$50k is a 25% drop. Bitcoin did such drops in a single day. It can easily be sub $50k in a week. It will probably be at sub $50 during next month. Few bad news and some FUD and we are there.
Do you think Bitcoin like in a couple of years ago?? No, Currently Bitcoin is strong, so many people learn from the past, so fud is no more truly affected. And I rarely see fud about Bitcoin now. And the question is who will make a Fud about Bitcoin?? Institutions and many crypto influencers always say positive about Bitcoin. who?? New people? who will care about what they saying
LOL. Tomorrow USA central bank says they baned Bitcoin. Price would drop 30%. You dont even need they say that. There can just be a rumour. If you think that Bitcoin is free of all problems, you are very wrong. We are only on start of a long fight. All countries will fight against losing control of printing money. They are still in denial.
Yeah I don't know what that guy is talking about. There is still a ton of FUD around bitcoin and cryptos. I mean USA central bank banning bitcoin is meaningless because they don't make laws, but yeah your point is news or even rumours still highly affects the price, that is totally true. I'm sure we all remember the fake double spend news from a couple months ago that dropped the price from $33k to $28k in a single day.
But to your original point in the first quote, yeah $50k is like a 20% drop from here, but a correction from here is very unlikely, as the price just spent basically two months consolidating in the $50,000s. And a sub $50k price next month, a drop from say maybe $70,000s is unlikely because that's a 30-35% drop AND again Bitcoin just spent two months consolidating in the $50,000s. Sure it COULD happen, but will it? Good chance it doesn't. Next correction might bottom at $55k-$60k. And if it doesn't happen in the next month, I think the chances of it happening later are far less. I'd say there's an unlikely but small chance it happens in the next month or two, and a much smaller chance it will happen later on. Which is why I don't think it'll ever happen.
I'm not saying like there's zero chance of it ever happening, but I am saying I don't think it's very likely and I bet it doesn't ever go below $50k again. I'm not buying that there is gonna be a giant peak this year and huge crash and bear market like previous cycles, which I fully explained in my initial thread comment - cuz this bull market looks way slower and more stable and sustained and less FOMOy than ever before plus institutional support. To show an example of my point about a longer and more sustained and less in danger of huge peak and huge crash happening: the major movement of the bull run started around mid October, so it's been 6 months already, in 2017 the whole major part of the bull run only lasted 7.5 months, so on that timescale we're now starting Nov 2017, but rather than starting the big fast huge rise to the final peak now, we're just coming off two months of ranging and consolidating in the $50,000s, nothing about the current price suggests we even have to start thinking about the price becoming unstable and nothing about the market action suggests the world is gonna suddenly FOMO in and double or triple the price really quickly which is what is needed to lead to a big crash.
Also check out today, an entire country of 85 million people banned crypto and the price dropped all of $3000 and looks like that was it. Plus at the same time you have shit like Doge, BCH, Litecoin all pumping hard today and yet it's not bleeding Bitcoin. Plus you recently have some bank in the US saying they aren't allowing their customers to even buy stocks of companies that own Bitcoin, you also had Coinbase stock dropping hard 25% from its high in the initial hours on the market a few days ago! None of that had any more affect on Bitcoin than just normal daily volatility. $50k could happen soon but it is a big stretch to say it will, and if it doesn't happen soon it will probably never happen.