Pages:
Author

Topic: block halving date - page 5. (Read 4499 times)

full member
Activity: 434
Merit: 101
Blockchain Marketing: tokensuite.io
legendary
Activity: 3038
Merit: 4418
Crypto Swap Exchange
December 04, 2015, 03:57:27 AM
#36
If bitcoin halving doesn't happen on exact date than how bitcoin clock calculate the exact date 2016-07-22? Quite confusing to understand this one. It is supposed to happen on july next year as i know from long time ago.
However, the hashrate would probably increase for every difficulty period right now and the blocks will be slightly faster. Overtime, the estimated time will decrease due to the shorter block intervals during each difficulty periods.

The truth is, the average is 10 minutes, but its common to have block solved in like 1 minute.
And it's a matter of "luck", not because the total hashrate increased.

If you have blocks solved in 1 minute, that can last only for at max 2 weeks, because then difficulty calibration kicks in.
If blocks are 1 minute apart, the difficulty adjustment will be in 1.4days. The difficulty adjustments is based on number of blocks, not time.
sr. member
Activity: 392
Merit: 250
December 03, 2015, 10:21:35 PM
#35
Not so sure given how much everybody expects bitcoin to pump that it actually will..
legendary
Activity: 1232
Merit: 1030
give me your cryptos
December 03, 2015, 09:52:45 PM
#34
The halving will occur on the 420000th block. It is not certain what day, as some blocks are mined a minute apart, some block are mined over an hour apart. If I remember correctly, we are about 2-5 months from the halving.
hero member
Activity: 546
Merit: 500
LOL what you looking at?
December 03, 2015, 03:29:46 PM
#33
If bitcoin halving doesn't happen on exact date than how bitcoin clock calculate the exact date 2016-07-22? Quite confusing to understand this one. It is supposed to happen on july next year as i know from long time ago.
However, the hashrate would probably increase for every difficulty period right now and the blocks will be slightly faster. Overtime, the estimated time will decrease due to the shorter block intervals during each difficulty periods.

The truth is, the average is 10 minutes, but its common to have block solved in like 1 minute.
And it's a matter of "luck", not because the total hashrate increased.

If you have blocks solved in 1 minute, that can last only for at max 2 weeks, because then difficulty calibration kicks in.
legendary
Activity: 3038
Merit: 4418
Crypto Swap Exchange
December 03, 2015, 11:30:52 AM
#32
If bitcoin halving doesn't happen on exact date than how bitcoin clock calculate the exact date 2016-07-22? Quite confusing to understand this one. It is supposed to happen on july next year as i know from long time ago.
However, the hashrate would probably increase for every difficulty period right now and the blocks will be slightly faster. Overtime, the estimated time will decrease due to the shorter block intervals during each difficulty periods.

The truth is, the average is 10 minutes, but its common to have block solved in like 1 minute.
And it's a matter of "luck", not because the total hashrate increased.
It's actually variance. In the long run, without huge difficulty/hashrate increases, we are likely to see close to 10 minutes per block especially when we're talking about a block that's close to a year away. But yes, hashrate is actually increasing right now since its winter in some countries and the price increase.
legendary
Activity: 1596
Merit: 1027
December 03, 2015, 10:58:56 AM
#31
I guess we will see a rise in the price a little back before the halving... If you take the Litecoin halving has an example, we can predict that the price will rise before the halving and probably go down a bit after. Now, to what price will we see it rise, I can't say...
legendary
Activity: 1386
Merit: 1000
English <-> Portuguese translations
December 03, 2015, 10:06:00 AM
#30
If bitcoin halving doesn't happen on exact date than how bitcoin clock calculate the exact date 2016-07-22? Quite confusing to understand this one. It is supposed to happen on july next year as i know from long time ago.
However, the hashrate would probably increase for every difficulty period right now and the blocks will be slightly faster. Overtime, the estimated time will decrease due to the shorter block intervals during each difficulty periods.

