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Topic: Bitcoin - we have a problem. (Read 14540 times)

legendary
Activity: 1680
Merit: 1035
July 04, 2014, 05:01:41 PM
And 1 year on from the original post the network has become more centralised.

http://www.cryptocoinsnews.com/news/bitcoin-mining-pool-ghash-io-ddos-ed-response-51-attack/2014/06/15

Not really. A year ago we had about as many major pools as today, and we've had these approaching-51% issues then too (It was BTCJam at the time). And the year before (I think slush came really close).
full member
Activity: 238
Merit: 100
July 03, 2014, 11:31:47 PM
The ethos behind bitcoin is fantastic but their is a fatal flaw that is being highlighted at the moment and that is the difficulty. It only leads to one logical conclusion the centralisation of mining and transaction processing as that will be the only way you will be able to generate any coins.

ASICMiner has some problem at the moment and because they are so large it has impacted the entire network. If another big mining pool goes down we may be looking at 40 mins between blocks maybe even longer - transactions are not processed if no blocks are solved.

The whole resilience of the network is being brought into question here - If these guys go offline for what ever reason with the difficulty where it is now everything is going to grind to a halt. A couple of business should NOT have this impact on the network.

What are your thoughts on this?

And 1 year on from the original post the network has become more centralised.

http://www.cryptocoinsnews.com/news/bitcoin-mining-pool-ghash-io-ddos-ed-response-51-attack/2014/06/15




legendary
Activity: 1904
Merit: 1002
July 14, 2013, 07:29:12 PM
For those who may be interested, p2pool just hardforked to settings that should work much better for ASICs that previously had issues.  If you are an adventurous Avalon, AM Blade, or BFL Single owner, I encourage you to give it a shot.  If you are more conservative about potentially losing a couple percent for day or aren't comfortable tweaking config files, you may want to wait for reports and guides to be developed.  If you do try it, please try it for at least a day.  After 24 hours, if your efficiency is 100% or better you will earn as much or more than a 0 fee pool that pays out transaction fees.  There are also guides for merged mining other coins if you are interested.
legendary
Activity: 1904
Merit: 1002
July 14, 2013, 03:45:44 PM
If p2pool node software was integrated into the Bitcoin-qt client so it is only one download and as simple as installing the normal client and a simple set up procedure i.e. you only have to enter a username and password - it would make a massive difference to the take up. Also a new tab that displayed all the stats that you have to request through your web browser as well.

Similar to how the original client had the option to "Mine".

At the moment it is too disjointed and is only going to appeal to people that are technically competent.

That would be my suggestion to help build the user base quickly.


The problem is that most of us in this community that are technically competent don't use Windows and very few of us know how to develop for it.  If someone reading this does have such skills, a single install p2pool GUI integrated with a wallet for windows would be awesome.
sr. member
Activity: 462
Merit: 250
Firing it up
July 14, 2013, 12:17:04 PM
Use Litecoin.

There is no ASICs at all, furthermore transaction is four time faster in ordinary state.

The statement is meaningless. Currently, litecoin ASIC does not exist for the time being because of costly memory.  Currently, GPU is a form of ASIC.
full member
Activity: 238
Merit: 100
July 14, 2013, 06:40:16 AM
If p2pool node software was integrated into the Bitcoin-qt client so it is only one download and as simple as installing the normal client and a simple set up procedure i.e. you only have to enter a username and password - it would make a massive difference to the take up. Also a new tab that displayed all the stats that you have to request through your web browser as well.

Similar to how the original client had the option to "Mine".

At the moment it is too disjointed and is only going to appeal to people that are technically competent.

