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Topic: Bitcoin will reach $10,000 - page 2. (Read 5105 times)

sr. member
Activity: 321
Merit: 250
June 30, 2013, 04:39:11 PM
#18
If USD was to go away tomorrow how would you know how much a Bitcoin is worth?
Euros, Yuan, gold, rubles?

I think the OP was referring to an increase in Bitcoin's value, not the dollar's collapse, although both are probably inevitable to some degree.

What if there was no more gold or silver or fiat money, How would you determine Bitcoins value then?
legendary
Activity: 3108
Merit: 1531
yes
June 30, 2013, 04:38:30 PM
#17
Even at very moderate adoption numbers, the big surge would happen before 2020. The recent run up to $266 just spoiled us a little bit  Shocked  Roll Eyes
hero member
Activity: 728
Merit: 500
June 30, 2013, 04:22:17 PM
#16
I bet the stories of how I gave away 1 BTC casacius coins to friends will seem completely unbelievable.

Kinda like 10,000BTC pizzas?

Bingo.  One of the metrics I'm watching now is the lowest price per BTC on a month-to-month basis.  Tracking it from 2011:

Google Spreadsheet with Monthly Lows Summary Data

Interesting findings:
  • 23 of 29 months since the beginning of 2011 have seen an increase in the monthly low price
  • We are in the 16th consecutive month of an increased monthly low price.
  • The average change from one monthly low price in this time period to the next: +35.70%

I'm not saying past performance predicts future gains, but that is a pretty significant period of time.  I don't think +35.7% could realistically continue, but I'm sure if you asked me that question in 2012 I would have said the same thing, and in 2011, and so on.
legendary
Activity: 4200
Merit: 4887
You're never too old to think young.
June 30, 2013, 04:21:07 PM
#15
If USD was to go away tomorrow how would you know how much a Bitcoin is worth?
Euros, Yuan, gold, rubles?

I think the OP was referring to an increase in Bitcoin's value, not the dollar's collapse, although both are probably inevitable to some degree.
sr. member
Activity: 278
Merit: 251
June 30, 2013, 04:17:00 PM
#14
I don't really know what to say about this... lol

Um i guess if we have a dollar collapse it's possible but how exactly do you determine Bitcoins value without a fiat currency to compare it to?

If USD was to go away tomorrow how would you know how much a Bitcoin is worth?

There is no such thing as absolute value
hero member
Activity: 924
Merit: 501
June 30, 2013, 04:13:29 PM
#13
Do you expect $USD to disappear in the next 30 years for some reason?  Or ever?

sr. member
Activity: 321
Merit: 250
June 30, 2013, 04:11:47 PM
#12
I don't really know what to say about this... lol

Um i guess if we have a dollar collapse it's possible but how exactly do you determine Bitcoins value without a fiat currency to compare it to?

If USD was to go away tomorrow how would you know how much a Bitcoin is worth?
legendary
Activity: 4200
Merit: 4887
You're never too old to think young.
June 30, 2013, 04:10:37 PM
#11
I bet the stories of how I gave away 1 BTC casacius coins to friends will seem completely unbelievable.

Kinda like 10,000BTC pizzas?
hero member
Activity: 924
Merit: 501
June 30, 2013, 04:05:30 PM
#10
We could reach $10 before $10,000...threads with titles like this make me bearish...

You can choose to vote or not.  While certainly in no way scientific the results are fascinating to me.
member
Activity: 84
Merit: 10
June 30, 2013, 02:25:34 PM
#9
We could reach $10 before $10,000...threads with titles like this make me bearish...
hero member
Activity: 728
Merit: 500
June 30, 2013, 02:23:30 PM
#8
Stop spreading this crap. Its not realistic, you fuggin troll.

it is if we choose not to use fiat-based currency any longer

Yup.  Bitcoin is a potential successor, or at least as a store of wealth and/or money transmitter.
legendary
Activity: 1834
Merit: 1019
June 29, 2013, 09:43:26 PM
#7
Stop spreading this crap. Its not realistic, you fuggin troll.

it is if we choose not to use fiat-based currency any longer
sr. member
Activity: 278
Merit: 251
June 28, 2013, 04:59:24 PM
#6
I've always seen 2017 as the golden year.

I agree with this in terms of adoption/usage. But the price won't hit the plateau until 2-5 years later.

Spring 2016 is my prediction for $10,000 USD/BTC.
hero member
Activity: 811
Merit: 1000
Web Developer
June 28, 2013, 03:53:04 PM
#5
I've always seen 2017 as the golden year.
donator
Activity: 2772
Merit: 1019
June 28, 2013, 03:17:51 PM
#4
the dollar will be replaced by some other currency before that happens.
legendary
Activity: 1834
Merit: 1019
June 28, 2013, 03:13:48 PM
#3
but I bet the stories of how I gave away 1 BTC casacius coins to friends will seem completely unbelievable.
they will say, Does not compute Cheesy

hopefully not "damn, should've kept that!"
legendary
Activity: 1008
Merit: 1000
June 28, 2013, 03:00:41 PM
#2
2020 is very reasonable in my opinion. I have no idea what 2030 or 2040 will bring... but I bet the stories of how I gave away 1 BTC casacius coins to friends will seem completely unbelievable.
hero member
Activity: 924
Merit: 501
June 28, 2013, 02:57:28 PM
#1
Inspired by this thread https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/maybe-i-am-the-last-bull-245802 I thought I'd try the scientific approach.


Before 2020 is my non-fact-based estimate.  What do you think?
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