The truth is, the average is 10 minutes, but its common to have block solved in like 1 minute.
And it's a matter of "luck", not because the total hashrate increased.
legendary
Activity: 3038
Merit: 4418
Crypto Swap Exchange
December 03, 2015, 09:03:25 AM
#29
If bitcoin halving doesn't happen on exact date than how bitcoin clock calculate the exact date 2016-07-22? Quite confusing to understand this one. It is supposed to happen on july next year as i know from long time ago.
The block intervals is on average, 10minutes if the hashrate does not increase. However, the hashrate would probably increase for every difficulty period right now and the blocks will be slightly faster. Overtime, the estimated time will decrease due to the shorter block intervals during each difficulty periods. The estimator probably uses 10 minutes and multiply it by the blocks left. It would adjust itself automatically if the blocks become faster or slower suddenly I believe.
hero member
Activity: 714
Merit: 528
December 03, 2015, 08:46:56 AM
#28
I did not know there were still so many months to go. I understood it is a thing that you cannot tell precisely, so I did not care very much.

Thanks to all you guys for instructing us.

I expect the effects to happen 3-4 months away from the halving.
I think the effect is already happening now, look at the price of Bitcoin, it got increased pretty significantly Wink
I can't imagine the price when the halving happens Tongue
I hope we can at least touch $800 Roll Eyes
hero member
Activity: 770
Merit: 500
✪ NEXCHANGE | BTC, LTC, ETH & DOGE ✪
December 03, 2015, 08:35:00 AM
#27
I did not know there were still so many months to go. I understood it is a thing that you cannot tell precisely, so I did not care very much.

Thanks to all you guys for instructing us.

I expect the effects to happen 3-4 months away from the halving.
legendary
Activity: 1120
Merit: 1008
CryptoTalk.Org - Get Paid for every Post!
December 03, 2015, 08:24:00 AM
#26
If bitcoin halving doesn't happen on exact date than how bitcoin clock calculate the exact date 2016-07-22? Quite confusing to understand this one. It is supposed to happen on july next year as i know from long time ago.
member
Activity: 103
Merit: 10
www.bitcoinfuturesguide.com
December 03, 2015, 08:23:49 AM
#25
Can anyone gibe me a date for the block halving please? Also is it 100% guaranteed to happen at this time?



check out this post maybe helpful:

Bitcoin Futures Guide - The Bitcoin Halvening: What Is It and What Will Its Effect on Price Be?

http://www.bitcoinfuturesguide.com/bitcoin-blog/the-bitcoin-halvening-what-is-it-and-what-will-its-effects-on-price-be
legendary
Activity: 1232
Merit: 1091
December 03, 2015, 08:16:57 AM
#24
It will happen at block 420000. Bitcoin tries to maintain it's block frequency at an average of 10 minutes in the long term but due to increase in hashrate during the midst of the difficulty term, it is impossible for it to be at 10 minutes. However, we can more or less tell where it is. It will happen at approximately 2016-07-22 UTC. Of course, if the blocks gets delayed at 419999 due to varience, it would be pushed back slightly.
with the block reward halfing pretty soon ( in like 8 months), i wonder when we are going to start seeing changes in price influenced by the halfing

It's something we simply can't predict. It can happen tomorrow, or we can start seeing the block halving bull run starts 1 or 2 months before the actual halving day. I am fairly sure we are already slowly going up due to the comming block halving. It's only waiting for the extreme bull run that can happen at any time.
hero member
Activity: 756
Merit: 500
December 03, 2015, 08:09:01 AM
#23
It will happen at block 420000. Bitcoin tries to maintain it's block frequency at an average of 10 minutes in the long term but due to increase in hashrate during the midst of the difficulty term, it is impossible for it to be at 10 minutes. However, we can more or less tell where it is. It will happen at approximately 2016-07-22 UTC. Of course, if the blocks gets delayed at 419999 due to varience, it would be pushed back slightly.
with the block reward halfing pretty soon ( in like 8 months), i wonder when we are going to start seeing changes in price influenced by the halfing
hero member
Activity: 798
Merit: 1000
Move On !!!!!!
December 03, 2015, 08:05:14 AM
#22
bears in mind that this is an estimation, it will kick-in early than the countdown, not too much early though

hi hamp!!!
if so, you think who price will rise after this date?
and if a lot off miners switch off his networks because they can't earn enough???
what will happen?

