Now talking about election
I'm quite bullish
Bitcoin performance during election month of November has been green so far
2012 an increase of 11.2%
2016 an increase of 5.4%
2020 an increase of 42.95%
And 2024 an increase of TBD
Will fill that after November closing.
In all, I'm quite bullish.
But did you know that bitcoin has not been in political level like this in the past. The presidential candidates were neutral. Unlike now that one is really optimistic about bitcoin which makes the crypto community to like him while the other remain neutral.
Although I am also bullish in any candidate but I am not sure how the market will react for some hours if Trump does not win. I I think this affect the market for some hours before recovering.
Although today is the weekend, the market is usually not very volatile, but right after Trump's support dropped, Harris' support suddenly skyrocketed on the polymarket. Bitcoin also immediately dropped below $68k, which shows that the outcome of this election will have a significant impact on bitcoin, unlike every previous year.
I thought the election wouldn't affect bitcoin much but I guess I was wrong, if Trump doesn't win, we'll even have a serious dump that's inevitable.
In my opinion, the trend of bitcoin in November depends entirely on the election results. If Trump loses, don't expect the market to continue to rise and the bull season will be delayed further.