Regarding the price of Bitcoin which will reach 120k in the next year, there is nothing wrong with that prediction, because it is very optimistic that it can predict that, but again we all have different views.
Personally I am optimistic that the price of Bitcoin will rise but not significantly so that it can reach 120k in a short time.
There is nothing wrong anyone can write the price of bitcoin according to their beliefs where bitcoin will go next year after Halving, when you already have a bitcoin price target it means there is already bitcoin in your wallet.
It will definitely go up, I still don't know when this upward recovery will occur, I think now we have to wait for the Halving first.
Regardless there is no basis for the prediction so it is still a guess. I do not think that Bitcoin will reach 120k next year, if it is 2025, probably it has a possibility to happen because Bitcoin had enough momentum due to halving and possible FOMO that will exist when the price starting to surge. I also think that the time is too short for Bitcoin to hit that $120k at the end of the 2024. Even though Bitcoin halving is a huge catalyst for Bitcoin uptrend, it still needs to build up momentum and I believe it will take some months before the Bitcoin price starts going crazy.
Yes, everything is based on prediction and speculation and guesses. And with that, we don't know what will be the price till we are actually there. I still remember:
2017- there were speculation that we might go to $50k after reaching almost $20k that December
2021 - S2F model predicts $100k, and the prediction is almost perfect when we reach $69k that November
But we all know from those predictions that it didn't happen, no $50k after 2017, on the contrary it was a bear market. $100k was almost there, but after reaching $69k, it was the all time high for that bull run and no 6 digits in December.
I think the S2F model predicted the $20K run in 2017 pretty well. It made me a believer and was my go to in order to tell people my thoughts on the fractal price movement every four years. I also think it would have been accurate in 2021 if it were not for FTX stealing everyone’s money meant for BTC and dumping it into Solana and other shitcoins. That means 2025 could be the mother of all rallies, as we haven’t had a peak manipulated by fraud like in 2021 before.