i think it will rise early, before the halving will be in play

don't worry about miners, they can take profit, even if the halving was going to enter tomorrow and the price was the same as it is right now

And how are you so sure of that?
I know that most miners are big players, still, having 50% of the reward is a big drop.

because it is already happening  Grin, someone is artificially fixing the market in preparation of the halving, and possible swings that may occur

even litecoin halving did produced an increase, which one quite good(x10 almost), i'm expecting a similiar scenario minus the x10, but more along the line of a return to 1k or around it

Hasn't the Litecoin halving coincided with the scammer that ran a ponzi scheme in China? I always thought that was the reason that we have seen that crazy price increase this summer in Litecoin, the same price increase that has followed with the exactly the same dump.
legendary
Activity: 1386
Merit: 1000
English <-> Portuguese translations
December 03, 2015, 07:35:54 AM
#21
bears in mind that this is an estimation, it will kick-in early than the countdown, not too much early though

hi hamp!!!
if so, you think who price will rise after this date?
and if a lot off miners switch off his networks because they can't earn enough???
what will happen?

i think it will rise early, before the halving will be in play

don't worry about miners, they can take profit, even if the halving was going to enter tomorrow and the price was the same as it is right now

And how are you so sure of that?
I know that most miners are big players, still, having 50% of the reward is a big drop.

because it is already happening  Grin, someone is artificially fixing the market in preparation of the halving, and possible swings that may occur

even litecoin halving did produced an increase, which one quite good(x10 almost), i'm expecting a similiar scenario minus the x10, but more along the line of a return to 1k or around it

I'm not so sure of that...
Last halving the price was stable for a while, I mean a few months, before anyting changed.
I don't know if they saved their last 50BTC rewards before selling or what, but truth be told that this is very uncertain on what will happen to the market.
legendary
Activity: 3248
Merit: 1070
December 03, 2015, 07:30:40 AM
#20
bears in mind that this is an estimation, it will kick-in early than the countdown, not too much early though

hi hamp!!!
if so, you think who price will rise after this date?
and if a lot off miners switch off his networks because they can't earn enough???
what will happen?

i think it will rise early, before the halving will be in play

don't worry about miners, they can take profit, even if the halving was going to enter tomorrow and the price was the same as it is right now

And how are you so sure of that?
I know that most miners are big players, still, having 50% of the reward is a big drop.

because it is already happening  Grin, someone is artificially fixing the market in preparation of the halving, and possible swings that may occur

even litecoin halving did produced an increase, which one quite good(x10 almost), i'm expecting a similiar scenario minus the x10, but more along the line of a return to 1k or around it
legendary
Activity: 1386
Merit: 1000
English <-> Portuguese translations
December 03, 2015, 07:07:23 AM
#19
bears in mind that this is an estimation, it will kick-in early than the countdown, not too much early though

hi hamp!!!
if so, you think who price will rise after this date?
and if a lot off miners switch off his networks because they can't earn enough???
what will happen?

i think it will rise early, before the halving will be in play

don't worry about miners, they can take profit, even if the halving was going to enter tomorrow and the price was the same as it is right now

And how are you so sure of that?
I know that most miners are big players, still, having 50% of the reward is a big drop.
legendary
Activity: 812
Merit: 1000
December 03, 2015, 07:02:30 AM
#18
bears in mind that this is an estimation, it will kick-in early than the countdown, not too much early though

hi hamp!!!
if so, you think who price will rise after this date?
and if a lot off miners switch off his networks because they can't earn enough???
what will happen?

i think it will rise early, before the halving will be in play

don't worry about miners, they can take profit, even if the halving was going to enter tomorrow and the price was the same as it is right now

Steady rise from here and it some point we'll go into another insane bubble.  What i think might happen is we just go up over next few months and sit at around $800.
Pages:
Jump to: