Topic: BLAST...A...CONTEST! PRIZES ARE 1 LTC AND A COMPAC STICK. Picks are closed! - page 4. (Read 4168 times)
June 04, 2017, 09:10:27 AM
Definitely someone is adding hash to the network. We're looking at nearly a 14% increase in the next 20 minutes.
June 03, 2017, 06:12:46 PM
Looks like Bitmain got a new batch of S9/T9/R4 chips in *AND* someone else (Caanan or Bitfury most likely) also got a new batch of chips in and sold/online over the last week.
June 03, 2017, 09:13:38 AM
Great to have you back Phil! Thanks for hosting this again.
Our cats stand ready to reprise their former glory by accurately guessing the difficulty!
Our cats stand ready to reprise their former glory by accurately guessing the difficulty!
Still got the cats.
Well next jump will be interesting to say the least.
This one is a big one
https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty
Bitcoin Difficulty: 595,921,917,085
Estimated Next Difficulty: 674,924,138,418 (+13.26%)
Adjust time: After 173 Blocks, About 1.0 days
Hashrate(?): 4,963,391,009 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):
1 block: 8.6 minutes
3 blocks: 25.9 minutes
6 blocks: 51.8 minutes
Updated: 10:10 (2.5 minutes ago)
It will be over 10% for sure and could push 14%
I have to figure a much lower one coming up.
June 01, 2017, 09:38:09 PM
Great to have you back Phil! Thanks for hosting this again.
Our cats stand ready to reprise their former glory by accurately guessing the difficulty!
Our cats stand ready to reprise their former glory by accurately guessing the difficulty!
May 31, 2017, 02:36:30 PM
SebbyBinx, creator of the Bitcoin Ring and BijouBlocks Bling pendant, is excited to guess the next difficulty adjustment!!!
May 30, 2017, 10:28:02 PM
Groovy. I should have a couple spares sometime next week, I'll send 'em to ya.
May 30, 2017, 08:56:37 PM
Looks like Phil's got prizes covered for this round. Tell you what, if you want to keep the contest running I'll toss in some 2Pacs for future rounds.
Nice I will commit for four rounds .
May 30, 2017, 08:33:52 PM
Looks like Phil's got prizes covered for this round. Tell you what, if you want to keep the contest running I'll toss in some 2Pacs for future rounds.
May 27, 2017, 07:59:33 AM
I too want to congratulate Phil on deciding to undertake this again!!!
As for the future, while the last week has seen a significant "correction" in the price of BTC, the longer trend of 6 months has been very good in terms of price appreciation. I always believe that hashrate follows BTC price, obviously with some lag time for folks acquire and start mining. Once that's happened, it will usually take a significant long term decline in BTC price to force out inefficient mining hardware from the global BTC network. Looking back 6 months, $2000/BTC still looks pretty good, even if it was $2700/BTC just in the last few days.
As for the future, while the last week has seen a significant "correction" in the price of BTC, the longer trend of 6 months has been very good in terms of price appreciation. I always believe that hashrate follows BTC price, obviously with some lag time for folks acquire and start mining. Once that's happened, it will usually take a significant long term decline in BTC price to force out inefficient mining hardware from the global BTC network. Looking back 6 months, $2000/BTC still looks pretty good, even if it was $2700/BTC just in the last few days.
at 2000 usd
5% growth
a 12500 s9 pulling 1300 watts paying 10 cents a kwatt
will earn 0.5905btc and will no longer cover power May 31st 2018
I used .9 % fee and blocks of 13.5 since kano.is charges 0.9% and blocks average 13.5
So if you are all s9 the gear should be good for a year .
May 27, 2017, 04:27:55 AM
I too want to congratulate Phil on deciding to undertake this again!!!
As for the future, while the last week has seen a significant "correction" in the price of BTC, the longer trend of 6 months has been very good in terms of price appreciation. I always believe that hashrate follows BTC price, obviously with some lag time for folks acquire and start mining. Once that's happened, it will usually take a significant long term decline in BTC price to force out inefficient mining hardware from the global BTC network. Looking back 6 months, $2000/BTC still looks pretty good, even if it was $2700/BTC just in the last few days.
As for the future, while the last week has seen a significant "correction" in the price of BTC, the longer trend of 6 months has been very good in terms of price appreciation. I always believe that hashrate follows BTC price, obviously with some lag time for folks acquire and start mining. Once that's happened, it will usually take a significant long term decline in BTC price to force out inefficient mining hardware from the global BTC network. Looking back 6 months, $2000/BTC still looks pretty good, even if it was $2700/BTC just in the last few days.