That would be my suggestion to help build the user base quickly.


full member
Activity: 238
Merit: 100
July 14, 2013, 02:55:30 AM
P2Pool has gone from 30 hours/block to 23.2 hours/block since I started actively attempting to dispel the myth that p2pool doesn't work for any ASICs (no rovchris, I'm not just picking on you).  I'm not going to say I am responsible for any of that, but that kind of gain can only be explained by ASICs.  Clearly the situation is more complex than "p2pool doesn't work with ASICs".  Instead of shutting down the solution, you should ask yourself why you are looking for a problem.  P2Pool works for many ASICs, and is being actively improved so it will hopefully work well for the higher latency hardware.  If we don't quite capture the entire hardware market with this update progress will continue.  The problem is well understood and will be solved.  You can continue to look for other solutions to pool centralization, and I encourage p2pool competition.  However, I don't appreciate it when people needlessly lock potential doors for others.  If you want to say p2pool is hard to set up, fine.  If you want to say p2pool requires more robust hardware, fine.  But please refrain from slowing the growth of p2pool by spreading rumors.  I hope this makes my position clear.  I do not suggest anyone use p2pool with certain ASICs if you want a plug and play solution.  Many will require a bit of fiddling.  However, if you can set up p2pool, you can probably figure out the tweaks you need with a little bit of searching.  P2Pool will take some time to grow and to be refined but it will soon cover most if not all ASICs.

You see man that was a good well balanced response these are the kind of posts that I was looking for.

Thank you.
legendary
Activity: 1904
Merit: 1002
July 14, 2013, 02:15:41 AM
P2Pool has gone from 30 hours/block to 23.2 hours/block since I started actively attempting to dispel the myth that p2pool doesn't work for any ASICs (no rovchris, I'm not just picking on you).  I'm not going to say I am responsible for any of that, but that kind of gain can only be explained by ASICs.  Clearly the situation is more complex than "p2pool doesn't work with ASICs".  Instead of shutting down the solution, you should ask yourself why you are looking for a problem.  P2Pool works for many ASICs, and is being actively improved so it will hopefully work well for the higher latency hardware.  If we don't quite capture the entire hardware market with this update progress will continue.  The problem is well understood and will be solved.  You can continue to look for other solutions to pool centralization, and I encourage p2pool competition.  However, I don't appreciate it when people needlessly lock potential doors for others.  If you want to say p2pool is hard to set up, fine.  If you want to say p2pool requires more robust hardware, fine.  But please refrain from slowing the growth of p2pool by spreading rumors.  I hope this makes my position clear.  I do not suggest anyone use p2pool with certain ASICs if you want a plug and play solution.  Many will require a bit of fiddling.  However, if you can set up p2pool, you can probably figure out the tweaks you need with a little bit of searching.  P2Pool will take some time to grow and to be refined but it will soon cover most if not all ASICs.
sr. member
Activity: 462
Merit: 250
July 14, 2013, 12:46:34 AM
BTC is poised to pave the road but we should just hope that entities such as the US gov don't intervene and drive it underground Sad

if they can stop btc then it aint the US gov..  it is then the NWO
newbie
Activity: 20
Merit: 0
July 13, 2013, 10:15:29 PM
BTC is poised to pave the road but we should just hope that entities such as the US gov don't intervene and drive it underground Sad
sr. member
Activity: 462
Merit: 250
July 13, 2013, 08:59:59 PM
(which may scare away users in the face of other viable cryptocurrencies).



that is such a reach..  btc with all its popularity is still a long way from having daily users and you assume that these few adopters would rather go to other coins because of some tiny transaction fees that are still way lower than any fiat, credit, etc systems?

You are just looking at it from a miner side with no real care about 'users'...  classic pump and dumper

lol at 'other viable cryptocurrencies'..  that is a looong way away and only if btc paves the road

legendary
Activity: 1904
Merit: 1002
July 13, 2013, 07:57:40 PM
I see you conveniently edited out the link that was there pointing to a thread discussing the issue. Showing that it was not my assumption but based on information posted in this forum.

I conveniently edited out everything except the once sentence I was referring to.

Your assumption was that you took information posted on the forum as fact without verifying it.  Learn 2 Internet.  Forums are not a valid reference.

Yet you expect people to take your word that BFL products work properly on p2pool which is none other than posted on a forum. What gives you more authority than the manufacturer who stated that there is a problem.

No, I expect people to not make claims they can't back up with actual experience.  Your claim is patently false and I can prove it because I AM RUNNING ASICs ON P2POOL, AND SO ARE OTHERS.  I don't ask you or anyone else to believe me or the other posters.  I am merely asking you to stop making claims based on rumors because I happen to know are not true.  But, you'd rather be thick headed and point at quotes from a company who has been 2 weeks from shipping for over a year and who's engineers dramatically underestimated critical requirements, such as power usage.  Sorry, but I'll take my personal experience over BFL's "engineers" any day.  Again, I don't ask you to do the same.  I'm just asking that you stop spreading rumors you have not verified.
sr. member
Activity: 462
Merit: 250
July 13, 2013, 01:34:38 PM
Interesting thread. Not meaning to go OT, but in the context of solving these issues (or at least having a more refined alternative), what is everyone's opinion on Proof of Stake (as implemented in PPCoin, namely), as well as PPCoin's mint-rate adjustment algorithm as compared to Bitcoin (i.e. where PPC relies on difficulty, not time/block height)?

Seems like PPC would have a lot to gain on both fronts if this difficulty/centralization scenario plays out. It's looking like (at least to me) that Bitcoin POW energy efficiency will progressively become more and more of an issue. On one end you have the move to ASICs (and more efficient ASICs) which have reduced energy demands over GPUs and CPUs at a per-watt level, but on the other, if you are POW-only, like Bitcoin, the only real direction you can move in for increased network security is more hashrate. That hashrate will only stick around if there is profit to be made, either through minting operations (relying on this ASIC armsrace) or transaction fees (which may scare away users in the face of other viable cryptocurrencies).

I have noticed this POW centralization effect lately and it is a bit concerning to me. With PPC, given that it's still SHA256, I don't see how it would become less decentralized from a POW perspective than BTC, but at least your network security wouldn't depend 100% on POW hashpower.
sr. member
Activity: 260
Merit: 251
July 13, 2013, 10:12:43 AM
And as was pointed out, there is a large variation in the "time to solve", but perhaps if the 2 weeks to adjust were modified to something akin to a Kalman filter, see
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kalman_filter
one might be able to shorten the "time to change the difficulty" to a very short window?

One could adjust the difficulty every block without any complex mathematics or issues with synchronizing times. Now mining is random we only know the time of the average block which is 10 minutes however each individual blocks time to a solution will fall into a bell curved (visualize a bell curve with peak at 10 minutes and a standard deviation of 10 minutes).   If you simply looked at the last block the difficulty adjustment would just be tracking the normal random walk of bitcoin solution times.  Bitcoin "solves" that by looking at a 2016 block window and adjusting it every 2016 blocks.  However it isn't required that the adjustment interval and the averaging interval be the same.

For example a CC could look at time for last 2016 blocks to get the average time per block (and thus the necessary change in difficulty) but do that every block.

For example:
for block 2017 the difficulty is computed by looking at the time interval from block 1 to block 2016
for block 2018 the difficulty is computed by looking at the time interval from block 2 to block 2017
for block 2019 the difficulty is computed by looking at the time interval from block 2 to block 2018
...

But isn't that, then, just a moving average, all weighted the same. So an instant drop in hashing power, which is the question I think, would only affect the average slightly. If the latest, perhaps few, had more weight in the moving average, the "response" would be faster, I should think? This, in some analogous sense, is what a Kalman filter does.

I am looking at GetNextWorkRequired() in main.cpp and without comments, I will have to study it for some time to figure out how it is setting the difficulty, but it seems to be just the difference in time of the last 2016 blocks against the two week norm, limited to 1/4 if less and 4 times if more, with equal weighting of all blocks.

I like the idea of adjusting the difficulty more often than ~two weeks, though, as a start.

Ron
sr. member
Activity: 260
Merit: 251
July 13, 2013, 09:55:29 AM
I see. Like when a nuclear power station goes offline rather than a couple of wind turbines.

How long does it take to adjust then?
2 weeks at 10 min per block, so it takes 30 min for each block difficulty wont be adjusted downwards for 6 weeks. It's an issue at the mo because we're in the transition from off the shelf hardware to dedicated hardware and ASICminer happens to be leading that transition. When more ASIC manufacturers have products ready for immediate sale and difficulty levels out its unlikely to be a major issue but it will be a rough ride upto that point as hardware prices will need to establish a predictable ROI time.

And as was pointed out, there is a large variation in the "time to solve", but perhaps if the 2 weeks to adjust were modified to something akin to a Kalman filter, see
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kalman_filter
one might be able to shorten the "time to change the difficulty" to a very short window?
...
Ron

I had to google Kalman filter as I had no idea what it was - it made for some interesting reading even though it is some pretty hardcore mathematics!

