I'm inclined to believe, with upcoming rate hikes, this is a bull trap and we'll be heading to sub-$30,000 this year, but I could be wrong.
What I believe is that the rate hike will only affect the short term. In the long term it will not matter the monetary policy or any other FUD, Bitcoin will continue to rise.
One fundamental factor that could propel bitcoin above $100,000 this year, or close to it, is rising adoption. The entire industry is experiencing exponential growth. So it's possible the bear market will be shorter and shallower than previous ones. Only time will tell if we are in a bear market like I believe.
I think this is what is really important. Despite the ups and downs of the short term, there is more and more adoption, even institutional, you can pay more and more places with Bitcoin, the hashrate keeps growing, and so on. These facts and the intrinsic characteristics of Bitcoin that make it the best for storing and transferring value will mean that, regardless of the short term ups and downs, as I said before, in the long term the value will not stop rising and rising.