May 27, 2017, 12:53:12 AM
If it doesn't jump that much, it will be due to the massive price "correction" the last day or so.
The last 2 diff jumps have both been pretty close to 7% (one over one under), the one we're working on now looks to be close to that when it finishes (it's a bit OVER right now per bitcoinwisdom, was 7.6 when I asked for the 7.0% spot) - I don't see any reason other than Bitmain AND at least 2 of the other miner makers run out of chips for at least the next week for it to be a lot lower.
8-O
On the other hand, the current "correction" on Bitcoin price might convince a few would-be miner buyers to hold off.
Or it might get them wanting to buy faster to stock up more coin before the next surge hits.....
The last 2 diff jumps have both been pretty close to 7% (one over one under), the one we're working on now looks to be close to that when it finishes (it's a bit OVER right now per bitcoinwisdom, was 7.6 when I asked for the 7.0% spot) - I don't see any reason other than Bitmain AND at least 2 of the other miner makers run out of chips for at least the next week for it to be a lot lower.
8-O
On the other hand, the current "correction" on Bitcoin price might convince a few would-be miner buyers to hold off.
Or it might get them wanting to buy faster to stock up more coin before the next surge hits.....
May 27, 2017, 12:32:27 AM
That's what she said! 
May 26, 2017, 09:59:43 PM
May 26, 2017, 08:16:49 PM
+7.0%
May 25, 2017, 07:21:14 AM
The Phil contest is back!! Aw hell yeah!
Looking forward to it, Phil.
Looking forward to it, Phil.
Have to find an older thread with the rules
https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/m.14964950
I am checking this list of rules from older thread
1)you must have been on this site since April 1st 2016 you must have at least 30 posts. -- Make it from Feb 1 2017
2)I will check you out if you are new and decide if you can play.
3)you get one play per adjustment. which must be yours alone, in proper format and can not be changed.
4)Do not pick someone else's number If you do I will assign a number and that will not be changed
5) picks start at:
Bitcoin Difficulty:
Estimated Next Difficulty:
Adjust time: Block 1116
Hashrate(?):
Block Generation Time(?):
1 block:
3 blocks:
6 blocks:
Updated:
6) picks end at
Bitcoin Difficulty:
Estimated Next Difficulty:
Adjust time: 516
Hashrate(?):
Block Generation Time(?):
1 block:
3 blocks:
6 blocks:
Updated:
7) since this is a free contest I make all decisions if there are any issues or problems.
8 ) note the change picks start later and end late in the hope of helping a person to pick a winner.
9) format is below and this is the contest picks from 2016 in code
as low as you want
-1.0
-0.9
-0.8
-0.7
-0.6
-0.5
-0.4
-0.3
-0.2
-0.1
0.0
+0.1
+0.2
+0.3
+0.4
+0.5
+0.6
+0.7
+0.8
+0.9
+1.0
to as high as you want
Code:
-1.2 = philipma1957 >>>> I always pick this number
-0.5 = Erumara
0.0 = adaseb
+0.7 = adib
+0.8 = ingiltere
+0.9 = usenet
+1.0 = NeuroticFish
+1.4 = ahmedjamal1998
+1.5 = lolxxxx
+1.7 = ezeminer
+2.2 = Valkir
+2.3 = fr4nkthetank
+2.7 = blindminer
+3.0 = topiOleg
+3.1 = tlhIlwI
+3.2 = Psi
+3.3 = HagssFIN
+3.4 = HerbPean
+3.5 = Veves1
+3.6 = Cuidler
+3.7 ! Thank you! @ Roadstress Pleaz try to do it right > +3.7 = Roadstress
+3.9 = flikflak
+4.0 = pusttiu
+4.1 = Amph
+4.2 = VirosaGITS
+4.5 = redhack
+4.6 = talks_cheep
+4.7 = Ankara
+4.8 = indiemax
+4.9 = ATguy
+5.0 = alh
+5.1 = FruitsBasket
+5.2 = VRobb
+5.3 = Dexter770221
+5.4 = gnaoui
+5.5 = vapourminer
+5.6 = mavericklm I changed your pick to +5.6 as vapourminer had +5.5
+5.7 = wlefever
+5.8 = Notlist3d
+5.9 = Chris!
