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Topic: Bryan Micon's "Bet Me Anything" thread - page 2. (Read 5213 times)

full member
Activity: 236
Merit: 100
April 19, 2013, 07:39:25 PM
#76
Reading what he wrote, it looks like he never offered that bet.  Reading what you both wrote, it looks like a misunderstanding and you both wanted the same side.  It looks like a "no action" result - no bet.
sr. member
Activity: 449
Merit: 250
April 19, 2013, 07:34:32 PM
#75

I offer the following:

Statement:  "Boston Marathon Bomber Suspect #2 Dzhokar Tsarnaev taken into custody alive by any worldwide law enforcement body by 12:01am EST 5/1/2013.  He must stay alive for 12 hours after the earliest news report he is in custody"

Odds to bet "True" on the above statement:  +150 
min bet: .5 btc
max bet: 2 btc
 
hash: 12gER9apoavPLgdqY6bpcPSxeTHpaRKVtH

(doubled checked it this time Smiley
Bet good for

offer good for 12 hours or until the very first time-stamped report of "suspect catptured" [the very first will likely be a tweet]

Damn....tough line. I have spent about 20 minutes trying to decide what side to take. I'm in for BTC0.5 on "False." At +170ish I probably would have taken the other side.

My reasoning - even if the kid legitimately surrenders, the stories that he has a suicide vest will make the cops way more trigger happy.

I rec'd .5 btc on "Bomber 2 taking alive" at +150  - was this you?  If it's some1 else, just easily prove that transaction was you.

glglglgl whoever is betting on this guy taken alive!  i think he's gonna get waxed.



No. Read what I wrote - I sent BTC0.5 and bet on "false" as in - he gets killed or escapes or something.
legendary
Activity: 1232
Merit: 1014
FPV Drone Pilot
April 19, 2013, 06:50:41 PM
#74

I offer the following:

Statement:  "Boston Marathon Bomber Suspect #2 Dzhokar Tsarnaev taken into custody alive by any worldwide law enforcement body by 12:01am EST 5/1/2013.  He must stay alive for 12 hours after the earliest news report he is in custody"

Odds to bet "True" on the above statement:  +150 
min bet: .5 btc
max bet: 2 btc
 
hash: 12gER9apoavPLgdqY6bpcPSxeTHpaRKVtH

(doubled checked it this time Smiley
Bet good for

offer good for 12 hours or until the very first time-stamped report of "suspect catptured" [the very first will likely be a tweet]

Damn....tough line. I have spent about 20 minutes trying to decide what side to take. I'm in for BTC0.5 on "False." At +170ish I probably would have taken the other side.

My reasoning - even if the kid legitimately surrenders, the stories that he has a suicide vest will make the cops way more trigger happy.

I rec'd .5 btc on "Bomber 2 taking alive" at +150  - was this you?  If it's some1 else, just easily prove that transaction was you.

glglglgl whoever is betting on this guy taken alive!  i think he's gonna get waxed.

donator
Activity: 2058
Merit: 1007
Poor impulse control.
April 19, 2013, 05:20:10 PM
#73
I'm interested in how you make fun of Christians? C'mon, don't be shy.

I am not interested in this. I'm interested in gambling. Micon - do you want to set a line on whether the 2nd suspect will be taken dead or alive?

Edit: Congratulations on your win.

Perhaps I'm just jealous that the thing in which I'm interested in gambling still hasn't been addressed.
sr. member
Activity: 449
Merit: 250
April 19, 2013, 05:01:58 PM
#72

I offer the following:

Statement:  "Boston Marathon Bomber Suspect #2 Dzhokar Tsarnaev taken into custody alive by any worldwide law enforcement body by 12:01am EST 5/1/2013.  He must stay alive for 12 hours after the earliest news report he is in custody"

Odds to bet "True" on the above statement:  +150 
min bet: .5 btc
max bet: 2 btc
 
hash: 12gER9apoavPLgdqY6bpcPSxeTHpaRKVtH

(doubled checked it this time Smiley
Bet good for

offer good for 12 hours or until the very first time-stamped report of "suspect catptured" [the very first will likely be a tweet]

Damn....tough line. I have spent about 20 minutes trying to decide what side to take. I'm in for BTC0.5 on "False." At +170ish I probably would have taken the other side.

My reasoning - even if the kid legitimately surrenders, the stories that he has a suicide vest will make the cops way more trigger happy.
legendary
Activity: 1232
Merit: 1014
FPV Drone Pilot
April 19, 2013, 03:15:11 PM
#71
I'm interested in how you make fun of Christians? C'mon, don't be shy.

I think that discussion is best for another thread [and I am happy to engage in a respectful debate] as I have done numberous times on the subject on DonkDown radio [which you are welcome to come on next Wednesday, again for respectful debate]

this is assuming you are Christian. 

