We all can argue about that, but one thing is for sure, if he didn't win the election, then Bitcoin might not have reach $100k this soon. So I will say that him becoming the next US President is the catalyst for Bitcoin, and his pro-Bitcoin stance might really help him with this election.
It is all our assumptions, that can be true or untrue. In this market cycle, Bitcoin already made one surprise and a first ever in its history. Making a new ATH before a Bitcoin halving, and now it won't be surprise if it hits or breaks $100,000. It can be because of Trump or can not, but I see this cycle moves faster than previous ones.
I think of other reasons for it, like Bitcoin adoption is better, money flow in this market increases super quickly, and all these contributors are very helpful for Bitcoin to speed up its bull run more fastly.
Just imagine if the winner who's political party is to prosecute Bitcoin and crypto, then we might see the price of Bitcoin going noise dive if Kamala by chance won and Gary Gensler enjoying another tenure as SEC chair.
What will Gary Gensler do if he stays as a SEC chairman for another tenure?
Revoke Bitcoin Spot ETF approvals in the USA? It won't happen, it's impossible, and Bitcoin will continue its bull run and cycle.