You seem a bit pessimistic, Lucius.
Just realistic, nothing more than that. This is an exaggeration of something that may have minimal significance for one city, not even for Brazil as a whole.
Don't you think that the mayor of Miami receiving his paycheck in Bitcoin is good news?
If he receives his salary in Bitcoin and then converts it into fiat (and I guess that’s the case), then that’s the same story we’ve been telling for years about whether crypto payment processors are positive or negative for Bitcoin? Everyone wants Bitcoin, no one wants it directly, I think that speaks volumes about trust.
Here, again, I see you pessimistic. To me, it seems extraordinary to create a digital currency and have it have the level of adoption that it has today. Besides, in your future projection you rule out exponential growth. I think it will be faster.
I’ve been reading this forum since 2014, and I’ve read so much nonsense that I could write a book. Then there was talk of some 1-1.5% of those who own or trade Bitcoin, by the end of 2017 maybe it increased to 2.5% to 3%, today it is certainly not more than 5%. Talking about some kind of mass adaptation through central banks and the defeat of fiat currencies is not at all serious, but I understand that some have a need to live in fairy tales, their choice.
Why do you say it will be inaccessible to the common man? As of today the best that someone with limited resources who can save a little bit can do is to put the savings into Bitcoin by doing DCA. He's not going to get as rich as the winklevoss twins, but he's going to improve his situation a lot.
Of course, we can still support the idea that anyone can buy $10 worth of BTC, and then pay $20 to withdraw the same coins from the exchange if they are not aware of how things stand. The human perception of the value they get for their money has changed significantly when it comes to Bitcoin - if you ask someone if they want to buy 0.002 BTC for $100 or 100 xxx coins for the same amount, most remain in great doubt. An ordinary person could buy 1 BTC very easily 5-6 years ago, today he can only dream about it, and the time will come when even 0.10 will be astronomically far away.