because we get all frantic about missing the boat.

full member
Activity: 211
Merit: 100
We can't identity the reason, and that's make that section so living Grin ! It also contributes to people buying bitcoins since all their phantasms are awakened.
legendary
Activity: 1806
Merit: 1024
That's pure speculation. Another source attributed the recent Bitcoin rally to actions of the Chinese government that is apparently cracking down on certain investment opportunities.

The truth is that we can't really identify the reason for the recent rise in fiat valuation of Bitcoin beyond saying that there is increased buying activity. Causal attributions to real world events are impossible, because all date we have are purely correlative.

In my opinion the upcoming release of Bitcoin 13.1 featuring Segregated Witness qualifies equally well to be a reason for price appreciation. In the long term, Bitcoin will simply increase in value compared to fiat because fiat money unlike Bitcoin is subject to inflationary devaluation. So Bitcoin is an attractive hedge against inflation.

ya.ya.yo!
member
Activity: 110
Merit: 10
The Commercial Real Estate Coin
The price of Bitcoin has gone up about 5% since the beginning of this week. If you frequent social media sites, you will see posts and tweets campaigning for the glory that is #bitcoin. Although not quite to its peak of $800 earlier this year, Bitcoin is sitting comfortable around $665 today and is speculated to surpass the $800 mark at the beginning of 2017.

One reason that Bitcoin is surging could be because it is election time in the United States. Every four years when a president is elected, the U.S. economy tends to waver in certain industries. Finance is one of these industries. Voters tend to not trust the economic principles of candidates running for competing political parties. The potential scenario that a candidate from another party may become their new leader of their economy creates an uncertainty in the minds of many voters, who may lose confidence in the U.S. economy, even if it is for a short period during election time.



Since the U.S. stock market is heavily regulated by the government, investors typically seek alternative investments to the stock market when a new president is elected. This creates a lucrative opportunity for Bitcoin's ecosystem because more dollars are exchanged into the market, thus increasing the market capitalization of BTC. Regardless of which candidate is elected, the uncertainty of the U.S. economy over the next few months correlates to higher pricing for Bitcoin.
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