I think much longer, probably.
Yes, I am aware that the difficulty period will be about 30% longer than the usual 2 weeks, but on the other hand I didn't also rule out that China could, with some luck, get back to business before that time.
I think that at this point things might go either away, a difficult period if the power outages in China are not repaired (btw, power was supposed to be restored Monday) followed by maybe even a period of trying to get things back to normal or it will simply go away next weekend without any of those.
Behind the numbers that would normally tell for each day going at -30% capacity, we need a weekend to clear it up, there is also the consumer attitude, will people continue to pay $20-30 for a transaction that could wait? I would! Would people stop pulling their coins out of Binance? No, as Binance already charges a fee above this so we won't be seeing any change! Sending coins, again dilemma, is it worth doing a tx?
If the market stays calm, if there is no more news either bad or good we might pull this through before the retargeting, but although it is theoretically possible in the end we might need another two-week epoch on top of this to return to normal if we can consider what we had before was normal. So I will go with o_e_l_e_o , much much longer.
What is ETA in the link upper?
ETA tells in several hours (or more)!
More means anything from several to a few months at this point.