I bet mooslums

shipped 10 coins just now to your PM'd hash.  GLGLGLGLGLGLGL


Micon - do you want to set a line on whether the 2nd suspect will be taken dead or alive?

Edit: Congratulations on your win.



I personally think they are going to swiss cheese that bitch like they did his brother.  Now the kid is only 19, so you have that variance element as well.  Other possible outcomes are "they never find the fucker" and "there are 7 suspects" so like all well-written statements, we must add a date and a name to this as well.  I'm also throwing in Interpool / all worldwide law enforcement entities so we don't "coinjedi something" by saying "police" when "FBI" actually makes the collar.  Also note I will never, ever "Coinjedi" or "Bestofbitco.in" anyone who bets me.  I am a gentleman gambler and have proved so here in LV for many, many years.  I will always consider intent from both sides and will always strive to make the fairest decision.  If there is ever a question about a bet we can go to a poll or a trusted panel of 5 for arbitration.  I am never interested in collecting a quick buck at the sake of my reputation.

I offer the following:

Statement:  "Boston Marathon Bomber Suspect #2 Dzhokar Tsarnaev taken into custody alive by any worldwide law enforcement body by 12:01am EST 5/1/2013.  He must stay alive for 12 hours after the earliest news report he is in custody"

Odds to bet "True" on the above statement:  +150 
min bet: .5 btc
max bet: 2 btc
 
hash: 12gER9apoavPLgdqY6bpcPSxeTHpaRKVtH

(doubled checked it this time Smiley
Bet good for

offer good for 12 hours or until the very first time-stamped report of "suspect catptured" [the very first will likely be a tweet]
sr. member
Activity: 449
Merit: 250
April 19, 2013, 12:22:15 PM
#70
I'm interested in how you make fun of Christians? C'mon, don't be shy.

I am not interested in this. I'm interested in gambling. Micon - do you want to set a line on whether the 2nd suspect will be taken dead or alive?

Edit: Congratulations on your win.
full member
Activity: 236
Merit: 100
April 19, 2013, 12:09:17 PM
#69
Dude, don't take the Lakers bet.

Alright, you got me Smiley I honestly hadn't looked at the moneyline odds prior to my message, but what you're saying is absolutely correct. Still I'd have to say that the Lakers game without Kobe is pretty even, and I haven't looked at the Utah game yet, it's obviously a tough matchup but still very winnable for a team that is in a must-win situation.


Haha, just giving you a hard time because two bettors had already agreed on a price and you were butting in.
donator
Activity: 2058
Merit: 1007
Poor impulse control.
April 19, 2013, 12:00:39 PM
#68
I'm interested in how you make fun of Christians? C'mon, don't be shy.
legendary
Activity: 1232
Merit: 1014
FPV Drone Pilot
April 19, 2013, 11:59:01 AM
#67
Mooslims!

From: http://dailycaller.com/2013/04/19/dead-boston-bombing-suspect-was-a-very-religious-muslim-boxer/

Quote
Tamerlan Tsarnaev, one of the two Chechen brothers identified as the suspects in the Boston Marathon bombing, was a self-described “very religious” Muslim boxer who yearned for Chechen independence and who posed for a photo essay entitled “Will Box for Passport.”

pay the mooslims, take the "won't catch"


Yes, I would say both bets are concluded.  One of the guys has been apprehended already (died) and both were/are muslims.  So I won 2.0 BTC net (5 - 3).  gg Micon

Indeed.  "at least 1" is certainly satisfied.  You win the 5 coin Mooslum bet.  Yes, that is religiously insensitive, because organized religion is bullshit.   I drink to that as I ask KGambler to send me a hash for a 10 coin mooslum headshot.

Tell 'em where u got it from! 
full member
Activity: 236
Merit: 100
April 19, 2013, 11:09:13 AM
#66
Yes, I would say both bets are concluded.  One of the guys has been apprehended already (died) and both were/are muslims.  So I won 2.0 BTC net (5 - 3).  gg Micon
sr. member
Activity: 449
Merit: 250
April 19, 2013, 10:27:04 AM
#65
Mooslims!

From: http://dailycaller.com/2013/04/19/dead-boston-bombing-suspect-was-a-very-religious-muslim-boxer/

Quote
Tamerlan Tsarnaev, one of the two Chechen brothers identified as the suspects in the Boston Marathon bombing, was a self-described “very religious” Muslim boxer who yearned for Chechen independence and who posed for a photo essay entitled “Will Box for Passport.”
legendary
Activity: 1400
Merit: 1005
April 19, 2013, 10:07:38 AM
#64
9:15 a.m.: CBS’s Boston affiliate WBZ interviewed the Tsarnaev brothers’ uncle Ruslan Tsarni. When the station informed him of Tamerlan’s death, Tsarni said the young man “deserved it” and called him a “loser.” Tsarni said he always tried to encourage the boys to focus less on Islam, and more on school, telling them to “be useful. Know why you came to America.”

