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Topic: Bitcoin stabilizing around $15. (Read 4931 times)

full member
Activity: 168
Merit: 100
June 26, 2011, 02:48:47 AM
#26
After some churn, and a big influx of Bitcoins as people pull their balances out of Mt. Gox, we're back around $15 again.

This is good. A stable, boring currency is a useful currency.

Make up your mind. Is it a useful currency or a ponzi scheme like your website says or a "pyramid schemes, tulipomania, bucket shops, pump and dump" like your Bitcoin Discussion post says? you seem bipolar and therefore like an amateur finance type.
hero member
Activity: 658
Merit: 500
June 25, 2011, 11:27:11 PM
#25
(...) between the dificulty increase and a possible influence on the BTC price.

How would difficulty have an influence on BTC price?
because we've been producing more than 6 blocks an hour, so now the supply will go down to 6/hr instead of the greater amount we've been having
legendary
Activity: 1204
Merit: 1002
June 25, 2011, 11:11:29 PM
#24
After some churn, and a big influx of Bitcoins as people pull their balances out of Mt. Gox, we're back around $15 again.

This is good. A stable, boring currency is a useful currency.
full member
Activity: 168
Merit: 100
June 25, 2011, 03:01:49 PM
#23
Bitcoins will be stable once it pushes all other currencies out of the image.
full member
Activity: 224
Merit: 100
June 25, 2011, 06:52:24 AM
#22
I'm guessing a lot of people have money or BTC stuck at Mt. Gox now.  Once people who were actually trading get back going, we'll see where the market takes it.  $15 is just a sign of no volume.

Less volume typically means more fluctuation, doesn't it? Because individual trades have more of an effect.

Only if there are large trades.  It seems that TH limits the bid/asks to 100 limit. 
200, actually, but yeah, that makes sense. Thanks. Smiley
newbie
Activity: 28
Merit: 0
June 24, 2011, 09:48:09 PM
#21
I'm guessing a lot of people have money or BTC stuck at Mt. Gox now.  Once people who were actually trading get back going, we'll see where the market takes it.  $15 is just a sign of no volume.

Less volume typically means more fluctuation, doesn't it? Because individual trades have more of an effect.

Only if there are large trades.  It seems that TH limits the bid/asks to 100 limit. 
full member
Activity: 224
Merit: 100
June 24, 2011, 04:17:28 PM
#20
I'm guessing a lot of people have money or BTC stuck at Mt. Gox now.  Once people who were actually trading get back going, we'll see where the market takes it.  $15 is just a sign of no volume.

Less volume typically means more fluctuation, doesn't it? Because individual trades have more of an effect.
full member
Activity: 168
Merit: 100
June 24, 2011, 03:28:42 PM
#19
^^^^^^^^^^^+1^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^ for a proper understanding of stable.


On the difficulty/miners/exchange side I was going to make a similar argument but the truth is that prior to this difficulty change >10/hr were being produced. Now it is down around 9/hr with the difficulty targeting 6. If difficulty gets it down to 6 there will be fewer coins produced by about 40%.
If the difficulty misjudges the supply of new hashes on the network and the supply remains high... well the difficulty will have it's work cut out.

Reminds me of:

"Programming today is a race between software engineers striving to build bigger and better idiot-proof programs, and the Universe trying to produce bigger and better idiots. So far, the Universe is winning."

-Rick Cook
legendary
Activity: 1036
Merit: 1002
June 24, 2011, 03:10:36 PM
#18
(...) between the dificulty increase and a possible influence on the BTC price.

How would difficulty have an influence on BTC price? You got it the wrong way 'round, man. Price determines difficulty.

Also, the amount of BTC available to exchanges is based on production rate, and difficulty adapts to keep that constant. Miners might as well be Satoshi secretly writing magical BTC bucks with his quantum computer, the market would not change as long as the effective minting rate does not change.

Edit: oh, @topic: please use the word "stable" when more than two months have passed. Normal people will shake their head when one says "stable" because the market didn't explode in antimatter fireworks for a day.
member
Activity: 92
Merit: 10
June 24, 2011, 08:09:19 AM
#17
I predict that the price of bitcoins MUST rise in order to keep pace with the rising difficulty level.
Hard to say. The higher the difficulty, the more miners will stop mining or stop buying new equipment. So there should be less BTC offered on exchanges. This will rise the BTC price, if(!) the demand for BTC's stays constant. There may also be a time gap (some days) between the dificulty increase and a possible influence on the BTC price.
full member
Activity: 224
Merit: 100
June 24, 2011, 07:25:32 AM
#16
Difficulty level will play a big role.  It's ironic that Mt. Gox is going to re-open the same day difficulty finally crests 1 mega.

I predict that the price of bitcoins MUST rise in order to keep pace with the rising difficulty level.  I contend that the recent spike to $30 was correlated to the recent huge jumps in difficulty.

The miners of Arrakis will have their day.  ;-)
full member
Activity: 224
Merit: 100
June 23, 2011, 11:23:05 AM
#15


The stat displayer you're using is ridiculously zoomed out in terms of min/max, as people have previously stated.

Note how jagged and unpredictable it is once you zoom in a bit.
full member
Activity: 154
Merit: 100
June 23, 2011, 08:40:51 AM
#14
As others have alluded to, once Mt Gox re-opens prices are going to go nuts.

I reckon there are so many people that have no idea if the reopening will mean prices drop sharply or skyrocket, that it will likely swing wildly.
hero member
Activity: 817
Merit: 1000
Truth is a consensus among neurons www.synereo.com
June 23, 2011, 08:34:31 AM
#13
There were a few days where the price on MtGox was stable at 19-20. This is meaningless. :/
newbie
Activity: 14
Merit: 0
June 23, 2011, 07:44:35 AM
#12
That was the day when the big players were in vacation, or busy with other things  Grin
legendary
Activity: 1148
Merit: 1001
Radix-The Decentralized Finance Protocol
June 23, 2011, 07:43:07 AM
#11
Bitcoin world, where one day of stability is a big deal  Cheesy

 Cheesy
newbie
Activity: 14
Merit: 0
June 23, 2011, 07:40:34 AM
#10
At this time, the success of Bitcoin is driven by speculation not its use for payments. Speculation is most profitable when the markets fluctuate a lot, and less profitable when the markets are stable. In a (rather small) economy like Bitcoin, it is still possible for a few players with lots of liquidity to move the market at will, so please do expect a lot of fluctuation when MtGox comes back. It will take a while until MtGox will regain trust, but once that happen, the bubble will return. Ride it wisely!
sr. member
Activity: 546
Merit: 253
June 23, 2011, 06:40:53 AM
#9
Bitcoin world, where one day of stability is a big deal  Cheesy
full member
Activity: 182
Merit: 101
June 23, 2011, 06:23:51 AM
#8
I'm guessing a lot of people have money or BTC stuck at Mt. Gox now.  Once people who were actually trading get back going, we'll see where the market takes it.  $15 is just a sign of no volume.
full member
Activity: 175
Merit: 101
June 23, 2011, 04:10:24 AM
#7
Not that flat actually Smiley

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