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Topic: bitcoin when will it go back up? (Read 2517 times)

sr. member
Activity: 481
Merit: 268
May 04, 2014, 08:28:45 PM
#39
A breach of the 480 usds at Bitstamp would be a positive indicator (breaching a bearish trend line that starts at 907, touchs 712 and 541), but I have no clue when that will happen. It might go lower before going up.
hero member
Activity: 707
Merit: 500
May 04, 2014, 09:02:23 AM
#38
Take a look at the trend line on http://www.cryptocoinstats.com/priceforecaster.php

We're currently far below the regression line.

I'm not really sure of the viability of that model, as I don't know how expected price is determined, but looking at the past shows that there are very long periods in between spikes where the price stays below the regression line.
hero member
Activity: 707
Merit: 500
May 04, 2014, 08:52:04 AM
#37
June 6th. 2014 at 11:12 AM

Off by about a week:

June 13, 2014 at 11:30AM EDT
full member
Activity: 228
Merit: 100
May 03, 2014, 03:40:51 PM
#36
Take a look at the trend line on http://www.cryptocoinstats.com/priceforecaster.php

We're currently far below the regression line.
legendary
Activity: 980
Merit: 1000
Need a campaign manager? PM me
May 03, 2014, 03:28:44 PM
#35
.....  After all the holding speculators give up, and start spending coins.  Speculation won't make the price go up if new buyers aren't showing up.  New buyers only show up when the trend is going up.  The trend doesn't go up unless BTC shows it has value by being used.
Selling makes the price go down. Presently all retailers of any note cash out to fiat instantly. Holding and buying is what causes the price to go up.

Even if all of us Hodled, price would still go down as new coins are coming in everyday. This might be a slow year, but I am in no hurry.
legendary
Activity: 1193
Merit: 1003
9.9.2012: I predict that single digits... <- FAIL
May 03, 2014, 03:12:41 PM
#34
Looks like people are done releasing old coins from cold wallets. When bitcoin days destroyed 7 days average has been as low as today, there has been good times to buy the last two years.

legendary
Activity: 1176
Merit: 1010
Borsche
May 03, 2014, 02:57:18 PM
#33
After all the holding speculators give up, and start spending coins............
Selling makes the price go down. Presently all retailers of any note cash out to fiat instantly. Holding and buying is what causes the price to go up.
I said spending, not selling.  Parasites sell coins on exchanges.
And I said, all online stores of any note sell instantly. It is exactly the same thing so far as price.

"of note" is key. I own a small shop (see sig) and we hodl BTC. If only the big guys would do so...

what if you run out of inventory? whatever it is you sell, you must resupply. the lower your margins, the less btc you can keep unless you can pay your supplier in btc, which for most businesses is not a reality (yet).
legendary
Activity: 1652
Merit: 1265
May 03, 2014, 01:58:07 PM
#32
I know this been asked before but when will it go back up?

Never, the game is over.

sr. member
Activity: 406
Merit: 250
May 03, 2014, 10:22:26 AM
#31
I know this been asked before but when will it go back up?

Never, the game is over.
full member
Activity: 196
Merit: 100
May 03, 2014, 06:42:51 AM
#30
3rd May

Not looking good so far  Sad
full member
Activity: 141
Merit: 100
May 03, 2014, 06:17:52 AM
#29
Q: bitcoin when will it go back up?
A: all I can do is to predict.

And my prediction is:


Its likely that my prediction will miss the real price development on many candles but I think (in the big picture) the price will drop more in the next months.
I predict the bottom is reached late summer to xmas.
full member
Activity: 227
Merit: 100
May 03, 2014, 03:54:51 AM
#28
Update of my yesterday chart
hero member
Activity: 602
Merit: 500
May 02, 2014, 04:26:40 PM
#27
mid/end june or beginnin juli
sr. member
Activity: 285
Merit: 250
Turning money into heat since 2011.
May 02, 2014, 02:19:27 PM
#26
After all the holding speculators give up, and start spending coins............
Selling makes the price go down. Presently all retailers of any note cash out to fiat instantly. Holding and buying is what causes the price to go up.
I said spending, not selling.  Parasites sell coins on exchanges.
And I said, all online stores of any note sell instantly. It is exactly the same thing so far as price.
Big difference.  Coins being used for something that makes them useful is far better for its long term value than speculators waiting to get rich.
legendary
Activity: 2268
Merit: 1278
May 02, 2014, 12:42:30 PM
#25
After all the holding speculators give up, and start spending coins............
Selling makes the price go down. Presently all retailers of any note cash out to fiat instantly. Holding and buying is what causes the price to go up.
I said spending, not selling.  Parasites sell coins on exchanges.
And I said, all online stores of any note sell instantly. It is exactly the same thing so far as price.
sr. member
Activity: 434
Merit: 250
May 02, 2014, 12:41:47 PM
#24
i'm hoping for some upward movement after summer, the time before christmas. it will have been a year in between bull runs.. which is not indicative of how it's been going the past few years.
sr. member
Activity: 285
Merit: 250
Turning money into heat since 2011.
May 02, 2014, 12:31:45 PM
#23
After all the holding speculators give up, and start spending coins............
Selling makes the price go down. Presently all retailers of any note cash out to fiat instantly. Holding and buying is what causes the price to go up.
I said spending, not selling.  Parasites sell coins on exchanges.
sr. member
Activity: 952
Merit: 281
May 02, 2014, 12:16:30 PM
#22
3rd May
legendary
Activity: 2268
Merit: 1278
May 02, 2014, 12:16:21 PM
#21
.....  After all the holding speculators give up, and start spending coins.  Speculation won't make the price go up if new buyers aren't showing up.  New buyers only show up when the trend is going up.  The trend doesn't go up unless BTC shows it has value by being used.
Selling makes the price go down. Presently all retailers of any note cash out to fiat instantly. Holding and buying is what causes the price to go up.
sr. member
Activity: 285
Merit: 250
Turning money into heat since 2011.
May 02, 2014, 12:13:19 PM
#20
.....  After all the holding speculators give up, and start spending coins.  Speculation won't make the price go up if new buyers aren't showing up.  New buyers only show up when the trend is going up.  The trend doesn't go up unless BTC shows it has value by being used.
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