Source: http://newsfeed.time.com/2013/04/19/watch-video-of-shootout-between-police-and-boston-bombing-suspect/#ixzz2QvF0RRt0

Does that conclude the bet?  Or is Islam != Muslim?
full member
Activity: 236
Merit: 100
April 18, 2013, 06:12:52 PM
#63
The photos have been released.  They are not clear.  They look a little darker skinned with black hair, but they could be any of many ethnicities.  

I am willing to give you +200 on non-muslims now if you want more action.


Edit:  Of course, decent chance those aren't even the bombers.

1)  this thread is going to be epic, i can already feel it.

2)  I'm good right now, but thanks for the +200 offer.  I def. like the action I have through the weekend, although I will say it feels very 50-50 to me right now, so I'm gonna say it was a decent line.




Unless they are half way to Yemen, the guys in the photo should be picked up before Sunday.  You figure somebody has to have had contact with them, a hotel employee or something.  I like your chances on that bet.  I don't mind losing that one.
legendary
Activity: 1232
Merit: 1014
FPV Drone Pilot
April 18, 2013, 06:05:08 PM
#62
The photos have been released.  They are not clear.  They look a little darker skinned with black hair, but they could be any of many ethnicities.  

I am willing to give you +200 on non-muslims now if you want more action.


Edit:  Of course, decent chance those aren't even the bombers.

1)  this thread is going to be epic, i can already feel it.

2)  I'm good right now, but thanks for the +200 offer.  I def. like the action I have through the weekend, although I will say it feels very 50-50 to me right now, so I'm gonna say it was a decent line.

full member
Activity: 236
Merit: 100
April 18, 2013, 05:34:11 PM
#61
Pictures of suspects are released.   Micon looks to be pretty safe.

I agree.  That is why I am offering him 2 to 1 odds now haha
legendary
Activity: 2478
Merit: 1020
Be A Digital Miner
April 18, 2013, 05:33:35 PM
#60
Pictures of suspects are released.   Micon looks to be pretty safe.
full member
Activity: 236
Merit: 100
April 18, 2013, 05:33:06 PM
#59
The photos have been released.  They are not clear.  They look a little darker skinned with black hair, but they could be any of many ethnicities.  

I am willing to give you +200 on non-muslims now if you want more action.


Edit:  Of course, decent chance those aren't even the bombers.
full member
Activity: 223
Merit: 100
April 18, 2013, 03:55:57 PM
#58


Fishface I have confirmed your .8 coins rec'd and you are booked, even though you were booked before, just re-iterating that I was stupid and pasted the wrong hash, but luckily got it worked out.  You will win a full 4 coins + your wager back, or 4.8 BTC if Denver somehow makes it through the gauntlet.

Glad it got worked out... I didn't know what to think at first, but I was quickly reassured since you said from the start that it was all good and my bet would count regardless. Go Nuggets  Wink
legendary
Activity: 1232
Merit: 1014
FPV Drone Pilot
April 18, 2013, 02:52:27 PM
#57
Sounds like they have a suspect in custody.  It could be another Richard Jewell fail but it sounds like they have some good leads.  They supposedly caught a guy on camera leaving a bag at the scene of the crime.

Media is saying the motive is still unknown.  This could mean you won both bets.  But probably it means that his name is Muhammed Abdul Farouk, but neither LE nor the media want to "speculate".


EDIT: NEVERMIND, NOW REPORTS COMING IN THAT NO ONE IS IN CUSTODY.  WHO KNOWS?

and that's why it's fun to have action on this.  Now the news is like watching sports.

Cops are now claiming to have good photos of 2 suspects and will be releasing them later today....this is getting exciting!

I know, sort of loving this wager.  Obviously I have the "win-win" or "lose-lose" side of the bet:  either they catch the fucker(s) and I win btc, or the bombers get away (for now) and I lose btc.  Fun sweat indeed.

Also Note:  I had a guy PM me asking for payment on a -150 Lakers bet.  Obviously I didn't book any such bet.  For those wanting to wager, it is very simply and I'm very fair, but you of course must post coins to me (or escrow in the case of a large wager to protect the bettor) to have action.   I will also reply in this thread saying "booked"




Fishface I have confirmed your .8 coins rec'd and you are booked, even though you were booked before, just re-iterating that I was stupid and pasted the wrong hash, but luckily got it worked out.  You will win a full 4 coins + your wager back, or 4.8 BTC if Denver somehow makes it through the gauntlet.
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