so whether or not the recent panic turns out to result in some action, i for one think china killing off the bitcoin exchanges at some point is a total certainty.
it is not a certainty except in your opinion.
i have been hearing about this for years. i remember two years ago people were saying the same thing that country x is going to ban bitcoin trading and kill it because it is ruining economy and crap like that.
and as we know today nothing has happened apart from FUD.
they think nothing of directly intervening in their stock and property markets and bitcoin is nothing but a tiny thorn in their side that might grow into a tree some day. it's of no benefit to the government.
it is a thorn in the eyes of many who feel threatened by it and they have been spreading their FUD for a very long time as long as bitcoin exists.
but again nothing has changed so far and government is more accepting of bitcoin than you are showing it to be.
in that scenario what do you think happens to bitcoin? mining aside, china contributes nothing to development, there's no actual bitcoin economy there and the exchanges are all probably bucket shops. at the same time of course the exchanges lead the west by a long way, though i'd guess many people on there are westerners anyway.
how do you know they don't contribute to bitcoin. got any proof?
even if they don't contribute to the developement the number of full nodes which is the back bone of blockchain and decentralization is at a good number in china.
does it fatally hole the bitcoin market for a long period of time? is western volume reinvigorated when the traders migrate back? does chinese mining fade away and change into hardware sales and not much else? would many or any chinese people rig up some type of black market?
would the chinese government attempt to moderate it recognising that they'd be left behind if it was squashed or would they not care?
what do you think?
there was a day when nobody thought about China and what thy do or do not do with bitcoin and they didn't say anything else about any other country and the reason was because US had more than 60% of hashrate and 70+% of the trading volume and nobody was complaining.
so why complain now?!!!