First off, professional mining cannot compete over the long term with individual miners, who have near zero facilities costs.
This is a ridiculous statement. The costs for a pro miner,
per MH, is far lower than an individual miner, purely due to efficiencies of large-scale mining. Everyone pays for the GPUs, everyone pays for power.
You can't make that claim. You don't know this. Also, you don't know what others pay even for power.
Some don't even have capital costs, because they are presently using GPU's that they would have bought regardless.
Just because someone bought the card for gaming doesn't mean they get to automatically ignore it as a cost for mining.
IF they bought it to play games, yes they do.
Plus these are not people who will buy the ASICs anyways.
They probably wouldn't have, but some will now.
Eventually, Purpose made bitcoin mining cards will become available. For no other reason than once all those heavily vested professional miners (such as ArtForz) reach a point that their profit margins are squeezed too much to continue to expand, they will monetize their hardware designs by selling the cards for individual users.
I can't see this happening. At the time when inflation drops off to low levels, transactions processing fees will be more than adequate to make up the difference.
Just because you can't imagine it, doesn't make it wrong. Again, you need to ask for your econ education funds back.
Anyone with enough capital to fabricate an ASIC will require maximum return on investment. Maximum return will always be mining, and in later years fee processing. It will never ever be eclipsed by selling chips as commodities.
There is a point for any of these guys that continued expansion of their own cluster becomes a case of diminishing returns. So at some point, they will stop expanding. I didn't say they would sell the cards they already have installed, but the IP of their design.