+6.5 = wpt1wpt1
+6.6 = edonkey
+6.7 = zebedee
+6.8 = AM4Bitcoin
+6.9% = Mikestang
+7.6 = RichBC
Code:
Difficulty History
Date Difficulty Change Hash Rate
May 24 2016 199,312,067,531 2.60% 1,426,731,353 GH/s
May 11 2016 194,254,820,283 8.73% 1,390,530,167 GH/s
Apr 28 2016 178,659,257,773 -0.01% 1,278,892,782 GH/s
Apr 14 2016 178,678,307,672 7.09% 1,279,029,147 GH/s
Apr 01 2016 166,851,513,283 0.82% 1,194,369,655 GH/s
Mar 18 2016 165,496,835,118 4.46% 1,184,672,491 GH/s
Mar 04 2016 158,427,203,767 -3.10% 1,134,066,098 GH/s
Feb 19 2016 163,491,654,909 13.44% 1,170,318,852 GH/s
Feb 07 2016 144,116,447,847 20.06% 1,031,625,717 GH/s
Jan 26 2016 120,033,340,651 5.89% 859,232,121 GH/s
Jan 13 2016 113,354,299,801 9.12% 811,421,684 GH/s
Dec 31 2015 103,880,340,815 11.16% 743,604,444 GH/s
Dec 18 2015 93,448,670,796 18.14% 668,931,642 GH/s
Dec 06 2015 79,102,380,900 8.77% 566,236,898 GH/s
Nov 24 2015 72,722,780,643 10.44% 520,569,941 GH/s
Nov 11 2015 65,848,255,180 5.77% 471,360,171 GH/s
Oct 29 2015 62,253,982,450 2.25% 445,631,364 GH/s
Oct 15 2015 60,883,825,480 0.12% 435,823,399 GH/s
Oct 01 2015 60,813,224,039 2.49% 435,318,014 GH/s
Sep 17 2015 59,335,351,234 4.17% 424,738,988 GH/s
Sep 04 2015 56,957,648,455 4.98% 407,718,729 GH/s
Aug 22 2015 54,256,630,328 2.95% 388,384,088 GH/s
Aug 08 2015 52,699,842,409 0.81% 377,240,166 GH/s
Jul 25 2015 52,278,304,846 2.35% 374,222,683 GH/s
Jul 11 2015 51,076,366,303 3.39% 365,618,871 GH/s
Jun 28 2015 49,402,014,931 -0.58% 353,633,397 GH/s
Jun 14 2015 49,692,386,355 4.42% 355,711,957 GH/s
May 31 2015 47,589,591,154 -2.50% 340,659,563 GH/s
May 17 2015 48,807,487,245 2.44% 349,377,603 GH/s
May 03 2015 47,643,398,018 0.07% 341,044,727 GH/s
Apr 19 2015 47,610,564,513 -3.71% 340,809,696 GH/s
Apr 05 2015 49,446,390,688 5.84% 353,951,052 GH/s
Mar 22 2015 46,717,549,645 -1.50% 334,417,246 GH/s
Mar 08 2015 47,427,554,951 1.59% 339,499,662 GH/s
Feb 22 2015 46,684,376,317 5.01% 334,179,783 GH/s
Feb 09 2015 44,455,415,962 7.71% 318,224,263 GH/s
Jan 27 2015 41,272,873,895 -6.14% 295,442,739 GH/s
Jan 12 2015 43,971,662,056 8.20% 314,761,417 GH/s
Dec 30 2014 40,640,955,017 3.00% 290,919,288 GH/s
Dec 17 2014 39,457,671,307 -1.37% 282,449,013 GH/s
Dec 02 2014 40,007,470,271 -0.73% 286,384,627 GH/s
Nov 18 2014 40,300,030,328 1.76% 288,478,854 GH/s
Nov 05 2014 39,603,666,252 10.05% 283,494,086 GH/s
Oct 23 2014 35,985,640,265 2.81% 257,595,247 GH/s
Oct 09 2014 35,002,482,026 0.98% 250,557,526 GH/s
Sep 25 2014 34,661,425,924 16.20% 248,116,151 GH/s
Sep 13 2014 29,829,733,124 8.75% 213,529,547 GH/s
Aug 31 2014 27,428,630,902 15.03% 196,341,788 GH/s
Aug 19 2014 23,844,670,039 20.86% 170,686,797 GH/s
Aug 08 2014 19,729,645,941 5.30% 141,230,307 GH/s
© 2013-2014 BitcoinWisdom.com
10) Finally If I missed anything I will be the sole decider as to what is fair.
May 25, 2017, 07:17:46 AM
The Phil contest is back!! Aw hell yeah!
Looking forward to it, Phil.
Looking forward to it, Phil.
May 25, 2017, 04:38:56 AM
No winners link to next thread---- this one will be locked
https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/m.19624852
Re: BLAST FROM THE PAST A DIFFICULTY CONTEST! PRIZES ARE 1 LTC AND A COMPAC STICK
Altered title to fit the start and stop info.