What applications were you writing that you are even aware of it, I would be quite interested to know.

The change at the moment is simply done on the block count every 2016 blocks I believe.

I also totally agree about bitcoin-qt more friendly for the masses - have you looked into the "signing" of messages yet? There is absolutely no way the man on the street is ever going to get their head around that - it is far to "geek" to be completely honest.

It makes a pleasant change to actually have some interesting ideas posted that can address some of the issues.

The Kalman filter was used in a fortran program, compiled to run on a 1Mhz 16 bit minicomputer, with 4K of rom, that was the first collision avoidance computer that lived on oil tankers, about 1977. It (the filter) was used in the satellite navigation autopilot s/w that plotted the course and steered the ship. Not well I might add. Grin I just installed and serviced them.

Ron
full member
Activity: 238
Merit: 100
July 13, 2013, 08:25:24 AM
I see you conveniently edited out the link that was there pointing to a thread discussing the issue. Showing that it was not my assumption but based on information posted in this forum.

I conveniently edited out everything except the once sentence I was referring to.

Your assumption was that you took information posted on the forum as fact without verifying it.  Learn 2 Internet.  Forums are not a valid reference.

Yet you expect people to take your word that BFL products work properly on p2pool which is none other than posted on a forum. What gives you more authority than the manufacturer who stated that there is a problem.

legendary
Activity: 1904
Merit: 1002
July 13, 2013, 01:02:01 AM
I see you conveniently edited out the link that was there pointing to a thread discussing the issue. Showing that it was not my assumption but based on information posted in this forum.

I conveniently edited out everything except the once sentence I was referring to.

Your assumption was that you took information posted on the forum as fact without verifying it.  Learn 2 Internet.  Forums are not a valid reference.
full member
Activity: 238
Merit: 100
July 12, 2013, 11:35:58 PM
I see you conveniently edited out the link that was there pointing to a thread discussing the issue. Showing that it was not my assumption but based on information posted in this forum.
legendary
Activity: 1904
Merit: 1002
July 12, 2013, 11:29:40 PM
Quote
Cool story bro.  I've debated this to death in other threads and the fact is people with BFL hardware have been able to make it work by tweaking a few things.

Edit: removed quotes since you fucked them up

I don't understand why you are taking issue with me over this? -  I read a post by a BFL engineer that said they would have a problem with P2pool and somehow I am suppose to know that is not the case.

Generally when a manufacturer says something about their own products which would be detrimental to selling them why would you not believe them and consider it fact, a BFL engineer has far more authority on this matter than anyone else.

He may have been incorrect though so why do they not remove or update that post? Other people will see it and assume it to be the case as well and they are far more likely to listen to someone that works for the BFL than random people saying it does work.

Why you feel the need to be condescending about it I am unsure.

BFL has no interest in getting to work.  If it isn't plug in play, they will say "no it won't work" and then get back to something that makes them money.

People who do have an interest in getting it to work have been able to do so.  Why you feel like beating a dead horse I am unsure.  I have seen every post you have tried to offer as "proof".  Sorry, but you are wrong.  No please quit telling people incorrect things, or at least HINT that you might not know instead of saying things like this:
Quote
The issue with p2ppool is ASIC miners will not work on them
full member
Activity: 238
Merit: 100
July 12, 2013, 11:21:18 PM
Quote
Cool story bro.  I've debated this to death in other threads and the fact is people with BFL hardware have been able to make it work by tweaking a few things.

Edit: removed quotes since you fucked them up

I don't understand why you are taking issue with me over this? -  I read a post by a BFL engineer that said they would have a problem with P2pool and somehow I am suppose to know that is not the case.

Generally when a manufacturer says something about their own products which would be detrimental to selling them why would you not believe them and consider it fact, a BFL engineer has far more authority on this matter than anyone else.

He may have been incorrect though so why do they not remove or update that post? Other people will see it and assume it to be the case as well and they are far more likely to listen to someone that works for the BFL than random people saying it does work.

Why you feel the need to be condescending about it I am unsure.
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