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Topic: bots and manipulation. - page 2. (Read 2901 times)

legendary
Activity: 1246
Merit: 1000
January 22, 2014, 09:31:04 PM
#7
People complaining about bots and manipulation are like kids calling someone a cheater when someone beats them in a video
game. It's as simple as that.
legendary
Activity: 924
Merit: 1001
January 22, 2014, 09:20:18 PM
#6
Wot Fonzie said pretty much.

Until I learned my lesson that it was a futile endeavour, I used to try and trade small $20-$30 price fluctuations, but depending on how the bot's algorithms are running would determine whether I had trouble getting in at Bid wall on dip, or Ask wall on peak. I have seen myself timing dip perfectly (or so I thought) and then trying to come out $30 further up at peak but end up having to sell $10 or $15 cheaper (below the spot) just to ensure that I get my order filled and am able to exit the market. If I try to sell at an Ask wall which is in place only for the bot traders, I will find that I will be outbid/underbid by 1 penny, the very instant I try to trade at spot. A human knows when he is up against the impossibly quick reactions of a bot.

And then there are the events of the past few days. It is obvious to anyone but the most boneheaded bulltard I would have thought, that the market 'wants' to go down.....but the bots aint letting it. What we have on MtGox, is a 100% fabricated (look at the trading candles) 'break out' event, perhaps intended to act as a catalyst. It never worked. Then on Stamp, the main cash out exchange, we have very low volume were buyers have been very reluctant to meet sellers, with huge walls piling up either side of the spot price. We go through the day with fractional trades keeping spot as close to buy wall as possible, but anytime a significant amount of volume shifts, the spot price shoots down $10 to Bid wall, then the very split second the volume is traded, a 0.01 btc transaction takes the spot price right back up to the Ask wall.

Most tellingly of all, earlier today, we had 800 BTC traded within 10 seconds within 814-810 USD! Most of us wouldn't be in a position to try this out at home, but if you wanted to sell 800 btc in one swipe, do you reckon that you would get them all punted within a $4 range!? The reality is that if you or I dropped 800 BTC on the exchange, we would drive the price down at least $50, if not more. The supposed 'Bid' walls would soon vanish out from under noses when a sell order of this magnitude hit, yet some fucker dropped 800 BTC and dropped the price $4. No doubt one of many end results of clear market manipulation, where the price has obviously been held artificially high in order to build up Bid pressure (which has been nothing like the Ask wall pressure) enough to absorb a flash sell-off at these current high prices, without damaging the market price (cos more of the same is too come).

ok thanks that is interesting. but that brings me to my 3rd question, can we systematically take advantage of the false prices as the manipulators do?
Im not sure if this comes into the FOREX much, but it would explain a lot of the best and unexpected opportunities.

No. They know the game plan and we are just fucking guessing. And even if you happen to guess right, they still have the power to shake off all but the most obstinate and shake everyone's hard earned into their koffers in the process.



do you think that somebody unloaded 800BTC or a bot transacted 800BTC to its self? part of my question is how can bots absorb large orders without in fact supporting the price with genuine demand. They must be taking significant risks.

One thing I love about bitcoin is that we are watching it from the start, we understand the technology, we understand news manipulation, we understand that most people are yet to get on board. so no, I am not guessing, while I refuse to place stops and leverage my position, that is how 'they' get you.

thats another part of my question, who are 'they' and why is there only one of them. there are many large players surely that have bots available to them. it must be easy to counter a bot with an equal bot right?

hero member
Activity: 840
Merit: 1000
January 22, 2014, 09:00:56 PM
#5
Wot Fonzie said pretty much.

Until I learned my lesson that it was a futile endeavour, I used to try and trade small $20-$30 price fluctuations, but depending on how the bot's algorithms are running would determine whether I had trouble getting in at Bid wall on dip, or Ask wall on peak. I have seen myself timing dip perfectly (or so I thought) and then trying to come out $30 further up at peak but end up having to sell $10 or $15 cheaper (below the spot) just to ensure that I get my order filled and am able to exit the market. If I try to sell at an Ask wall which is in place only for the bot traders, I will find that I will be outbid/underbid by 1 penny, the very instant I try to trade at spot. A human knows when he is up against the impossibly quick reactions of a bot.

And then there are the events of the past few days. It is obvious to anyone but the most boneheaded bulltard I would have thought, that the market 'wants' to go down.....but the bots aint letting it. What we have on MtGox, is a 100% fabricated (look at the trading candles) 'break out' event, perhaps intended to act as a catalyst. It never worked. Then on Stamp, the main cash out exchange, we have very low volume were buyers have been very reluctant to meet sellers, with huge walls piling up either side of the spot price. We go through the day with fractional trades keeping spot as close to buy wall as possible, but anytime a significant amount of volume shifts, the spot price shoots down $10 to Bid wall, then the very split second the volume is traded, a 0.01 btc transaction takes the spot price right back up to the Ask wall.