Sweet I like it
when it reaches 1116 picks will start
when it reaches 516-- picks will end---- Please note I erred and closed it early . Next round we will do 516
when it reaches 0 winner will be found or not
##################################
@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@
**********************************************
More to follow. I will run it on the next jump
Difficulty History
Date.......................Difficulty............Change......Hash Rate
May 23 2017 595,921,917,085 6.42% 4,265,775,241 GH/s
May 10 2017 559,970,892,891 7.28% 4,008,427,786 GH/s
Apr 27 2017 521,974,519,554 0.22% 3,736,439,151 GH/s
Apr 13 2017 520,808,749,422 4.24% 3,728,094,244 GH/s
Mar 30 2017 499,635,929,817 5.03% 3,576,533,297 GH/s
Mar 17 2017 475,705,205,062 3.24% 3,405,230,497 GH/s
Mar 03 2017 460,769,358,091 4.54% 3,298,315,540 GH/s
Feb 18 2017 440,779,902,287 4.41% 3,155,225,442 GH/s
Feb 04 2017 422,170,566,884 7.43% 3,022,014,630 GH/s
Jan 22 2017 392,963,262,344 16.64% 2,812,940,600 GH/s
Jan 10 2017 336,899,932,796 6.05% 2,411,623,656 GH/s
This jump will end around June 4th. So contest will start around June 4-5-6 with picking starting at block 1116 of the next jump
Bitcoin Difficulty: 595,921,917,085
Estimated Next Difficulty: 643,997,221,046 (+8.07%)
Adjust time: After 1664 Blocks, About 10.9 days this is the spot to look for the start time next jump at 1116 not this jump
Hashrate(?): 4,637,688,482 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):
1 block: 9.4 minutes
3 blocks: 28.4 minutes
6 blocks: 56.7 minutes
Updated:
So 1 compac usb stick from sidehack
and 1 LTC coin from me.
If you are overseas I will spring for the shipping of the compac stick. Note the compact stick is the 1 chip version but as always it is fun to play with it.
https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/m.19624852
Re: BLAST FROM THE PAST A DIFFICULTY CONTEST! PRIZES ARE 1 LTC AND A COMPAC STICK
Altered title to fit the start and stop info.
Experimental Image Contribution:
Let's see how this holds up over time.
If it works well enough, feel free to quote it Phil.
Let's see how this holds up over time.
If it works well enough, feel free to quote it Phil.
Sweet I like it
when it reaches 1116 picks will start
when it reaches 516-- picks will end---- Please note I erred and closed it early . Next round we will do 516
when it reaches 0 winner will be found or not
##################################
@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@
**********************************************
More to follow. I will run it on the next jump
Difficulty History
Date.......................Difficulty............Change......Hash Rate
May 23 2017 595,921,917,085 6.42% 4,265,775,241 GH/s
May 10 2017 559,970,892,891 7.28% 4,008,427,786 GH/s
Apr 27 2017 521,974,519,554 0.22% 3,736,439,151 GH/s
Apr 13 2017 520,808,749,422 4.24% 3,728,094,244 GH/s
Mar 30 2017 499,635,929,817 5.03% 3,576,533,297 GH/s
Mar 17 2017 475,705,205,062 3.24% 3,405,230,497 GH/s
Mar 03 2017 460,769,358,091 4.54% 3,298,315,540 GH/s
Feb 18 2017 440,779,902,287 4.41% 3,155,225,442 GH/s
Feb 04 2017 422,170,566,884 7.43% 3,022,014,630 GH/s
Jan 22 2017 392,963,262,344 16.64% 2,812,940,600 GH/s
Jan 10 2017 336,899,932,796 6.05% 2,411,623,656 GH/s
This jump will end around June 4th. So contest will start around June 4-5-6 with picking starting at block 1116 of the next jump
Bitcoin Difficulty: 595,921,917,085
Estimated Next Difficulty: 643,997,221,046 (+8.07%)
Adjust time: After 1664 Blocks, About 10.9 days this is the spot to look for the start time next jump at 1116 not this jump
Hashrate(?): 4,637,688,482 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):
1 block: 9.4 minutes
3 blocks: 28.4 minutes
6 blocks: 56.7 minutes
Updated:
So 1 compac usb stick from sidehack
and 1 LTC coin from me.
If you are overseas I will spring for the shipping of the compac stick. Note the compact stick is the 1 chip version but as always it is fun to play with it.
Jump to: