It is expected to happen during the time of war yes and more volatility is going to continue because this war isn't looking to stop soon, meaning there is going to be more panic created as the sanctions are announced and regulation news of bitcoin is still heard from different angles, the latest being UAE. But IMO whatever speculation is suppose to favour bitcoin because people are considering it as safe heaven.
This justification is what I agreed with, of course, when fiat weakens, people will find an alternative to save the value of their money that is losing in value, the number 1 good investment is gold, but we also have a digital gold which is bitcoin. The effect I believe is just temporary, I'm talking about the negative effect where people panic, but in the long run, they will realize to choose a safe haven for their money.
I see that the effects of the conflict between Russia and Ukraine on bitcoin are only temporary and seem temporary and I agree that only panicked and impatient people take action to release their bitcoins to the market so that it weakens. but that trend will automatically disappear with a situation where many people still believe in bitcoin, because we can't avoid anything related to big countries that are also familiar with bitcoin.