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Topic: Bitcoin will reach 5-6 dollars within 1-2 months - page 3. (Read 7653 times)

full member
Activity: 154
Merit: 100

Yes agreed, it seems like once it hits a new low it is not long before it will be below that last low.

The same bulls who saw $24 as a buying opportunity also saw $20 as a buying opportunity.  They next saw $17.5 as a buying opportunity, then $15 followed by $13, and $12, and $11, and now $9.   Not a big wonder they have little cash left to take advantage of the current sale price.

Though at some point they're going to be right.  And I believe that point is like the OP predicts, in the $6 range.  At $14 that pricing was inconceivable, and yet a 30% haircut later it's not so far fetched.

I'm with you.  I expect a $9-$11 trading range for a few weeks before we descend the next stair down.  Mining is still wildly profitable for those of us with existing rigs.  We've got 2 more months of slow pain and then a possible sharp drop when the 7 series or the promised ASIC in a box are released when people cash out to upgrade.  After that we'll see.
sr. member
Activity: 300
Merit: 250
donator
Activity: 1736
Merit: 1014
Let's talk governance, lipstick, and pigs.
Keep in mind the wise adage "Past Performance Does Not Guarantee Future Results."
hero member
Activity: 602
Merit: 500
12 dollars not so many hours ago, down to 8,70 dollars, and now just over 10 dollars. Another opportunity to sell over 10 dollars (as I see it)...Probably the last one in many weeks.

Yes agreed, it seems like once it hits a new low it is not long before it will be below that last low.
full member
Activity: 224
Merit: 100
12 dollars not so many hours ago, down to 8,70 dollars, and now just over 10 dollars. Another opportunity to sell over 10 dollars (as I see it)...Probably the last one in many weeks.
member
Activity: 266
Merit: 10
My calculations confirms that equilibrium price are around 5$ and rely on miners behavior, not only on people using and trading bitcoins. Actual demand of bitcoins is really low. I suppose without Silk Road we never saw it over 10$ for long time.
full member
Activity: 224
Merit: 100
sr. member
Activity: 308
Merit: 251
full member
Activity: 224
Merit: 100
sr. member
Activity: 308
Merit: 251
Posts like these do make me laugh Cheesy I don't normally entertain them but I'm feeling frisky this morning. What I don't get is why there are so many people worried about what the price is doing atm ! it's got nothing to do with the future of bitcoin. This is my opinion and in no way am I saying that I am right or wrong but we are still in the very early stages of bitcoin. The hype has caused many non technical people and traders trying to make a quick buck to the table and the price of bitcoin is unstable to say the least. trying to predict if its time to make or break is a mugs game in my opinion !! It's all about the future Wink Once things are established bitcoin I predict will be very different than it's current form. People will start services and offer solutions to the non technical minded and then we will see the real worth of bitcoin.

Your average Joe is not interested in block chains, crypto currency and how money works. If you asked the majority of the world how do currencies work they would probably shrug their shoulders at you or take you to the nearest shop so you can witness them buying something. Once bitcoin has been established there will be bitcoin banks, payment portals, merchant services and just about every way you can think of to spend and transfer money without having to install a client on your computer or even use a computer.

If you was a smart person you would not worry about how much electric you are using or how much money your loosing right now because the smart people know that as the governments of the world fail miserably to cover up there mistakes there's a collective of people that are setting the foundations for a currency that will change the world and the way people think about money. it will give you the choice to stay with a currency owned by dishonest, selfish and destructive people that are in it to make them selves rich or to move over to a currency where you are in control. Where the people of the world decide on how things are run and are not just blindly following the crap they are fed by greedy people.

Just my two pence !!
legendary
Activity: 2100
Merit: 1000
It looks like it will reach under 10 dollars very soon. If you do the math, just the heavy investments in the rigs shows you all the signs that we will have high pressure on the price when it is still at this levels (around 12 dollars). That without even taking in notice all the other things that are happening plus all the money that has been made in the short term from the early early adapters, many of them still have 1000-10000 % + gains, that is crazy returns in such a short time.
your theory makes sense and is also linked to my chart patterns
donator
Activity: 1736
Merit: 1014
Let's talk governance, lipstick, and pigs.
The mybitcoin thing is a wake-up call that we need an open source and secure wallet solution to store BTC online... somehow. I don't have a problem with some bitcoins being destroyed/lost because it makes mine more valuable in the long run.
full member
Activity: 224
Merit: 100
It looks like it will reach under 10 dollars very soon. If you do the math, just the heavy investments in the rigs shows you all the signs that we will have high pressure on the price when it is still at this levels (around 12 dollars). That without even taking in notice all the other things that are happening plus all the money that has been made in the short term from the early early adapters, many of them still have 1000-10000 % + gains, that is crazy returns in such a short time.
legendary
Activity: 1092
Merit: 1001
I think the mybitcoin.com situation might be spooking some people.

I haven't seen much in the media about their disappearance.. but it's potentially another bit of bad publicity.

CNN's recent bitcoin story showed a screenshot of mybitcoin on someone's phone so I suspect rather a lot of people used it.. especially those who are less techie.   
Bitcoin-related companies burning new investors like this can't be good for the price.

donator
Activity: 2772
Merit: 1019
I predicted also that bitcoin should fall into the single digits, I have predicted this for a while now. I base this on the fact that bitcoin honestly has currently no real use. I also do not see it having any real use. The problem is that it is too easily hacked. It is too risky to use it as a currency as that may bring the government after you. Plus many other reasons which I do not want to get into.

How is bitcoin easily hacked?
donator
Activity: 2772
Merit: 1019
I think it might decrease yes. But predicting a target is totally absurd.

I'm not in any way predicting, it's more a guess, and I know that there are many things that can happen in that time period that can substantially make my guessing look totally wrong.

Say what? English not your first language I guess ? Predicting and guessing is the same thing buddy.

A prediction or forecast is a statement about the way things will happen in the future, often but not always based on experience or knowledge.

Estimate or suppose (something) without sufficient information to be sure of being correct

So it seems to me, a guess is a kind of prediction implying a lack of information (meaning that a guess is a prediction, but a preditction is not necessarily a guess).

Predicting and guessing might be the same thing for someone who is always lacking information.

legendary
Activity: 1692
Merit: 1018
There are real uses for Bitcoins at this moment.

You can transfer money taxfree over the world.
Paypal is getting bad press.

But I think you could be right.

Also...
I predict that there will be a lot of other kind of predictions in a predictions thread.

Correction: You can transfer bitcoins around the world tax free.  If you want to convert bitcoins to money, you then need to feed it through an exchange and a bank to get the cash.  There are fees there. 

PayPal is always getting bad press.  Has been for almost a decade, yet it's still around and as popular as ever.

Bitcoin's value is slowly limping along and falling.  $13.18 as I write this.  There are the usual excuses, such as this being the weekend, and that Dwolla transactions are delayed until Monday so traders can't take advantage of the low low bitcoin prices.  There is nothing new here, and everyone expects a dip on the weekends so there is nothing natural about it.  Bitcoin is in a natural, slow, gradual decline.
hero member
Activity: 523
Merit: 500
There are real uses for Bitcoins at this moment.

You can transfer money taxfree over the world.
Paypal is getting bad press.

But I think you could be right.

Also...
I predict that there will be a lot of other kind of predictions in a predictions thread.
member
Activity: 84
Merit: 10
I have stopped trading yesterday. I was actively trading on a daily basis with a very elaborated bot but it's not worth it anymore yet I prefer to go back on Forex. Not enough liquidity to play with.
donator
Activity: 1736
Merit: 1014
Let's talk governance, lipstick, and pigs.
It does look like trading on the exchanges is grinding to a halt. Let's hope that some of the early adopters are using their new found wealth to develop vehicles for making easy and safe transactions.
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