Most tellingly of all, earlier today, we had 800 BTC traded within 10 seconds within 814-810 USD! Most of us wouldn't be in a position to try this out at home, but if you wanted to sell 800 btc in one swipe, do you reckon that you would get them all punted within a $4 range!? The reality is that if you or I dropped 800 BTC on the exchange, we would drive the price down at least $50, if not more instigating a bearish market reaction in the aftermath which would further drive down pirce. The supposed 'Bid' walls would soon vanish out from under noses when a sell order of this magnitude hit, yet some fucker dropped 800 BTC and dropped the price $4. No doubt one of many end results of clear market manipulation, where the price has obviously been held artificially high in order to build up Bid pressure (which has been nothing like the Ask wall pressure) enough to absorb a flash sell-off at these current high prices, without damaging the market price (cos more of the same is too come).

ok thanks that is interesting. but that brings me to my 3rd question, can we systematically take advantage of the false prices as the manipulators do?
Im not sure if this comes into the FOREX much, but it would explain a lot of the best and unexpected opportunities.

No. They know the game plan and we are just fucking guessing. And even if you happen to guess right, they still have the power to shake off all but the most obstinate and shake everyone's hard earned into their koffers in the process.

hero member
Activity: 504
Merit: 500
Moderator
January 22, 2014, 08:34:01 PM
#4
Something to begin with

http://www.investopedia.com/terms/p/paintingthetape.asp

you might also have noticed the 0.01 buy orders on Stamp which are most of the time about 4-5$ about the next "real bid".
Every time someone dumps the price down with 200 coins or more  let´s say from 850 to 825, bots get activated and fill the empty space, so that the price on the ticker is showing 849.
They wait untile the bid side gets filled to take the next dump. This is done to simulate higher demand than there actually is.

ok thanks that is interesting. but that brings me to my 3rd question, can we systematically take advantage of the false prices as the manipulators do?
Im not sure if this comes into the FOREX much, but it would explain a lot of the best and unexpected opportunities.

I don´t see no way to take advantage of this if you don´t hold significant amounts of both $ and BTC(at least 4 figures). And you would need a good bot of course, as they
will put their orders 0.01 cents above your bid or under your ask within a millisecond. You need to sell way below the real ask walls to get your order filled.

Edit: you can of course use it to get rid off your coins for a high price, because after that orchestrated slow sell off it´s goin to fall much faster. But thats just my bearish sentiment talkin  Cheesy Cheesy
legendary
Activity: 924
Merit: 1001
January 22, 2014, 08:29:56 PM
#3
Something to begin with

http://www.investopedia.com/terms/p/paintingthetape.asp

you might also have noticed the 0.01 buy orders on Stamp which are most of the time about 4-5$ about the next "real bid".
Every time someone dumps the price down with 200 coins or more  let´s say from 850 to 825, bots get activated and fill the empty space, so that the price on the ticker is showing 849.
They wait untile the bid side gets filled to take the next dump. This is done to simulate higher demand than there actually is.

ok thanks that is interesting. but that brings me to my 3rd question, can we systematically take advantage of the false prices as the manipulators do?
Im not sure if this comes into the FOREX much, but it would explain a lot of the best and unexpected opportunities.
hero member
Activity: 504
Merit: 500
Moderator
January 22, 2014, 08:09:35 PM
#2
Something to begin with

http://www.investopedia.com/terms/p/paintingthetape.asp

you might also have noticed the 0.01 buy orders on Stamp which are most of the time about 4-5$ about the next "real bid".
Every time someone dumps the price down with 200 coins or more  let´s say from 850 to 825, bots get activated and fill the empty space, so that the price on the ticker is showing 849.
They wait untile the bid side gets filled to take the next dump. This is done to simulate higher demand than there actually is.
legendary
Activity: 924
Merit: 1001
January 22, 2014, 07:55:09 PM
#1
Idk much about bots and market manipulation, as a technical analyst Ive never really worried about it. It seems to me to be a hot subject right now.
Maybe some people could enlighten me;

-what is the evidence that the market is manipulated upwards/downwards?
-how does one player manipulate the market with bots when there are many big players?
-can we take advantage of the bots prices?
-if a bot raises prices with many micro transactions to it's self, can it move past the larger orders, and if not, is manipulation significant to most investors?
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