Yeah, current circumstances are way different compared to 2013 in the sense that Bitcoin/crypto is much more 'established' now and more resilient to negative external influences (disappearing exchanges for instance). I assume we won't see a new ATH this year but I'd guess the bottom won't be under $3000 this time.
Exactly! Looking at the circumstances surrounding bitcoin now and what we had back then, it is so much different. The market cap has grown hugely, there is a whole lot of support, so many investors are already in and despite all the FUDs recently like you said, the impact has been close to nothing compared to what we would have experienced in the past.
So, from the look of things and how fully grounded bitcoin is becoming, there may not be much of a huge bearish trend again this year, but we cannot really say, can we ? Even if it happens, that will just be another sweet opportunity to quickly buy some more before next year cause I am so looking forward to upcoming year.